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Guess the Pole 2021: France


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 05 June 2021 - 13:40

This year France is scored as a Modified Circuit on account of not having been run the previous season.

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2021 standings

Five latest poles at France-Le Castellet:
2019  Hamilton      88.319
2018  Hamilton      90.029
1990  Mansell       64.402 (Old layout)
1989  Prost         67.203
1988  Prost         67.589

Driver values:
Dri  val
Hami   4
Lecl   9
Vers   9
Bott  13
Pere  13
REST  18

2021 data:
                  Time    2020 PP  2019 PP  2018 PP  2021/2020  2021/2019  2021/2018
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
BAH  Vers  Hami   88.997   87.264   87.866   87.958   101.986    101.287    101.181
EMI  Hami  Pere   74.411   73.609   ------   ------   101.090     ------     ------
POR  Bott  Hami   78.348   76.652   ------   ------   102.213     ------     ------
ESP  Hami  Vers   76.741   75.584   75.406   76.173   101.531    101.770    100.746
MON  Lecl  Vers   70.346   ------   70.166   70.810    ------    100.257     99.345
AZE  Lecl  Hami  101.218   ------  100.495  101.498    ------    100.719     99.724
FRA                    0   ------   88.319   90.029    ------                      
STY                    0   62.939   63.003   63.130                                
AUT                    0   62.939   63.003   63.130                                
GB                     0   84.303   85.093   85.892                                
HUN                    0   73.447   74.572   95.658                                
BEL                    0  101.252  102.519  118.179                                
NED                    0   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
ITA                    0   78.887   79.307   79.119                                
RUS                    0   91.304   91.628   91.387                                
SIN                    0   ------   96.217   96.015    ------                      
JAP                    0   ------   87.064   87.760    ------                      
USA                    0   ------   92.029   92.237    ------                      
MEX                    0   ------   74.758   74.759    ------                      
BRA                    0   ------   67.508   67.281    ------                      
OZ                     0   ------   80.486   81.164    ------                      
SA                     0   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
ABU                    0   95.246   94.779   94.794                                
My guess for France is 89.059 s by Lewis Hamilton.

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#2 Anderis

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Posted 16 June 2021 - 20:19

89.188 Hamilton



#3 scheivlak

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Posted 16 June 2021 - 21:00

Verstappen 88.789


Edited by scheivlak, Today, 08:42.


#4 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 16 June 2021 - 21:54

89.111 Perez



#5 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 16 June 2021 - 22:01

Perez 87.998

#6 mark f1

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Posted 16 June 2021 - 23:25

Hamilton 89.202



#7 rodlamas

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Posted Yesterday, 09:37

Norris 88.888

#8 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted Yesterday, 14:12

88.724 Lewis Hamilton

#9 alekracing

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Posted Yesterday, 18:11

89.369 Hamilton



#10 Bleu

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Posted Yesterday, 19:35

88,747 Hamilton



#11 Makarias

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Posted Yesterday, 22:40

Andy35's submitted entry for France:

88.888 Hami



#12 GTA

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Posted Yesterday, 23:18

89.411 LH



#13 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted Today, 00:01

88.949 Hamilton



#14 M2000-5

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Posted Today, 08:12

88.624 Hamilton



#15 Marklar

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Posted Today, 08:34

89.432 Bottas



#16 f1paul

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Posted Today, 09:21

Hamilton 87.790