The standings after Emilia-Romagna:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) SpaceHorseParty 1233 79 2) scheivlak 1227 77 3) KWSN-DSM 1220 74 4) M2000-5 1206 76 5) Kev00 1195 77 6) Brawn BGP 001 1186 68 7) mark f1 1177 68 8) jjcale 1166 76 9) GTA 1159 64 10) f1paul 1158 42 11) fisichella_2001 1155 70 12) DutchQuicksilver 1147 66 13) Marklar 1145 63 14) Makarias 1143 65 = thegforcemaybewithyou1143 68 16) Bleu 1141 74 17) thequadge 1125 31Very exciting
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Hülk INF 1000,0 17 Gasl 198,0 123,5 17 Ricc 171,6 123,7 17 Stro 134,0 66,3 14 Norr 130,5 80,0 15 Kvya 122,8 68,4 13 Pere 106,9 73,9 12 Ocon 97,6 70,2 7 Hami 94,0 86,0 2 Sain 93,6 67,4 8 Bott 85,2 66,1 0 Vers 65,6 52,8 0 Lecl 44,5 31,3 0 Albo 43,9 34,2 0 Giov 39,8 20,0 0 Gros 24,6 12,5 1 Räik 18,3 10,0 0 Vett 10,6 8,7 0 Magn 7,5 2,4 0Kvyat and perez make it past their 100% expectation marks!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Bottas Ricciardo Kvyat Leclerc * Potential 376 * Potential 295 * Potential 194 * Potential 126 thequadge 271 * Forecast 361 Kev00 294 * Forecast 123 scheivlak 37 fisichella_2001 219 Makarias 320 * Forecast 255 * Current 94 * Forecast 34 Makarias 213 thegforcemaybewi317 jjcale 254 f1paul 75 thegforcemaybewi 31 thegforcemaybewi205 GTA 315 SpaceHorseParty 252 thequadge 71 jjcale 30 Bleu 201 jjcale 313 DutchQuicksilver247 SpaceHorseParty 68 mark f1 27 DutchQuicksilver194 Brawn BGP 001 312 GTA 236 Brawn BGP 001 66 * Current 26 mark f1 193 M2000-5 311 Marklar 236 scheivlak 63 SpaceHorseParty 23 Brawn BGP 001 192 DutchQuicksilver310 Makarias 233 KWSN-DSM 60 fisichella_2001 22 * Potential 185 KWSN-DSM 307 Bleu 232 fisichella_2001 56 Kev00 21 GTA 185 SpaceHorseParty 296 thegforcemaybewi224 Makarias 54 f1paul 19 scheivlak 185 scheivlak 290 Brawn BGP 001 219 mark f1 54 KWSN-DSM 19 jjcale 180 Bleu 285 mark f1 216 Marklar 52 M2000-5 19 Kev00 177 Kev00 285 scheivlak 216 M2000-5 51 Bleu 18 Marklar 174 Marklar 283 M2000-5 214 Bleu 48 DutchQuicksilver 18 f1paul 171 fisichella_2001 282 thequadge 212 thegforcemaybewi 48 GTA 18 M2000-5 171 mark f1 282 fisichella_2001 209 DutchQuicksilver 45 Marklar 18 KWSN-DSM 169 * Current 276 KWSN-DSM 200 GTA 45 Brawn BGP 001 16 SpaceHorseParty 145 f1paul 242 f1paul 196 Kev00 40 Makarias 12 * Forecast 111 thequadge 240 * Current 195 jjcale 35 thequadge 12 * Current 85Bottas about to beat guesses soon. Out of the blue, Kvyat has an outside chance at a 100% surprise.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Perez Sainz Norris Räikkönen Giovinazzi * Potential 182 * Potential 164 * Potential 168 * Potential 104 * Potential 104 jjcale 110 Brawn BGP 001 94 * Forecast 89 f1paul 39 GTA 19 * Forecast 107 M2000-5 92 M2000-5 84 thegforcemaybewi 35 fisichella_2001 17 SpaceHorseParty 104 f1paul 84 Brawn BGP 001 68 mark f1 31 jjcale 15 Kev00 84 * Forecast 84 * Current 68 fisichella_2001 30 f1paul 12 Bleu 82 fisichella_2001 81 f1paul 63 thequadge 29 mark f1 12 Makarias 82 Bleu 79 scheivlak 62 scheivlak 27 thegforcemaybewi 11 * Current 82 scheivlak 73 Bleu 59 DutchQuicksilver 26 Makarias 10 KWSN-DSM 81 SpaceHorseParty 72 SpaceHorseParty 58 jjcale 22 thequadge 10 DutchQuicksilver 80 Kev00 71 KWSN-DSM 57 KWSN-DSM 21 DutchQuicksilver 9 M2000-5 79 KWSN-DSM 69 Kev00 50 Bleu 18 Kev00 9 GTA 78 * Current 64 fisichella_2001 49 SpaceHorseParty 18 scheivlak 9 scheivlak 77 Marklar 61 GTA 46 GTA 17 Bleu 7 Marklar 72 Makarias 59 mark f1 46 Kev00 17 KWSN-DSM 7 f1paul 70 mark f1 58 thequadge 46 Brawn BGP 001 12 SpaceHorseParty 7 thequadge 67 thequadge 58 Makarias 42 Makarias 12 Brawn BGP 001 6 mark f1 66 GTA 56 Marklar 40 M2000-5 10 Marklar 6 Brawn BGP 001 62 DutchQuicksilver 53 DutchQuicksilver 39 Marklar 8 M2000-5 5 thegforcemaybewi 58 jjcale 52 jjcale 39 * Forecast 5 * Forecast 5 fisichella_2001 52 thegforcemaybewi 50 thegforcemaybewi 38 * Current 4 * Current 4Nice
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- SpaceHorseParty 1468,9 -20,0 jjcale 1412,8 5,6 M2000-5 1398,8 -16,9 scheivlak 1392,0 -4,2 Kev00 1385,0 -11,3 Brawn BGP 001 1378,1 -16,7 KWSN-DSM 1374,0 -1,7 GTA 1343,0 -18,4 DutchQuicksilver 1339,0 -18,4 Makarias 1329,0 -18,4 thegforcemaybewithyou1322,0 -4,6 mark f1 1315,0 -11,3 Bleu 1306,0 -18,4 Marklar 1301,0 -18,4 fisichella_2001 1299,0 -16,3 f1paul 1295,0 -20,6 thequadge 1255,0 -18,4jjcale actually closing up a bit...
