29 replies to this topic

[thegforcemaybewithyou]

The 2021 standings


Italy1 - Imola

Please note that you have to spend between 3 and 7 credits on every single bet.
Bets with more than 7 credits will be reduced to 7.

The odds are based on the 2020 race results for now, they'll be more and more influenced by the "true(error corrected)" 2021 qualifying and race results.


Bets for this round can be placed on

- Leclerc
- Ricciardo

- WDC and WCC bets


The spreadsheet with the odds: https://docs.google....FkUpGjVznIY19A/
Please bookmark the spreadsheet for times when the board is offline and send your entry to "thegforcembwu at gmail dot com".
Please notify me via the board later if you've sent your entry that way.

!At different stages (R1, R2, R5, R10) every player gets 10 additional credits he can spend on one WDC and one WCC bet!
The minimum value is 3 credits per bet, the maximum 7.


The rules:

Spoiler

- You receive 10 credits for every round and you cannot transfer credits to the next round(s)

- You have to place exactly two bets with those 10 credits each round (minimum 3 credits each bet, maximum 7 credits, only integer values allowed)

- The two bets have to be for different drivers

- The deadline to submit/edit your bets is the start of FP1

- For races 1, 2, 5 and 10 there is one WDC and one WCC bet to submit, the same limitations apply for the min and max bet values



You can bet on:

- Driver finishes in Position x or better (Table "Bet Px or better")

- Driver finishes in Position x or worse (Table "Bet Px or worse")

- Driver finishes in Position x (Table "Bet Px exactly")

- Driver does not finish the race (Table "Bet DNF?")

- Driver scores a result (Table "Bet DNF?")

- [Who wins the WDC and WCC? (Tab "WDC/WCC" or see the tables below) at certain points in the game]




The format of your bet should look like this:


4 Hamilton 2
and means 4 credits on Hamilton to finish in P2 at odd 4,18 currently

or

6 Alonso 8worse
and means 6 credits on Alonso to finish in P8 or worse at odd 1,35
(driver has to be classified according to FIA for the bet to be won)

or

5 Hamilton 3better
and means 5 credits on Hamilton to finish in P3 or better at odd 1,27

or

3 Alonso DNF
and means 3 credits on Alonso to not finish the race according to FIA (or being disqualified or not starting the race)

or

7 Hamilton Class
and means 7 credits on Hamilton to be classified according to FIA

or

5 Hamilton WDC
for 5 credits on Hamilton to win the WDC

or

5 Ferrari WCC
for 5 credits on Ferrari to win the WCC

Italy 1 Imola Odds

Odds				1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
Bet Px or better	LEC	96,44	21,82	9,35	5,25	3,45	2,51	1,96	1,63	1,41	1,27	1,18	1,11	1,07	1,04	1,02	1,01	1,01	1	1	1
			RIC	298,83	38,69	11,98	5,4	3,05	2,02	1,52	1,25	1,12	1,05	1,02	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Bet Px or worse		LEC	1	1,01	1,05	1,12	1,24	1,41	1,66	2,04	2,59	3,41	4,68	6,67	9,9	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
			RIC	1	1	1,03	1,09	1,23	1,49	1,98	2,93	4,95	9,65	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Bet Px exactly		LEC	96,44	28,19	16,36	11,98	10,02	9,19	9,08	9,57	10,7	12,62	15,67	20,47	28,07	40,38	60,93	96,38	159,78	277,59	505,34	964,03
			RIC	298,83	44,44	17,35	9,85	7,02	6	6,06	7,2	10,15	17,09	34,82	86,91	269,38	1000	1000	1000	1000	1000	1000	1000
Bet DNF?		LEC	8,82	1,10																		
			RIC	8,82	1,10

WDC and WCC odds

Driver	Odds March 29th
HAM	1,67
VER	2,5
PER	17
BOT	26
RIC	67
LEC	81
NOR	81
SAI	201
GAS	201
RUS	251
VET	501
ALO	501
STR	501
TSU	501
OCO	1001
RÄI	1501
GIO	2001
MSC	4001
MAZ	4001
LAT	4001

