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Guess the Pole 2020: Turkey


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 31 October 2020 - 14:25

NEW CIRCUIT FOURTH TIME IN A ROW NEW RECORD

Turkey is back for the first time since 2011! That is more than five years ago so the track is classified as brand new and the time spans are tripled. Happy guessing!

 

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2020 standings

Five latest poles at Turkey:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2011  Vettel        85.049
2010  Webber        86.295
2009  Vettel        88.316
2008  Massa         87.617
2007  Massa         87.329

Driver values:
Dri  val
Hami   3
Bott   4
Vers  13
REST  18

2020 data:
                  Time    2019 PP  2018 PP  2017 PP  2020/2019  2020/2018  2020/2017
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
AUT  Bott  Hami   62.939   63.003   63.130   64.251    99.898     99.697     97.958
STY  Hami  Vers   79.273   63.003   63.130   64.251   125.824    125.571    123.380
HUN  Hami  Bott   73.447   74.572   95.658   76.276    98.491     76.781     96.291
GB   Hami  Bott   84.303   85.093   85.892   86.600    99.072     98.150     97.348
LXX  Bott  Hami   85.154   85.093   85.892   86.600   100.072     99.141     98.330
ESP  Hami  Bott   75.584   75.406   76.173   79.149   100.236     99.227     95.496
BEL  Hami  Bott  101.252  102.519  118.179  102.553    98.764     85.677     98.731
ITA  Hami  Bott   78.887   79.307   79.119   95.554    99.470     99.707     82.558
TUS  Hami  Bott   75.144   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
RUS  Hami  Vers   91.304   91.628   91.387   93.194    99.646     99.909     97.972
EIF  Bott  Hami   85.269   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
POR  Hami  Bott   76.652   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
EMI  Bott  Hami   73.609   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
TUR                    0   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
BAH                    0   87.866   87.958   88.769                                
SAK                    0   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
ABU                    0   94.779   94.794   96.231                                
My guess for Turkey is 83.292 s by Lewis Hamilton.

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#2 rodlamas

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Posted 31 October 2020 - 15:48

Bottas 81.888


Edited by rodlamas, 11 November 2020 - 11:44.


#3 mark f1

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Posted 11 November 2020 - 06:33

Bottas 81.456


Edited by mark f1, 12 November 2020 - 11:19.


#4 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 11 November 2020 - 10:40

81.711 Hamilton



#5 Makarias

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Posted 11 November 2020 - 23:28

New time guess: 80.292, still Hamilton.



#6 2aron

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Posted 12 November 2020 - 08:47

79.873 Bottas



#7 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 12 November 2020 - 12:44

80.274 Valtteri Bottas

#8 Marklar

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Posted 12 November 2020 - 17:32

80.800 Bottas


Edited by Marklar, 12 November 2020 - 17:32.


#9 scheivlak

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Posted 12 November 2020 - 17:40

Hamilton 81.850



#10 f1paul

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Posted 12 November 2020 - 19:51

Hamilton 78.690



#11 alekracing

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Posted 12 November 2020 - 20:23

79.369 Hamilton



#12 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 12 November 2020 - 21:44

Bottas 79.675

#13 GTA

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Posted 13 November 2020 - 02:20

79.412 LH



#14 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 13 November 2020 - 02:41

78.939 L Hamilton



#15 thegforcemaybewithyou

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Posted 13 November 2020 - 05:27

Hamilton 80.008



#16 M2000-5

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Posted 13 November 2020 - 06:53

80.135 Hamilton



#17 Bleu

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Posted 13 November 2020 - 07:10

79.629 Hamilton



#18 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 13 November 2020 - 14:13

Are all of our guesses to fast? Right now they’re still about 8 seconds slower.

#19 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 13 November 2020 - 14:41

Are all of our guesses to fast? Right now they’re still about 8 seconds slower.

 

I think will be slowest guess wins, they are not going to claw 8 seconds back.



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#20 Makarias

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Posted 14 November 2020 - 13:13

New time guess: 80.292, still Hamilton.

YOU NITWIT