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Place The Points Competition 2020 after Tuscany


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#1 Makarias

Makarias
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Posted 15 September 2020 - 14:51

The standings after Tuscany:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  KWSN-DSM              886  94
=   SpaceHorseParty       886  95
3)  M2000-5               881 100
4)  scheivlak             880  99
5)  Kev00                 873  81
6)  Brawn BGP 001         865 101
7)  mark f1               863  93
8)  GTA                   855  86
9)  f1paul                854 100
=   jjcale                854  81
=   thegforcemaybewithyou 854  89
12) fisichella_2001       851  93
13) thequadge             843  93
14) DutchQuicksilver      834  86
=   Makarias              834  93
16) Marklar               832  93
17) Bleu                  817  92
Just one score of 101 this round, the season is well into the fun zone by now.

The entries


The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Hülk     INF     600,0   17   
Gasl    135,1     84,3   15
Stro    134,0     66,3   14
Norr    122,8     75,3   15
Ricc     95,0     68,4    7
Ocon     73,2     52,6    2
Hami     63,4     57,9    0
Bott     58,6     45,4    0
Sain     58,5     42,1    0
Pere     57,4     39,6    0
Kvya     47,2     26,3    0
Vers     44,7     36,0    0
Albo     43,2     33,7    0
Lecl     25,7     18,0    0
Giov     19,9     10,0    0
Vett     10,1      8,3    0
Räik      9,1      5,0    0
Magn      7,5      2,4    0
Kimi finally appears on this list!

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.

Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton               Bottas                 Albon                  Ricciardo              Perez               
* Potential     386    * Potential     334    * Potential     263    * Potential     252    * Potential     244
* Forecast      351    Kev00           294    SpaceHorseParty 186    * Forecast       98    jjcale          110
Makarias        320    jjcale          254    f1paul          184    f1paul           75    SpaceHorseParty 104
thegforcemaybewi317    * Forecast      253    Marklar         173    thequadge        71    Kev00            84
GTA             315    SpaceHorseParty 252    KWSN-DSM        158    SpaceHorseParty  68    * Forecast       83
jjcale          313    DutchQuicksilver247    M2000-5         157    Brawn BGP 001    66    Bleu             82
Brawn BGP 001   312    GTA             236    GTA             155    scheivlak        63    Makarias         82
M2000-5         311    Marklar         236    Makarias        148    KWSN-DSM         60    KWSN-DSM         81
DutchQuicksilver310    Makarias        233    Bleu            143    fisichella_2001  56    DutchQuicksilver 80
KWSN-DSM        307    Bleu            232    mark f1         143    Makarias         54    M2000-5          79
SpaceHorseParty 296    thegforcemaybewi224    Kev00           141    mark f1          54    GTA              78
scheivlak       290    Brawn BGP 001   219    fisichella_2001 134    Marklar          52    scheivlak        77
Bleu            285    mark f1         216    Brawn BGP 001   132    * Current        52    Marklar          72
Kev00           285    scheivlak       216    DutchQuicksilver131    M2000-5          51    f1paul           70
Marklar         283    M2000-5         214    scheivlak       128    Bleu             48    thequadge        67
fisichella_2001 282    thequadge       212    thequadge       127    thegforcemaybewi 48    mark f1          66
mark f1         282    fisichella_2001 209    thegforcemaybewi124    DutchQuicksilver 45    Brawn BGP 001    62
f1paul          242    KWSN-DSM        200    * Forecast      119    GTA              45    thegforcemaybewi 58
thequadge       240    f1paul          196    jjcale          114    Kev00            40    fisichella_2001  52
* Current       186    * Current       134    * Current        63    jjcale           35    * Current        44
Ricciardo is only 24 points from a 100% surprise, it can come pretty quickly.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Norris                 Kvyat                  Leclerc                Räikkönen              Vettel              
* Potential     264    * Potential     210    thequadge       271    * Potential     202    * Potential     217
* Forecast      121    scheivlak        37    * Potential     249    f1paul           39    thegforcemaybewi205
M2000-5          84    thegforcemaybewi 31    fisichella_2001 219    thegforcemaybewi 35    fisichella_2001 195
Brawn BGP 001    68    jjcale           30    Makarias        213    mark f1          31    Makarias        192
* Current        64    mark f1          27    thegforcemaybewi205    fisichella_2001  30    thequadge       192
f1paul           63    SpaceHorseParty  23    Bleu            201    thequadge        29    mark f1         189
scheivlak        62    fisichella_2001  22    DutchQuicksilver194    scheivlak        27    f1paul          186
Bleu             59    Kev00            21    mark f1         193    DutchQuicksilver 26    DutchQuicksilver182
SpaceHorseParty  58    f1paul           19    Brawn BGP 001   192    jjcale           22    Marklar         180
KWSN-DSM         57    KWSN-DSM         19    GTA             185    KWSN-DSM         21    Bleu            173
Kev00            50    M2000-5          19    scheivlak       185    Bleu             18    GTA             173
fisichella_2001  49    * Forecast       19    jjcale          180    SpaceHorseParty  18    KWSN-DSM        170
GTA              46    Bleu             18    Kev00           177    GTA              17    Brawn BGP 001   163
mark f1          46    DutchQuicksilver 18    Marklar         174    Kev00            17    jjcale          161
thequadge        46    GTA              18    f1paul          171    Brawn BGP 001    12    Kev00           155
Makarias         42    Marklar          18    M2000-5         171    Makarias         12    M2000-5         142
Marklar          40    Brawn BGP 001    16    KWSN-DSM        169    M2000-5          10    scheivlak       137
DutchQuicksilver 39    Makarias         12    SpaceHorseParty 145    Marklar           8    SpaceHorseParty  80
jjcale           39    thequadge        12    * Forecast       93    * Forecast        4    * Forecast       32
thegforcemaybewi 38    * Current        10    * Current        49    * Current         2    * Current        17
While Leclerc can no longer score a 100% surprise, Kimi is now only 38 points away from one. Norris has 21 points to go so let's not rule him out either.

The PTPC forecast
Name               Forecast  +/-
SpaceHorseParty      1472,0  16,1
M2000-5              1408,4  -2,9
Kev00                1397,1  23,9
scheivlak            1393,9   4,5
jjcale               1392,1  28,9
KWSN-DSM             1390,9  30,1
Brawn BGP 001        1388,6 -12,4
GTA                  1360,0   4,6
DutchQuicksilver     1356,0   7,1
Makarias             1346,0   4,3
thegforcemaybewithyou1326,9   7,4
mark f1              1323,9  -0,2
Bleu                 1319,6   5,2
Marklar              1318,0  -1,1
f1paul               1307,4  -8,7
fisichella_2001      1307,4  -5,7
thequadge            1272,0  -7,1
Uh, yeah.