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Place The Points Competition 2020 final standings after Abu Dhabi


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 15 December 2020 - 19:03

2020 final standings after Abu Dhabi:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  SpaceHorseParty      1455  56
2)  M2000-5              1425  48
3)  scheivlak            1408  50
4)  Brawn BGP 001        1407  53
5)  jjcale               1401  56
6)  KWSN-DSM             1389  36
7)  Kev00                1367  55
8)  GTA                  1346  55
9)  thegforcemaybewithyou1336  55
10) Makarias             1334  55
11) mark f1              1333  50
12) DutchQuicksilver     1331  55
13) f1paul               1317  37
=   fisichella_2001      1317  43
15) Bleu                 1311  55
16) Marklar              1304  55
17) thequadge            1273  46
Congratulations to 2020 champion SpaceHorseParty :clap: :clap: :clap: for a great win! Up from 22nd last year.
Congratulations also to runner-up M2000-5 :clap: :clap: Who was 12th last year,
and to third place finisher scheivlak :clap: who was the 2013 champion and now finishes on the podium for the fifth time!

Abu Dhabi scores went up to more normal levels after the Sakhir oddity. A popular score of 55 is Verstappen + Bottas + Albon.

All 17 players will score points in the 2020 Supercup.

The entries

PTPC Hall of Fame
Year  WDC   Game         Pl  Winner
 AD  Points  Win   %     #
2000   442   365  82.58  14  jack and gilles
2001   442   364  82.35  69  MrT, tacololo
2002   442   376  85.07  46  smarty
2003   624   537  86.06  41  arcsine
2004   702   554  78.98  48  Pioneer
2005   741   595  80.30  49  KWSN-DSM
2006   702   592  84.33  47  an1res
2007   663   563  84.92  40  turin
2008   702   597  85.04  39  AcuraF1
2009   731   518  70.86  29  D82
2010  1919  1674  87.23  34  Costaz
2011  1919  1664  86.71  25  Crazy Canuck
2012  2020  1706  84.46  28  Costaz
2013  1919  1656  86.29  27  scheivlak
2014  1919  1602  83.48  30  noikeee
2015  1919  1710  89.11* 25  mark f1
2016  2121  1751  82.56  25  Brawn BGP 001
2017  2020  1861  92.13  22  Kev00
2018  2121  1943  91.61  25  thegforcemaybewithyou
2019  2121  1791  84.41  23  mark f1
2020  1717  1455  84.74  17  SpaceHorseParty
*2020 points in the guesses
The lowest number of entrants in the game after the inaugural season. The whole B&G subforum has been quieter this year.

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Hülk     INF    1000,0   17   
Gasl    235,7    147,1   17
Ricc    213,6    153,9   17
Norr    182,3    111,8   17
Stro    176,3     87,2   15
Pere    163,0    112,6   17
Sain    152,2    109,5   17
Ocon    151,2    108,8   17
Kvya    151,1     84,2   16
Hami    116,2    106,2   17
Bott     96,6     74,9    8
Vers     86,5     69,6    1
Russ     79,1     22,2    7
Albo     72,0     56,1    0
Lecl     51,3     36,0    0
Giov     39,8     20,0    0
Gros     24,6     12,5    1
Vett     19,5     16,0    0
Räik     18,3     10,0    0
Magn      7,5      2,4    0
Lati      0,0      0,0    0
Alpha Tauri, Renault, McLaren and Racing Point all had both of their drivers clearly above expectation this season, so those are the teams that did better than expected this year.

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.

Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen             Bottas                 Hamilton               Albon                  Norris              
Bleu            302    Kev00           294    * Potential     341    SpaceHorseParty 186    * Potential      95
Marklar         289    jjcale          254    * Forecast      341    f1paul          184    * Forecast       95
M2000-5         260    SpaceHorseParty 252    * Current       341    Marklar         173    * Current        95
Brawn BGP 001   257    DutchQuicksilver247    Makarias        320    KWSN-DSM        158    M2000-5          84
f1paul          251    GTA             236    thegforcemaybewi317    M2000-5         157    Brawn BGP 001    68
thequadge       249    Marklar         236    GTA             315    GTA             155    f1paul           63
GTA             247    Makarias        233    jjcale          313    Makarias        148    scheivlak        62
scheivlak       243    Bleu            232    Brawn BGP 001   312    Bleu            143    Bleu             59
fisichella_2001 242    thegforcemaybewi224    M2000-5         311    mark f1         143    SpaceHorseParty  58
DutchQuicksilver237    * Potential     221    DutchQuicksilver310    Kev00           141    KWSN-DSM         57
mark f1         232    * Forecast      221    KWSN-DSM        307    fisichella_2001 134    Kev00            50
SpaceHorseParty 232    * Current       221    SpaceHorseParty 296    Brawn BGP 001   132    fisichella_2001  49
Makarias        230    Brawn BGP 001   219    scheivlak       290    DutchQuicksilver131    GTA              46
Kev00           225    mark f1         216    Bleu            285    scheivlak       128    mark f1          46
thegforcemaybewi224    scheivlak       216    Kev00           285    thequadge       127    thequadge        46
jjcale          215    M2000-5         214    Marklar         283    thegforcemaybewi124    Makarias         42
* Potential     211    thequadge       212    fisichella_2001 282    jjcale          114    Marklar          40
* Forecast      211    fisichella_2001 209    mark f1         282    * Potential     105    DutchQuicksilver 39
* Current       211    KWSN-DSM        200    f1paul          242    * Forecast      105    jjcale           39
KWSN-DSM        210    f1paul          196    thequadge       240    * Current       105    thegforcemaybewi 38
Verstappen ends up beating a single guess right at the finale, but KWSN-DSM's guess is still the best one there. Bottas beats a few guesses to end up in the middle of the list.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Sainz                  Ricciardo              Gasly                  Ocon                   Stroll              
* Potential     104    * Potential     117    * Potential      75    * Potential      62    SpaceHorseParty  85
* Forecast      104    * Forecast      117    * Forecast       75    * Forecast       62    jjcale           78
* Current       104    * Current       117    * Current        75    * Current        62    * Potential      75
Brawn BGP 001    94    f1paul           75    scheivlak        50    f1paul           56    * Forecast       75
M2000-5          92    thequadge        71    thegforcemaybewi 46    Brawn BGP 001    49    * Current        75
f1paul           84    SpaceHorseParty  68    Kev00            39    KWSN-DSM         49    Kev00            65
fisichella_2001  81    Brawn BGP 001    66    KWSN-DSM         39    scheivlak        49    M2000-5          53
Bleu             79    scheivlak        63    jjcale           36    thequadge        49    KWSN-DSM         51
scheivlak        73    KWSN-DSM         60    mark f1          35    SpaceHorseParty  48    GTA              50
SpaceHorseParty  72    fisichella_2001  56    GTA              34    mark f1          46    mark f1          43
Kev00            71    Makarias         54    fisichella_2001  32    Marklar          44    thegforcemaybewi 39
KWSN-DSM         69    mark f1          54    SpaceHorseParty  32    fisichella_2001  43    scheivlak        36
Marklar          61    Marklar          52    thequadge        32    DutchQuicksilver 42    Brawn BGP 001    34
Makarias         59    M2000-5          51    DutchQuicksilver 30    Bleu             38    DutchQuicksilver 33
mark f1          58    Bleu             48    Brawn BGP 001    28    M2000-5          37    fisichella_2001  31
thequadge        58    thegforcemaybewi 48    M2000-5          26    Kev00            33    Makarias         31
GTA              56    DutchQuicksilver 45    f1paul           23    Makarias         32    Marklar          30
DutchQuicksilver 53    GTA              45    Marklar          23    jjcale           30    f1paul           29
jjcale           52    Kev00            40    Makarias         22    thegforcemaybewi 29    thequadge        26
thegforcemaybewi 50    jjcale           35    Bleu             14    GTA              23    Bleu              9
Almost no points added to the scores from these five guys this race.

