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Place The Points Competition 2021 after Emilia-Romagna


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 20 April 2021 - 16:31

The standings after Emilia-Romagna:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  Everyone              202 101
Amazing tension.

The entries

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Norr     20,6     14,5    0
Lecl     14,4      9,5    0
Sain     14,3     10,3    0
Vers     11,7      9,8    0
Hami     11,0     10,0    0
Ricc      8,3      6,9    0
Gasl      8,1      5,9    0
Stro      6,6      5,0    0
Bott      5,7      4,8    0
Tsun      4,2      2,4    0
Pere      4,1      3,5    0
Ocon      2,7      1,8    0
Alon      0,9      0,6    0

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen             Hamilton               Norris                 Leclerc                Sainz               
* Potential     568    * Potential     568    * Potential     552    * Potential     545    * Potential     539
* Forecast      495    * Forecast      495    * Forecast      311    * Forecast      230    * Forecast      161
f1paul          440    Anderis         427    M2000-5         185    GTA             210    GTA             135
Brawn BGP 001   402    f1paul          425    Brawn BGP 001   164    Anderis         167    thegforcemaybewi120
M2000-5         396    Grayson         410    Makarias        146    Bleu            156    Grayson         110
scheivlak       395    GTA             410    Grayson         140    Makarias        147    Makarias        107
KWSN-DSM        390    SpaceHorseParty 410    jjcale          136    SpaceHorseParty 145    M2000-5         106
Bleu            387    jjcale          405    noikeee         134    Brawn BGP 001   143    Anderis         105
jjcale          384    Makarias        394    Marklar         132    Marklar         141    Bleu            100
noikeee         376    sladealonso     393    sladealonso     132    sladealonso     141    KWSN-DSM        100
SpaceHorseParty 370    mark f1         389    f1paul          131    thegforcemaybewi140    mark f1         100
Marklar         361    scheivlak       385    mark f1         130    DutchQuicksilver135    noikeee         100
thegforcemaybewi360    noikeee         383    DutchQuicksilver126    scheivlak       135    SpaceHorseParty 100
Makarias        352    DutchQuicksilver382    SpaceHorseParty 125    Grayson         130    jjcale           94
Grayson         350    M2000-5         382    Bleu            121    noikeee         130    scheivlak        90
GTA             350    Bleu            379    GTA             119    jjcale          126    f1paul           89
sladealonso     345    KWSN-DSM        378    Anderis         116    KWSN-DSM        125    sladealonso      80
mark f1         340    thegforcemaybewi370    scheivlak       115    mark f1         120    DutchQuicksilver 79
DutchQuicksilver330    Brawn BGP 001   364    thegforcemaybewi110    M2000-5         103    Brawn BGP 001    77
Anderis         303    Marklar         350    KWSN-DSM        100    f1paul          100    Marklar          71
* Current        43    * Current        43    * Current        27    * Current        20    * Current        14
It'll take a while until any of these beat a guess, but at this rate Norris will do it by the French GP.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Ricciardo              Gasly                  Stroll                 Ocon                   Alonso              
* Potential     539    * Potential     531    * Potential     530    * Potential     527    * Potential     526
Brawn BGP 001   201    KWSN-DSM        100    SpaceHorseParty 100    thegforcemaybewi110    Makarias        157
KWSN-DSM        200    mark f1         100    Anderis          96    noikeee         101    jjcale          146
Marklar         192    scheivlak        89    DutchQuicksilver 96    Bleu             95    thegforcemaybewi140
Makarias        181    DutchQuicksilver 88    M2000-5          91    SpaceHorseParty  95    Grayson         130
mark f1         175    sladealonso      85    mark f1          90    M2000-5          94    Anderis         126
scheivlak       175    Brawn BGP 001    83    jjcale           89    Grayson          90    sladealonso     125
sladealonso     174    thegforcemaybewi 80    Bleu             88    Anderis          82    mark f1         115
M2000-5         169    Marklar          79    KWSN-DSM         85    KWSN-DSM         80    SpaceHorseParty 115
f1paul          165    noikeee          71    sladealonso      84    mark f1          80    DutchQuicksilver112
GTA             165    GTA              70    Makarias         79    DutchQuicksilver 76    M2000-5         112
Bleu            162    * Forecast       69    GTA              65    Makarias         75    Bleu            108
jjcale          162    f1paul           68    f1paul           62    sladealonso      68    noikeee         103
DutchQuicksilver161    Makarias         68    thegforcemaybewi 62    Marklar          65    KWSN-DSM        100
* Forecast      161    SpaceHorseParty  65    scheivlak        61    scheivlak        60    Marklar          99
Grayson         160    M2000-5          63    Grayson          60    jjcale           59    Brawn BGP 001    93
Anderis         156    Grayson          60    Marklar          60    GTA              50    GTA              90
noikeee         155    Bleu             57    * Forecast       58    Brawn BGP 001    43    scheivlak        85
SpaceHorseParty 150    jjcale           54    Brawn BGP 001    54    f1paul           35    f1paul           56
thegforcemaybewi150    Anderis          49    noikeee          40    * Forecast       23    * Forecast       12
* Current        14    * Current         6    * Current         5    * Current         2    * Current         1
I'm having second thoughts about my Alonso guess.

The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Monaco GP.

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#2 M2000-5

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Posted 20 April 2021 - 17:37

I'm having second thoughts about my Alonso guess.

 

 

As everybody else bar f1paul  :D



#3 Anderis

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Posted 20 April 2021 - 18:20

2019: Anderis puts by far the least points on Mercedes out of all players, Mercedes dominate the season completely with both Hamilton and Bottas reaching 100% surprise mark.

2021: Anderis puts by far the least points on Red Bull out of all players, Red Bull seems to have the fastest car early in the season and Verstappen can reach 100% surprise mark if he continues scoring at this rate.

 

Do you see a pattern here? :p



#4 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 21 April 2021 - 14:48

I’m always so bad at this game. Every season when I enter my points predictions, I’m like, yes this is it. Only to find out after race 1 how wrong I was :lol: Too optimistic about Aston Martin and Alpine and too pessimistic on Ferrari.

#5 M2000-5

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Posted 21 April 2021 - 20:03

I’m always so bad at this game. Every season when I enter my points predictions, I’m like, yes this is it. Only to find out after race 1 how wrong I was :lol: Too optimistic about Aston Martin and Alpine and too pessimistic on Ferrari.

 

Tell me about it!  :rotfl:



#6 f1paul

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Posted 23 April 2021 - 19:57

As everybody else bar f1paul  :D

It's alright Leclerc and Sainz will screw me over.



#7 M2000-5

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Posted 23 April 2021 - 20:35

Same here f1paul!