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Guess the Pole 2021: Spain


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 01 May 2021 - 17:54

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2021 standings

Five latest poles at Spain:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2020  Hamilton      75.584
2019  Bottas        75.406
2018  Hamilton      76.173
2017  Hamilton      79.149
2016  Hamilton      82.000

Late 2020 front rows:
GP   Pole  #2  
SKH  Bott Russ
ABU  Vers Bott

Driver values:
Dri  val
Bott   6
Hami   6
Vers   9
Pere  13
Russ  13
REST  18

2021 data:
                  Time    2020 PP  2019 PP  2018 PP  2021/2020  2021/2019  2021/2018
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
BAH  Vers  Hami   88.997   87.264   87.866   87.958   101.986    101.287    101.181
EMI  Hami  Pere   74.411   73.609   ------   ------   101.090     ------     ------
POR  Bott  Hami   78.348   76.652   ------   ------   102.213     ------     ------
ESP                    0   75.584   75.406   76.173                                
MON                    0   ------   70.166   70.810    ------                      
AZE                    0   ------  100.495  101.498    ------                      
CAN                    0   ------   70.240   70.764    ------                      
FRA                    0   ------   88.319   90.029    ------                      
AUT                    0   62.939   63.003   63.130                                
GB                     0   84.303   85.093   85.892                                
HUN                    0   73.447   74.572   95.658                                
BEL                    0  101.252  102.519  118.179                                
NED                    0   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
ITA                    0   78.887   79.307   79.119                                
RUS                    0   91.304   91.628   91.387                                
SIN                    0   ------   96.217   96.015    ------                      
JAP                    0   ------   87.064   87.760    ------                      
USA                    0   ------   92.029   92.237    ------                      
MEX                    0   ------   74.758   74.759    ------                      
BRA                    0   ------   67.508   67.281    ------                      
OZ                     0   ------   80.486   81.164    ------                      
SA                     0   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
ABU                    0   95.246   94.779   94.794                                
My guess for Spain is 76.855 s by Max Verstappen.

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#2 Makarias

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Posted 01 May 2021 - 17:55

Andy35's guess:

76.044 Hamilton



#3 rodlamas

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Posted 01 May 2021 - 19:44

Bottas 76.888

#4 Makarias

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Posted 05 May 2021 - 22:19

OK, it appears that the Turns 10 and 11 have been reprofiled since last season so this round will be scored as a modified layout!



#5 GTA

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Posted 06 May 2021 - 00:10

78.007 LH



#6 mark f1

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Posted 06 May 2021 - 05:05

Hamilton 76.169


Edited by mark f1, 07 May 2021 - 09:29.


#7 scheivlak

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Posted 06 May 2021 - 06:30

Verstappen 75.550



#8 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 06 May 2021 - 09:09

76.212 Lewis Hamilton



#9 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 06 May 2021 - 16:45

74.711 Verstappen



#10 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 06 May 2021 - 17:00

Hamilton 75.187

#11 Anderis

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Posted 06 May 2021 - 18:07

Hamilton 76.900



#12 f1paul

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Posted 06 May 2021 - 19:53

Verstappen 78.810



#13 Bleu

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Posted 06 May 2021 - 20:06

76,718 Verstappen



#14 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 07 May 2021 - 01:34

76.666 Verstappen



#15 alekracing

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Posted 07 May 2021 - 01:44

76.693 Verstappen



#16 M2000-5

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Posted 07 May 2021 - 06:42

76.513 Verstappen



#17 Marklar

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Posted 07 May 2021 - 07:13

74.700 Verstappen

Edited by Marklar, 07 May 2021 - 09:29.