The PTPC forecast after Sakhir
Name               Forecast  +/-
SpaceHorseParty      1442,5 -18,3
M2000-5              1414,2 -19,6
scheivlak            1399,1 -13,0
Brawn BGP 001        1393,0 -20,4
jjcale               1388,1 -16,8
KWSN-DSM             1379,3 -18,6
Kev00                1351,0 -30,6
GTA                  1330,0 -28,6
mark f1              1322,1 -18,9
thegforcemaybewithyou1320,0 -26,5
Makarias             1318,0 -29,6
DutchQuicksilver     1315,1 -28,5
fisichella_2001      1306,4 -18,6
f1paul               1306,3 -10,4
Bleu                 1295,0 -30,6
Marklar              1288,0 -28,6
thequadge            1262,4 -17,2
Verstappen's win helped the final scores up above the final forecast.

The best guesses on each driver
 X    #   !  Y
Hami 341 320 Makarias
Bott 221 219 Brawn BGP 001
Vers 211 210 KWSN-DSM
Pere 125 110 jjcale
Ricc 117  75 f1paul
Albo 105 114 jjcale
Sain 104  94 Brawn BGP 001
Lecl  98 145 SpaceHorseParty
Norr  95  84 M2000-5
Gasl  75  50 scheivlak
Stro  75  78 jjcale
Ocon  62  56 f1paul
Vett  33  80 SpaceHorseParty
Kvya  32  31 thegforcemaybewithyou
Giov   4   5 M2000-5
Räik   4   8 Marklar
Gros   2   2 M2000-5, SpaceHorseParty
Russ   2   2 f1paul, GTA, Marklar
Magn   1   2 Brawn BGP 001
Lati   0   0 10 players
f1paul, M2000-5 and SpaceHorseParty all appearing four times here as they guessed Latifi right too.
Note that
a) the entries were scaled so you probably don't recognize your own entries and
b) FL points don't count in this game.

Reality check on some of our predictions

Popularity Poll WCC prediction:
Team   Pred  Off
Merc   522  + 42
RBR    390  - 74
Ferr   360  -229
McLa   120  + 79
RPoi   119  + 76
Rena    96  + 83
ATau    53  + 54
Alfa    32  - 28
Haas    21  - 18
Will     4  -  4
Aside from Ferrari's annus horribilis, the three backmarker teams also had a tough year.

Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
Owner               Owned Comment
     <-     =    ->
Pere  17    0    0  Stro Correct
Ricc  17    0    0  Ocon Correct
Sain  17    0    0  Norr Correct (but pretty close)
Vers  17    0    0  Albo Correct
Gasl  16    0    1  Kvya Correct
Hami  16    0    1  Bott Correct
Magn  16    0    1  Gros Wrong
Räik  16    0    1  Giov Wrong (draw)
Lecl  13    1    3  Vett Correct
Russ  12    5    0  Lati Correct (Russell scored points... But not in the Williams.)

The 2020 season is over, as is this post. You can all go to bed now, see you again in 2021!

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#2 SpaceHorseParty

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Posted 15 December 2020 - 19:18

Thank you Makarias for running this game! It feels great to finally win my first forum game!



#3 M2000-5

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Posted 15 December 2020 - 21:01

Woohoo, I finished second in one of the games that I usually s@ck!

Congrats SpaceHorseParty for the win!

Thank you Makarias for running an interesting game!

#4 scheivlak

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Posted 16 December 2020 - 11:47

Thanks Makarias and congrats to SpaceHorseParty  :clap:



#5 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 16 December 2020 - 13:07

Congratulations SpaceHorseParty well executed over the full season  :clap:

 

Thanks to Makarias for once again running this great game  :up:

 

With a calculation based on 14 races, and expectation of cancelled races as the season progressed you did well KWSN - DSM, roll on 2021 and let it be 2015 all over again  :cool:



#6 jjcale

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Posted 16 December 2020 - 22:40

Congrats SpaceHorseParty!

Thanks Makarias for running the game.