The standings after Portugal:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) SpaceHorseParty 1154 89 2) scheivlak 1150 89 3) KWSN-DSM 1146 89 4) M2000-5 1130 86 5) Brawn BGP 001 1118 83 = Kev00 1118 85 7) f1paul 1116 76 8) mark f1 1109 83 9) GTA 1095 83 10) thequadge 1094 72 11) jjcale 1090 79 12) fisichella_2001 1085 83 13) Marklar 1082 87 14) DutchQuicksilver 1081 84 15) Makarias 1078 85 16) thegforcemaybewithyou1075 71 17) Bleu 1067 87Nice race!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Hülk INF 1000,0 17 Gasl 198,0 123,5 17 Ricc 144,3 103,9 17 Stro 134,0 66,3 14 Norr 122,8 75,3 15 Ocon 97,6 70,2 7 Pere 96,5 66,7 7 Hami 85,5 78,2 2 Sain 84,9 61,1 4 Bott 77,4 60,0 0 Kvya 66,1 36,8 2 Vers 65,6 52,8 0 Albo 43,9 34,2 0 Lecl 39,3 27,6 0 Giov 29,8 15,0 0 Gros 24,6 12,5 1 Vett 10,6 8,7 0 Räik 9,1 5,0 0 Magn 7,5 2,4 0Ocon and Perez knocking on the door to get to 100% soon.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Bottas Verstappen Leclerc Gasly * Potential 376 * Potential 302 Bleu 302 thequadge 271 * Potential 188 * Forecast 356 Kev00 294 Marklar 289 fisichella_2001 219 * Forecast 89 Makarias 320 jjcale 254 * Potential 285 Makarias 213 * Current 63 thegforcemaybewi317 SpaceHorseParty 252 M2000-5 260 thegforcemaybewi205 scheivlak 50 GTA 315 * Forecast 251 Brawn BGP 001 257 Bleu 201 thegforcemaybewi 46 jjcale 313 DutchQuicksilver247 f1paul 251 * Potential 200 Kev00 39 Brawn BGP 001 312 GTA 236 thequadge 249 DutchQuicksilver194 KWSN-DSM 39 M2000-5 311 Marklar 236 GTA 247 mark f1 193 jjcale 36 DutchQuicksilver310 Makarias 233 scheivlak 243 Brawn BGP 001 192 mark f1 35 KWSN-DSM 307 Bleu 232 fisichella_2001 242 GTA 185 GTA 34 SpaceHorseParty 296 thegforcemaybewi224 DutchQuicksilver237 scheivlak 185 fisichella_2001 32 scheivlak 290 Brawn BGP 001 219 mark f1 232 jjcale 180 SpaceHorseParty 32 Bleu 285 mark f1 216 SpaceHorseParty 232 Kev00 177 thequadge 32 Kev00 285 scheivlak 216 Makarias 230 Marklar 174 DutchQuicksilver 30 Marklar 283 M2000-5 214 * Forecast 227 f1paul 171 Brawn BGP 001 28 fisichella_2001 282 thequadge 212 Kev00 225 M2000-5 171 M2000-5 26 mark f1 282 fisichella_2001 209 thegforcemaybewi224 KWSN-DSM 169 f1paul 23 * Current 251 KWSN-DSM 200 jjcale 215 SpaceHorseParty 145 Marklar 23 f1paul 242 f1paul 196 KWSN-DSM 210 * Forecast 106 Makarias 22 thequadge 240 * Current 177 * Current 160 * Current 75 Bleu 14Happy days ahead for f1paul and thequadge as they won't have to wonder if they scored any points from Hamilton from now on.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Sainz Perez Ocon Ricciardo Vettel * Potential 183 * Potential 199 * Potential 165 * Potential 204 thegforcemaybewi205 Brawn BGP 001 94 jjcale 110 * Forecast 57 * Forecast 112 fisichella_2001 195 M2000-5 92 * Forecast 105 f1paul 56 * Current 79 Makarias 192 f1paul 84 SpaceHorseParty 104 Brawn BGP 001 49 f1paul 75 thequadge 192 * Forecast 82 Kev00 84 KWSN-DSM 49 thequadge 71 mark f1 189 fisichella_2001 81 Bleu 82 scheivlak 49 SpaceHorseParty 68 f1paul 186 Bleu 79 Makarias 82 thequadge 49 Brawn BGP 001 66 DutchQuicksilver182 scheivlak 73 KWSN-DSM 81 SpaceHorseParty 48 scheivlak 63 Marklar 180 SpaceHorseParty 72 DutchQuicksilver 80 mark f1 46 KWSN-DSM 60 Bleu 173 Kev00 71 M2000-5 79 Marklar 44 fisichella_2001 56 GTA 173 KWSN-DSM 69 GTA 78 fisichella_2001 43 Makarias 54 KWSN-DSM 170 Marklar 61 scheivlak 77 DutchQuicksilver 42 mark f1 54 Brawn BGP 001 163 Makarias 59 * Current 74 * Current 40 Marklar 52 jjcale 161 mark f1 58 Marklar 72 Bleu 38 M2000-5 51 Kev00 155 thequadge 58 f1paul 70 M2000-5 37 Bleu 48 * Potential 143 * Current 58 thequadge 67 Kev00 33 thegforcemaybewi 48 M2000-5 142 GTA 56 mark f1 66 Makarias 32 DutchQuicksilver 45 scheivlak 137 DutchQuicksilver 53 Brawn BGP 001 62 jjcale 30 GTA 45 SpaceHorseParty 80 jjcale 52 thegforcemaybewi 58 thegforcemaybewi 29 Kev00 40 * Forecast 26 thegforcemaybewi 50 fisichella_2001 52 GTA 23 jjcale 35 * Current 18Sainz is beating guesses now!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- SpaceHorseParty 1488,9 0,6 M2000-5 1415,8 6,6 jjcale 1407,2 1,8 Kev00 1396,3 3,7 scheivlak 1396,3 -0,4 Brawn BGP 001 1394,8 6,6 KWSN-DSM 1375,8 -1,2 GTA 1361,4 1,4 DutchQuicksilver 1357,4 2,7 Makarias 1347,4 1,4 thegforcemaybewithyou1326,6 -3,0 mark f1 1326,3 -0,4 Bleu 1324,4 3,2 Marklar 1319,4 1,4 f1paul 1315,6 6,7 fisichella_2001 1315,3 3,3 thequadge 1273,4 1,4Well this doesn't look very dramatic.
