The standings after Tuscany:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) KWSN-DSM 886 94 = SpaceHorseParty 886 95 3) M2000-5 881 100 4) scheivlak 880 99 5) Kev00 873 81 6) Brawn BGP 001 865 101 7) mark f1 863 93 8) GTA 855 86 9) f1paul 854 100 = jjcale 854 81 = thegforcemaybewithyou 854 89 12) fisichella_2001 851 93 13) thequadge 843 93 14) DutchQuicksilver 834 86 = Makarias 834 93 16) Marklar 832 93 17) Bleu 817 92Just one score of 101 this round, the season is well into the fun zone by now.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Hülk INF 600,0 17 Gasl 135,1 84,3 15 Stro 134,0 66,3 14 Norr 122,8 75,3 15 Ricc 95,0 68,4 7 Ocon 73,2 52,6 2 Hami 63,4 57,9 0 Bott 58,6 45,4 0 Sain 58,5 42,1 0 Pere 57,4 39,6 0 Kvya 47,2 26,3 0 Vers 44,7 36,0 0 Albo 43,2 33,7 0 Lecl 25,7 18,0 0 Giov 19,9 10,0 0 Vett 10,1 8,3 0 Räik 9,1 5,0 0 Magn 7,5 2,4 0Kimi finally appears on this list!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Bottas Albon Ricciardo Perez * Potential 386 * Potential 334 * Potential 263 * Potential 252 * Potential 244 * Forecast 351 Kev00 294 SpaceHorseParty 186 * Forecast 98 jjcale 110 Makarias 320 jjcale 254 f1paul 184 f1paul 75 SpaceHorseParty 104 thegforcemaybewi317 * Forecast 253 Marklar 173 thequadge 71 Kev00 84 GTA 315 SpaceHorseParty 252 KWSN-DSM 158 SpaceHorseParty 68 * Forecast 83 jjcale 313 DutchQuicksilver247 M2000-5 157 Brawn BGP 001 66 Bleu 82 Brawn BGP 001 312 GTA 236 GTA 155 scheivlak 63 Makarias 82 M2000-5 311 Marklar 236 Makarias 148 KWSN-DSM 60 KWSN-DSM 81 DutchQuicksilver310 Makarias 233 Bleu 143 fisichella_2001 56 DutchQuicksilver 80 KWSN-DSM 307 Bleu 232 mark f1 143 Makarias 54 M2000-5 79 SpaceHorseParty 296 thegforcemaybewi224 Kev00 141 mark f1 54 GTA 78 scheivlak 290 Brawn BGP 001 219 fisichella_2001 134 Marklar 52 scheivlak 77 Bleu 285 mark f1 216 Brawn BGP 001 132 * Current 52 Marklar 72 Kev00 285 scheivlak 216 DutchQuicksilver131 M2000-5 51 f1paul 70 Marklar 283 M2000-5 214 scheivlak 128 Bleu 48 thequadge 67 fisichella_2001 282 thequadge 212 thequadge 127 thegforcemaybewi 48 mark f1 66 mark f1 282 fisichella_2001 209 thegforcemaybewi124 DutchQuicksilver 45 Brawn BGP 001 62 f1paul 242 KWSN-DSM 200 * Forecast 119 GTA 45 thegforcemaybewi 58 thequadge 240 f1paul 196 jjcale 114 Kev00 40 fisichella_2001 52 * Current 186 * Current 134 * Current 63 jjcale 35 * Current 44Ricciardo is only 24 points from a 100% surprise, it can come pretty quickly.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Norris Kvyat Leclerc Räikkönen Vettel * Potential 264 * Potential 210 thequadge 271 * Potential 202 * Potential 217 * Forecast 121 scheivlak 37 * Potential 249 f1paul 39 thegforcemaybewi205 M2000-5 84 thegforcemaybewi 31 fisichella_2001 219 thegforcemaybewi 35 fisichella_2001 195 Brawn BGP 001 68 jjcale 30 Makarias 213 mark f1 31 Makarias 192 * Current 64 mark f1 27 thegforcemaybewi205 fisichella_2001 30 thequadge 192 f1paul 63 SpaceHorseParty 23 Bleu 201 thequadge 29 mark f1 189 scheivlak 62 fisichella_2001 22 DutchQuicksilver194 scheivlak 27 f1paul 186 Bleu 59 Kev00 21 mark f1 193 DutchQuicksilver 26 DutchQuicksilver182 SpaceHorseParty 58 f1paul 19 Brawn BGP 001 192 jjcale 22 Marklar 180 KWSN-DSM 57 KWSN-DSM 19 GTA 185 KWSN-DSM 21 Bleu 173 Kev00 50 M2000-5 19 scheivlak 185 Bleu 18 GTA 173 fisichella_2001 49 * Forecast 19 jjcale 180 SpaceHorseParty 18 KWSN-DSM 170 GTA 46 Bleu 18 Kev00 177 GTA 17 Brawn BGP 001 163 mark f1 46 DutchQuicksilver 18 Marklar 174 Kev00 17 jjcale 161 thequadge 46 GTA 18 f1paul 171 Brawn BGP 001 12 Kev00 155 Makarias 42 Marklar 18 M2000-5 171 Makarias 12 M2000-5 142 Marklar 40 Brawn BGP 001 16 KWSN-DSM 169 M2000-5 10 scheivlak 137 DutchQuicksilver 39 Makarias 12 SpaceHorseParty 145 Marklar 8 SpaceHorseParty 80 jjcale 39 thequadge 12 * Forecast 93 * Forecast 4 * Forecast 32 thegforcemaybewi 38 * Current 10 * Current 49 * Current 2 * Current 17While Leclerc can no longer score a 100% surprise, Kimi is now only 38 points away from one. Norris has 21 points to go so let's not rule him out either.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- SpaceHorseParty 1472,0 16,1 M2000-5 1408,4 -2,9 Kev00 1397,1 23,9 scheivlak 1393,9 4,5 jjcale 1392,1 28,9 KWSN-DSM 1390,9 30,1 Brawn BGP 001 1388,6 -12,4 GTA 1360,0 4,6 DutchQuicksilver 1356,0 7,1 Makarias 1346,0 4,3 thegforcemaybewithyou1326,9 7,4 mark f1 1323,9 -0,2 Bleu 1319,6 5,2 Marklar 1318,0 -1,1 f1paul 1307,4 -8,7 fisichella_2001 1307,4 -5,7 thequadge 1272,0 -7,1Uh, yeah.
