The standings after Spain:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) GTA 600 101 = Kev00 600 101 = KWSN-DSM 600 101 = M2000-5 600 101 = SpaceHorseParty 600 101 6) jjcale 597 100 = mark f1 597 98 8) scheivlak 592 93 9) Brawn BGP 001 590 91 10) thegforcemaybewithyou 589 94 11) fisichella_2001 587 89 12) f1paul 586 89 = Makarias 586 88 14) DutchQuicksilver 585 89 15) Marklar 583 88 = thequadge 583 89 17) Bleu 566 87Top group down to just five players who are still perfect if you ignore the Hülkenberg points.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Hülk INF 600,0 17 Stro 106,9 52,6 11 Norr 82,6 50,7 5 Hami 50,2 45,9 0 Gasl 50,1 31,1 1 Pere 47,3 32,7 0 Ocon 44,2 31,4 0 Vers 43,7 35,1 0 Bott 43,6 33,7 0 Ricc 41,3 29,9 0 Sain 36,5 26,2 0 Albo 31,2 24,2 0 Lecl 26,7 18,8 0 Giov 22,7 11,8 0 Kvya 10,8 5,9 0 Vett 10,7 8,8 0 Magn 8,5 2,7 0Lance Stroll becomes the second 100% expectation beater of the season and the first one of the full time drivers! Congratulations!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Verstappen Bottas Stroll Perez * Potential 355 * Potential 319 * Potential 313 * Potential 265 * Potential 257 * Forecast 325 Bleu 267 Kev00 260 * Forecast 100 jjcale 97 Makarias 282 Marklar 255 jjcale 224 SpaceHorseParty 75 SpaceHorseParty 92 thegforcemaybewi280 * Forecast 235 SpaceHorseParty 222 jjcale 69 * Forecast 80 GTA 278 M2000-5 229 * Forecast 220 Kev00 57 Kev00 74 jjcale 276 Brawn BGP 001 226 DutchQuicksilver218 M2000-5 47 Bleu 73 Brawn BGP 001 275 f1paul 222 GTA 208 KWSN-DSM 45 KWSN-DSM 72 M2000-5 275 thequadge 220 Marklar 208 GTA 44 Makarias 72 DutchQuicksilver273 GTA 218 Makarias 206 * Current 40 DutchQuicksilver 70 KWSN-DSM 271 scheivlak 215 Bleu 204 mark f1 37 M2000-5 70 SpaceHorseParty 261 fisichella_2001 213 thegforcemaybewi198 thegforcemaybewi 34 GTA 69 scheivlak 256 DutchQuicksilver209 Brawn BGP 001 193 scheivlak 32 scheivlak 68 Bleu 252 mark f1 205 mark f1 191 Brawn BGP 001 30 Marklar 64 Kev00 252 SpaceHorseParty 205 scheivlak 191 DutchQuicksilver 29 f1paul 61 Marklar 250 Makarias 203 M2000-5 189 fisichella_2001 27 thequadge 59 fisichella_2001 249 Kev00 198 thequadge 187 Makarias 27 mark f1 58 mark f1 249 thegforcemaybewi198 fisichella_2001 185 f1paul 26 Brawn BGP 001 54 f1paul 214 jjcale 190 KWSN-DSM 177 Marklar 26 thegforcemaybewi 51 thequadge 212 KWSN-DSM 185 f1paul 173 thequadge 23 fisichella_2001 46 * Current 130 * Current 94 * Current 88 Bleu 8 * Current 32Despite missing two races Perez still has a good chance at a 100% surprise. Stroll is well on his way there.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Sainz Vettel Albon Gasly Norris * Potential 247 * Potential 241 * Potential 265 * Potential 239 * Potential 263 Brawn BGP 001 83 thegforcemaybewi181 SpaceHorseParty 164 scheivlak 44 * Forecast 95 M2000-5 81 fisichella_2001 172 f1paul 162 thegforcemaybewi 41 M2000-5 74 f1paul 74 Makarias 170 Marklar 152 * Forecast 35 Brawn BGP 001 60 fisichella_2001 71 thequadge 169 KWSN-DSM 139 Kev00 34 f1paul 56 Bleu 70 mark f1 167 M2000-5 138 KWSN-DSM 34 scheivlak 54 scheivlak 64 f1paul 164 GTA 136 jjcale 32 Bleu 52 SpaceHorseParty 64 DutchQuicksilver161 Makarias 130 mark f1 31 SpaceHorseParty 51 Kev00 63 Marklar 159 Bleu 126 GTA 30 KWSN-DSM 50 KWSN-DSM 61 Bleu 153 mark f1 126 fisichella_2001 28 fisichella_2001 44 * Forecast 55 GTA 153 Kev00 124 SpaceHorseParty 28 Kev00 44 Marklar 54 KWSN-DSM 150 fisichella_2001 119 thequadge 28 GTA 41 Makarias 52 Brawn BGP 001 144 Brawn BGP 001 117 DutchQuicksilver 27 mark f1 41 mark f1 51 jjcale 142 DutchQuicksilver116 Brawn BGP 001 24 thequadge 41 thequadge 51 Kev00 137 scheivlak 112 M2000-5 22 * Current 38 GTA 49 M2000-5 125 thequadge 112 f1paul 20 Makarias 37 DutchQuicksilver 47 scheivlak 121 thegforcemaybewi109 Makarias 20 jjcale 35 jjcale 46 SpaceHorseParty 71 * Forecast 100 Marklar 20 Marklar 35 thegforcemaybewi 44 * Forecast 40 jjcale 100 * Current 14 DutchQuicksilver 34 * Current 22 * Current 16 * Current 40 Bleu 12 thegforcemaybewi 33A most welcome decent result for Sainz.
The PTPC forecast
PREMIERE
Name Forecast +/- SpaceHorseParty 1330 0 M2000-5 1304 -4 Brawn BGP 001 1271,5 -20,5 jjcale 1270 4 Kev00 1264 -1 GTA 1262 -13 scheivlak 1261 -18 DutchQuicksilver 1249 -14 KWSN-DSM 1244 -10 Marklar 1242 -3 Makarias 1241 -7 Bleu 1231 4 mark f1 1216 -15 thegforcemaybewithyou1206 -22 fisichella_2001 1200 -10 f1paul 1182 -28 thequadge 1176 -27Still one clear title candidate.
