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Guess the Pole 2020: Britain


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 19 July 2020 - 09:51

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2020 standings

Five latest poles at Great Britain:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2019  Bottas        85.093
2018  Hamilton      85.892
2017  Hamilton      86.600
2016  Hamilton      89.287
2015  Hamilton      92.248

Late 2019 front rows:
GP   Pole  #2  
BRA  Vers Vett
ABU  Hami Vers

Driver values:
Dri  val
Hami   4
Vers   6
Bott   9
Vett  13
REST  18

2020 data:
                  Time    2019 PP  2018 PP  2017 PP  2020/2019  2020/2018  2020/2017
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
AUT  Bott  Hami   62.939   63.003   63.130   64.251    99.898     99.697     97.958
STY  Hami  Vers   79.273   63.003   63.130   64.251   125.824    125.571    123.380
HUN  Hami  Bott   73.447   74.572   95.658   76.276    98.491     76.781     96.291
GB                     0   85.093   85.892   86.600                                
LXX                    0   85.093   85.892   86.600                                
ESP                    0   75.406   76.173   79.149                                
BEL                    0  102.519  118.179  102.553                                
ITA                    0   79.307   79.119   95.554                                
TUS                    0   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
RUS                    0   91.628   91.387   93.194                                
My guess for Britain is 84.245 s by Lewis Hamilton.

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#2 rodlamas

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Posted 19 July 2020 - 11:16

Hamilton 83.988

#3 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 26 July 2020 - 21:52

Hamilton 84.111



#4 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 27 July 2020 - 17:25

84.574 Lewis Hamilton

#5 scheivlak

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Posted 28 July 2020 - 18:46

Bottas 84.345



#6 f1paul

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Posted 28 July 2020 - 19:18

Hamilton 83.871



#7 mark f1

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Posted 28 July 2020 - 22:59

Hamilton 84.157



#8 2aron

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Posted 30 July 2020 - 17:11

Hamilton 84.693



#9 Bleu

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Posted 30 July 2020 - 18:59

Hamilton 84.242



#10 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 30 July 2020 - 19:33

Bottas 84.014

#11 GTA

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Posted 30 July 2020 - 22:00

84.110 LH



#12 thequadge

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Posted 31 July 2020 - 00:25

84.412 Hamilton



#13 thegforcemaybewithyou

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Posted 31 July 2020 - 03:48

Hamilton 84.448



#14 alekracing

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Posted 31 July 2020 - 04:40

Hamilton 84.369



#15 Marklar

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Posted 31 July 2020 - 07:21

Hamilton 84.210

#16 M2000-5

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Posted 31 July 2020 - 07:34

84.092 Hamilton



#17 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 31 July 2020 - 09:23

83.848 Hamilton



#18 Makarias

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Posted 31 July 2020 - 12:15

I forgot to say that these entries are also valid as default guesses for next weekend, if you forget/ignore to make a separate entry for that round.