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Sensible F1 2021 predictions


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#51 Anderis

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Posted 13 December 2021 - 20:47

Let me see how I did:

- Hamilton will win the WDC wrong

- Mercedes will win the WCC right

- Bottas will be on average within 1 tenth of Hamilton in Q but not close enough in races to take the WDC fight to the last race mostly wrong (the average Q difference was more than 1 tenth, although not by a huge amount)

- Perez will be an upgrade over Albon but not enough to beat Verstappen in races barring the odd one (unless Max tries to overdrive fighting Mercs and makes a lot of mistakes) right

- Leclerc will beat Sainz comfortably kinda wrong (I feel Leclerc had an edge in performance, but he didn't beat Sainz combortably as it was Sainz who scored more points)

- Russell will score points very right (he scored more than any of us would've thought)

- Alonso will be solid but not stellar right (one could argue he had some stellar moments, but overall he beat Ocon with a smaller margin than Ricciardo last year- so not really stellar for a driver of this calibre IMO)

- McLaren will not see significant improvement over their 2020 level (I'm pointing this out because the oppposite seems to be a popular prediction recently :p ) right and kinda wrong (they dropped one place in WCC but they almost won 2 races on merit)

- Stroll will score at least 75% of Vettel's points right (albeit quite narrowly)

- No major surprises when it comes to teams pecking order mostly wrong (the pecking order was kinda close to what you would've expected, but WDC going to a non-Mercedes driver alone is quite a major surprise)

Not very great considering these were supposed to be "safe" predictions.
 



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#52 PoliFanAthic

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Posted 13 December 2021 - 21:39

Let me see how I did:

Not very great considering these were supposed to be "safe" predictions.
 

 

Pretty solid predictions though!

 

The midfield was really tough to predict, with many deceived by Aston Martin's potential (though it looked bleak after testing). I'd have also thought Tsunoda would be a positive surprise, but he struggled.

 

Interesting that the pre-season RBR/MGP power shift was accurate. Hamilton somehow snatched a few early wins, with Red Bull dropping the ball, but Verstappen then showed what the car could do - until MGP regrouped mid-season and finished as they usually do, very strongly.



#53 cpbell

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Posted 13 December 2021 - 21:44

Well, I was wrong about almost everything.



#54 JimmyClark

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Posted 19 December 2021 - 13:56

I think Mercedes won't be as far ahead as people think. Something for 2021 will trip them up - either the aero or the tyres.

However, saying that, I expect Hamilton to win the title, then retire. 

 

Ferrari will win a race. 

 

Perez will not get near Verstappen in qualifying, probably having a similar gap to Albon in terms of speed, but will get some decent race results. 

 

Vettel will have a rebirth at Aston Martin and destroy Stroll. They will get less points than RP in 2021, but Seb will get 2x podiums. 

 

Alonso will not be as fast as people are expecting, and Ocon will be very close. 

 

My craziest prediction will be that Ricciardo will win a race for McLaren. 

 

Haas will be bought out by the end of the year - maybe by Mazepin, but I can't see their name on the grid in 2022. They will also be beaten by Williams. 

 

Gasly will dominate Tsunoda, but Yuki will keep his seat as he clearly has raw speed. 

 

Alfa will be Alfa. We will barely notice them. 

 

For me... 

 

I think Mercedes won't be as far ahead as people think. Something for 2021 will trip them up - either the aero or the tyres. True

 

However, saying that, I expect Hamilton to win the title, then retire. False & False (but oh so close) 

 

Ferrari will win a race. False. But came oh so close in Silverstone. 

 

Perez will not get near Verstappen in qualifying, probably having a similar gap to Albon in terms of speed, but will get some decent race results.  True, though probably less decent race results than I expected. 

 

Vettel will have a rebirth at Aston Martin and destroy Stroll. They will get less points than RP in 2021, but Seb will get 2x podiums. Podium prediction for Seb true (I count Hungary as that wasn't his fault). False that he would destroy Stroll though. 

 

Alonso will not be as fast as people are expecting, and Ocon will be very close. Alonso was still fast, but Ocon kept him honest. Half true. 

 

My craziest prediction will be that Ricciardo will win a race for McLaren.  True. 

 

Haas will be bought out by the end of the year - maybe by Mazepin, but I can't see their name on the grid in 2022. They will also be beaten by Williams.  They haven't been bought, but they were beaten by Williams. 

 

Gasly will dominate Tsunoda, but Yuki will keep his seat as he clearly has raw speed.  True. 

 

Alfa will be Alfa. We will barely notice them. True. 

 

 

Not too bad if I say so myself... 



#55 Ali623

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Posted 19 December 2021 - 14:22

 

  • There will be some good races, and others will be pretty boring Technically true
  • Mercedes and Hamilton will win everything easily again Nope
  • Bottas will finish second Nope 
  • Verstappen will have multiple mechanical DNFs Nope
  • Aston, Alpine and McLaren driver pairings will all be surprisingly close 2/3
  • Ferrari will still be in the midfield true
  • Mazepin and Schumacher will be equally average Nope
  • Russell wont score any points Nope
  • Gasly will edge Tsunoda in the points Nope

 

 

Pretty terrible all round



#56 Dolph

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Posted 19 December 2021 - 14:53

If Ham & Merc don't win both championships I'll eat my hat.


Bon apetit, sir 😉