The standings after Eifel:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) SpaceHorseParty 1065 80 2) scheivlak 1061 80 3) KWSN-DSM 1057 74 4) M2000-5 1044 74 5) f1paul 1040 87 6) Brawn BGP 001 1035 71 7) Kev00 1033 74 8) mark f1 1026 72 9) thequadge 1022 82 10) GTA 1012 74 11) jjcale 1011 74 12) thegforcemaybewithyou1004 65 13) fisichella_2001 1002 62 14) DutchQuicksilver 997 74 15) Marklar 995 74 16) Makarias 993 74 17) Bleu 980 74An exciting round with low scores, and one third of the season still to go!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Hülk INF 1000,0 17 Gasl 166,5 103,9 17 Ricc 140,6 101,3 17 Stro 134,0 66,3 14 Norr 122,8 75,3 15 Pere 88,7 61,3 5 Ocon 87,8 63,2 5 Hami 77,0 70,4 0 Sain 73,1 52,6 0 Bott 69,5 53,9 0 Kvya 66,1 36,8 2 Vers 59,5 47,9 0 Albo 43,9 34,2 0 Lecl 33,0 23,2 0 Giov 29,8 15,0 0 Gros 24,6 12,5 1 Vett 10,1 8,3 0 Räik 9,1 5,0 0 Magn 7,5 2,4 0Daniel Ricciardo and Pierre Gasly become the first 100% surprise full time drivers of 2020! Congratulations!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Verstappen Ricciardo Perez Sainz * Potential 376 Bleu 302 * Potential 227 * Potential 218 * Potential 200 * Forecast 349 * Potential 295 * Forecast 119 jjcale 110 Brawn BGP 001 94 Makarias 320 Marklar 289 * Current 77 * Forecast 105 M2000-5 92 thegforcemaybewi317 M2000-5 260 f1paul 75 SpaceHorseParty 104 f1paul 84 GTA 315 Brawn BGP 001 257 thequadge 71 Kev00 84 fisichella_2001 81 jjcale 313 f1paul 251 SpaceHorseParty 68 Bleu 82 Bleu 79 Brawn BGP 001 312 thequadge 249 Brawn BGP 001 66 Makarias 82 * Forecast 77 M2000-5 311 GTA 247 scheivlak 63 KWSN-DSM 81 scheivlak 73 DutchQuicksilver310 scheivlak 243 KWSN-DSM 60 DutchQuicksilver 80 SpaceHorseParty 72 KWSN-DSM 307 fisichella_2001 242 fisichella_2001 56 M2000-5 79 Kev00 71 SpaceHorseParty 296 DutchQuicksilver237 Makarias 54 GTA 78 KWSN-DSM 69 scheivlak 290 mark f1 232 mark f1 54 scheivlak 77 Marklar 61 Bleu 285 SpaceHorseParty 232 Marklar 52 Marklar 72 Makarias 59 Kev00 285 Makarias 230 M2000-5 51 f1paul 70 mark f1 58 Marklar 283 Kev00 225 Bleu 48 * Current 68 thequadge 58 fisichella_2001 282 thegforcemaybewi224 thegforcemaybewi 48 thequadge 67 GTA 56 mark f1 282 * Forecast 224 DutchQuicksilver 45 mark f1 66 DutchQuicksilver 53 f1paul 242 jjcale 215 GTA 45 Brawn BGP 001 62 jjcale 52 thequadge 240 KWSN-DSM 210 Kev00 40 thegforcemaybewi 58 thegforcemaybewi 50 * Current 226 * Current 145 jjcale 35 fisichella_2001 52 * Current 50Verstappen's 100% surprise train has left the station. Sainz is on the doorstep to beating guesses, as is Hamilton...
Guesses on P6-P10:
Gasly Leclerc Stroll Grosjean Giovinazzi * Potential 203 thequadge 271 * Potential 207 * Potential 152 * Potential 153 * Forecast 82 fisichella_2001 219 * Forecast 88 mark f1 15 GTA 19 * Current 53 * Potential 213 SpaceHorseParty 85 thequadge 15 fisichella_2001 17 scheivlak 50 Makarias 213 jjcale 78 DutchQuicksilver 14 jjcale 15 thegforcemaybewi 46 thegforcemaybewi205 Kev00 65 thegforcemaybewi 14 f1paul 12 Kev00 39 Bleu 201 * Current 57 jjcale 11 mark f1 12 KWSN-DSM 39 DutchQuicksilver194 M2000-5 53 Marklar 11 thegforcemaybewi 11 jjcale 36 mark f1 193 KWSN-DSM 51 scheivlak 11 Makarias 10 mark f1 35 Brawn BGP 001 192 GTA 50 Makarias 10 thequadge 10 GTA 34 GTA 185 mark f1 43 KWSN-DSM 9 DutchQuicksilver 9 fisichella_2001 32 scheivlak 185 thegforcemaybewi 39 f1paul 6 Kev00 9 SpaceHorseParty 32 jjcale 180 scheivlak 36 fisichella_2001 6 scheivlak 9 thequadge 32 Kev00 177 Brawn BGP 001 34 GTA 5 Bleu 7 DutchQuicksilver 30 Marklar 174 DutchQuicksilver 33 Bleu 3 KWSN-DSM 7 Brawn BGP 001 28 f1paul 171 fisichella_2001 31 Kev00 3 SpaceHorseParty 7 M2000-5 26 M2000-5 171 Makarias 31 * Forecast 3 Brawn BGP 001 6 f1paul 23 KWSN-DSM 169 Marklar 30 M2000-5 2 Marklar 6 Marklar 23 SpaceHorseParty 145 f1paul 29 SpaceHorseParty 2 M2000-5 5 Makarias 22 * Forecast 97 thequadge 26 * Current 2 * Forecast 5 Bleu 14 * Current 63 Bleu 9 Brawn BGP 001 1 * Current 3Grosjean beats a guess!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- SpaceHorseParty 1488,3 4,1 M2000-5 1409,2 8,2 jjcale 1405,4 -8,7 scheivlak 1396,6 2,8 Kev00 1392,6 -21,7 Brawn BGP 001 1388,2 7,2 KWSN-DSM 1376,9 -7,2 GTA 1360,0 0,0 DutchQuicksilver 1354,7 -1,3 Makarias 1346,0 0,0 thegforcemaybewithyou1329,5 -2,3 mark f1 1326,6 -2,2 Bleu 1321,2 9,2 Marklar 1318,0 0,0 fisichella_2001 1311,9 8,9 f1paul 1308,9 8,9 thequadge 1272,0 0,0Kev00's forecast takes a big hit from the Bottas DNF.
