The standings after Russia:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) SpaceHorseParty 985 99 2) KWSN-DSM 983 97 3) scheivlak 981 101 4) M2000-5 970 89 5) Brawn BGP 001 964 99 6) Kev00 959 86 7) mark f1 954 91 8) f1paul 953 99 9) fisichella_2001 940 89 = thequadge 940 97 11) thegforcemaybewithyou 939 85 12) GTA 938 83 13) jjcale 937 83 14) DutchQuicksilver 923 89 15) Marklar 921 89 16) Makarias 919 85 17) Bleu 906 89Second to last? Brilliant.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Hülk INF 600,0 17 Gasl 141,4 88,2 15 Stro 134,0 66,3 14 Norr 122,8 75,3 15 Ricc 113,2 81,6 12 Ocon 87,8 63,2 5 Pere 73,0 50,5 1 Bott 69,5 53,9 0 Hami 68,5 62,6 0 Kvya 66,1 36,8 2 Sain 58,5 42,1 0 Vers 52,1 41,9 0 Albo 43,9 34,2 0 Lecl 29,9 21,0 0 Giov 19,9 10,0 0 Vett 10,1 8,3 0 Räik 9,1 5,0 0 Magn 7,5 2,4 0Ricciardo makes it past his expectation mark!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Bottas Verstappen Hamilton Perez Ricciardo * Potential 334 * Potential 302 * Potential 376 * Potential 231 * Potential 237 Kev00 294 Bleu 302 * Forecast 342 jjcale 110 * Forecast 105 * Forecast 270 Marklar 289 Makarias 320 SpaceHorseParty 104 f1paul 75 jjcale 254 M2000-5 260 thegforcemaybewi317 * Forecast 95 thequadge 71 SpaceHorseParty 252 Brawn BGP 001 257 GTA 315 Kev00 84 SpaceHorseParty 68 DutchQuicksilver247 f1paul 251 jjcale 313 Bleu 82 Brawn BGP 001 66 GTA 236 thequadge 249 Brawn BGP 001 312 Makarias 82 scheivlak 63 Marklar 236 GTA 247 M2000-5 311 KWSN-DSM 81 * Current 62 Makarias 233 scheivlak 243 DutchQuicksilver310 DutchQuicksilver 80 KWSN-DSM 60 Bleu 232 fisichella_2001 242 KWSN-DSM 307 M2000-5 79 fisichella_2001 56 thegforcemaybewi224 DutchQuicksilver237 SpaceHorseParty 296 GTA 78 Makarias 54 Brawn BGP 001 219 mark f1 232 scheivlak 290 scheivlak 77 mark f1 54 mark f1 216 SpaceHorseParty 232 Bleu 285 Marklar 72 Marklar 52 scheivlak 216 Makarias 230 Kev00 285 f1paul 70 M2000-5 51 M2000-5 214 Kev00 225 Marklar 283 thequadge 67 Bleu 48 thequadge 212 thegforcemaybewi224 fisichella_2001 282 mark f1 66 thegforcemaybewi 48 fisichella_2001 209 * Forecast 216 mark f1 282 Brawn BGP 001 62 DutchQuicksilver 45 KWSN-DSM 200 jjcale 215 f1paul 242 thegforcemaybewi 58 GTA 45 f1paul 196 KWSN-DSM 210 thequadge 240 * Current 56 Kev00 40 * Current 159 * Current 127 * Current 201 fisichella_2001 52 jjcale 35Perez beats his first guess and begins to make a difference.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Leclerc Ocon Kvyat Gasly Albon thequadge 271 * Potential 211 * Potential 189 * Potential 220 * Potential 239 * Potential 232 * Forecast 61 scheivlak 37 * Forecast 77 SpaceHorseParty 186 fisichella_2001 219 f1paul 56 thegforcemaybewi 31 scheivlak 50 f1paul 184 Makarias 213 Brawn BGP 001 49 jjcale 30 thegforcemaybewi 46 Marklar 173 thegforcemaybewi205 KWSN-DSM 49 mark f1 27 * Current 45 KWSN-DSM 158 Bleu 201 scheivlak 49 * Forecast 24 Kev00 39 M2000-5 157 DutchQuicksilver194 thequadge 49 SpaceHorseParty 23 KWSN-DSM 39 GTA 155 mark f1 193 SpaceHorseParty 48 fisichella_2001 22 jjcale 36 Makarias 148 Brawn BGP 001 192 mark f1 46 Kev00 21 mark f1 35 Bleu 143 GTA 185 Marklar 44 f1paul 19 GTA 34 mark f1 143 scheivlak 185 fisichella_2001 43 KWSN-DSM 19 fisichella_2001 32 Kev00 141 jjcale 180 DutchQuicksilver 42 M2000-5 19 SpaceHorseParty 32 fisichella_2001 134 Kev00 177 Bleu 38 Bleu 18 thequadge 32 Brawn BGP 001 132 Marklar 174 M2000-5 37 DutchQuicksilver 18 DutchQuicksilver 30 DutchQuicksilver131 f1paul 171 * Current 36 GTA 18 Brawn BGP 001 28 scheivlak 128 M2000-5 171 Kev00 33 Marklar 18 M2000-5 26 thequadge 127 KWSN-DSM 169 Makarias 32 Brawn BGP 001 16 f1paul 23 thegforcemaybewi124 SpaceHorseParty 145 jjcale 30 * Current 14 Marklar 23 jjcale 114 * Forecast 97 thegforcemaybewi 29 Makarias 12 Makarias 22 * Forecast 109 * Current 57 GTA 23 thequadge 12 Bleu 14 * Current 64Ocon starts beating guesses. Gasly now six points from a 100% surprise.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- SpaceHorseParty 1484,2 12,2 Kev00 1414,3 17,2 jjcale 1414,1 22,0 M2000-5 1401,0 -7,4 scheivlak 1393,8 -0,1 KWSN-DSM 1384,1 -6,8 Brawn BGP 001 1381,0 -7,6 GTA 1360,0 0,0 DutchQuicksilver 1356,0 0,0 Makarias 1346,0 0,0 thegforcemaybewithyou1331,8 4,9 mark f1 1328,8 4,9 Marklar 1318,0 0,0 Bleu 1312,0 -7,6 fisichella_2001 1303,0 -4,4 f1paul 1300,0 -7,4 thequadge 1272,0 0,0Plenty of forecasts not even changing, what the.