	
Team		Odds March 29th
Mercedes	1,4
Red Bull	2,75
McLaren		34
Ferrari		51
AlphaTauri	101
Aston Martin	251
Alpine		251
Alfa Romeo	2001
Williams	3001
Haas		4001

Some stats:

Driver		Last 5 Results sorted 2021
Leclerc		6
Ricciardo	7
																		
Range 2021	10%	90%
Leclerc		6	6
Ricciardo	7	7

My bets for Italy1 Imola:

5 Leclerc 7
5 Ricciardo 7

7 Verstappen WDC
3 Mercedes WCC

[KWSN - DSM]

5 - Leclerc 6thbetter
5 - Ricciardo 6thbetter

5 - Verstappen WDC

5 - Mercedes WCC 

[Anderis]

5 Leclerc 6better

5 Ricciardo 6better

 

3 Hamilton WDC

7 Mercedes WCC

[scheivlak]

5 Leclerc 7better

5 Ricciardo 6

[KWSN - DSM]

5 - Leclerc 7better
5 - Ricciardo 7better

5 - WDC Verstappen

5 - WCC Red Bull

[mark f1]

5 Leclerc 7better

5 Ricciardo 6better

 

5 WDC Hamilton

5 WCC Mercedes

[Makarias]

3 Leclerc 7

7 Ricciardo 5better

[SpaceHorseParty]

7 Leclerc 6better

3 Ricciardo 6better

 

7 WDC Hamilton

3 WCC Mercedes

[GTA]

7 Leclerc 6better

3 Ricciardo 8better

 

5 WDC Verstappen

5 WCC Mercedes

[Brawn BGP 001]

5 Leclerc 6worse

5 Riccardo 6better

 

6 WDC Verstappen

4 WCC Red Bull

[Makarias]

Also:

 

7 WDC Hamilton

3 WCC Mercedes

[Marklar]

3 Leclerc 5
7 Ricciardo 5

7 WDC VER
3 WCC Merc

[M2000-5]

5 Leclerc 6better

5 Ricciardo 7better

 

7 Verstappen WDC

3 Red Bull WCC

[Anderis]

Will we have odds for Portugal?

[M2000-5]

From what I can see at the google spreadsheet at the start of this topic, Portugal odds are ready for Verstappen and Raikkonen.

 

So I will take my pick as:

 

7 Verstappen 1

3 Raikkonen 14worse

[Anderis]

Just in case:

7 Verstappen 1

3 Raikkonen 12better

[mark f1]

7 Verstappen 1exact

3 Raikkonen 13worse

[Marklar]

just my 2 cents, but I dont think this round should count if there is no thread for it, many people will miss it

5 Verstappen DNF
5 Raikkonen 11

[GTA]

7 Verstappen 1

3 Raikkonen 11better

[Anderis]

just my 2 cents, but I dont think this round should count if there is no thread for it, many people will miss it

I agree it would be a bit unfair to count the results without a proper thread opened (or opened just a few hours before the deadline).

[Brawn BGP 001]

7 Verstappen 1

3 Raikkoen 12

[SpaceHorseParty]

7 Verstappen 1

3 Raikkonen 13better

[Makarias]

7 Verstappen 1

3 Räikkönen 11worse

[scheivlak]

5 Verstappen 1

5 Raikkonen 12better

[KWSN - DSM]

5 Verstappen 1st exact
5 Raikkonen DNF

[Makarias]

Agreed that the round could be cancelled. Imagine missing out on this round with great odds on a Verstappen win!

[M2000-5]

I just hope gforce is ok.

[Makarias]

Yeah, same.

[mark f1]

I sure hope gforce is ok. No longer guessing in any games which is a concern.

 

Does anyone want to pick up running Odd Choice in his absence?

[M2000-5]

Yeah, I noticed that too...

I would have liked to run Odd's Choice, but I kind of have some difficulty in posting the results on the 6 games I run. So I will not be able to run it.