The standings after Britain:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Anderis 1010 101 = Bleu 1010 101 = Brawn BGP 001 1010 101 = DutchQuicksilver 1010 101 = f1paul 1010 101 = Grayson 1010 101 = GTA 1010 101 = jjcale 1010 101 = M2000-5 1010 101 = Makarias 1010 101 = mark f1 1010 101 = Marklar 1010 101 = noikeee 1010 101 = scheivlak 1010 101 = sladealonso 1010 101 = SpaceHorseParty 1010 101 17) thegforcemaybewithyou1007 98 18) KWSN-DSM 997 89Very exciting development!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Norr 86,1 60,8 2 Sain 69,4 50,0 0 Lecl 57,7 37,9 0 Gasl 52,8 38,6 0 Vers 48,6 40,6 0 Hami 44,0 40,2 0 Pere 42,3 36,6 0 Bott 40,0 33,8 0 Ricc 29,5 24,8 0 Vett 28,5 20,8 0 Alon 26,8 19,0 0 Tsun 20,8 11,9 0 Ocon 18,6 12,6 0 Stro 18,5 13,9 0 Giov 11,4 3,8 0 Räik 8,5 2,4 0Two victims of Lando so far. Other drivers will join the party soon.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Leclerc Bottas Norris Ricciardo * Potential 497 * Potential 405 * Potential 430 * Potential 438 * Potential 375 Anderis 427 GTA 210 Anderis 310 * Forecast 260 Brawn BGP 001 201 f1paul 425 * Forecast 184 f1paul 300 M2000-5 185 KWSN-DSM 200 Grayson 410 Anderis 167 Grayson 300 Brawn BGP 001 164 Marklar 192 GTA 410 Bleu 156 DutchQuicksilver299 Makarias 146 Makarias 181 SpaceHorseParty 410 Makarias 147 sladealonso 284 Grayson 140 mark f1 175 jjcale 405 SpaceHorseParty 145 Marklar 282 jjcale 136 scheivlak 175 * Forecast 396 Brawn BGP 001 143 SpaceHorseParty 280 noikeee 134 sladealonso 174 Makarias 394 Marklar 141 jjcale 274 Marklar 132 M2000-5 169 sladealonso 393 sladealonso 141 mark f1 260 sladealonso 132 f1paul 165 mark f1 389 thegforcemaybewi140 noikeee 259 f1paul 131 GTA 165 scheivlak 385 DutchQuicksilver135 Brawn BGP 001 252 mark f1 130 Bleu 162 noikeee 383 scheivlak 135 thegforcemaybewi250 DutchQuicksilver126 jjcale 162 DutchQuicksilver382 Grayson 130 scheivlak 246 SpaceHorseParty 125 DutchQuicksilver161 M2000-5 382 noikeee 130 Bleu 245 Bleu 121 Grayson 160 Bleu 379 jjcale 126 * Forecast 242 GTA 119 Anderis 156 KWSN-DSM 378 KWSN-DSM 125 KWSN-DSM 225 Anderis 116 noikeee 155 thegforcemaybewi370 mark f1 120 M2000-5 223 scheivlak 115 SpaceHorseParty 150 Brawn BGP 001 364 M2000-5 103 GTA 220 * Current 113 thegforcemaybewi150 Marklar 350 f1paul 100 Makarias 218 thegforcemaybewi110 * Forecast 115 * Current 172 * Current 80 * Current 105 KWSN-DSM 100 * Current 50Heck, Norris is only 73 points away from a 100% surprise. Things will happen fast now!
Guesses on P6-P10:
Sainz Alonso Stroll Ocon Tsunoda * Potential 393 * Potential 355 * Potential 339 * Potential 339 * Potential 335 * Forecast 156 Makarias 157 SpaceHorseParty 100 thegforcemaybewi110 scheivlak 83 GTA 135 jjcale 146 Anderis 96 noikeee 101 KWSN-DSM 80 thegforcemaybewi120 thegforcemaybewi140 DutchQuicksilver 96 Bleu 95 Marklar 75 Grayson 110 Grayson 130 M2000-5 91 SpaceHorseParty 95 noikeee 70 Makarias 107 Anderis 126 mark f1 90 M2000-5 94 Grayson 50 M2000-5 106 sladealonso 125 jjcale 89 Grayson 90 mark f1 50 Anderis 105 mark f1 115 Bleu 88 Anderis 82 thegforcemaybewi 50 Bleu 100 SpaceHorseParty 115 KWSN-DSM 85 KWSN-DSM 80 Makarias 46 KWSN-DSM 100 DutchQuicksilver112 sladealonso 84 mark f1 80 Anderis 45 mark f1 100 M2000-5 112 Makarias 79 DutchQuicksilver 76 SpaceHorseParty 43 noikeee 100 Bleu 108 GTA 65 Makarias 75 sladealonso 42 SpaceHorseParty 100 noikeee 103 f1paul 62 sladealonso 68 GTA 40 jjcale 94 KWSN-DSM 100 thegforcemaybewi 62 Marklar 65 f1paul 39 scheivlak 90 Marklar 99 scheivlak 61 scheivlak 60 Brawn BGP 001 34 f1paul 89 Brawn BGP 001 93 Grayson 60 jjcale 59 DutchQuicksilver 34 sladealonso 80 GTA 90 Marklar 60 GTA 50 M2000-5 33 DutchQuicksilver 79 scheivlak 85 Brawn BGP 001 54 Brawn BGP 001 43 Bleu 28 Brawn BGP 001 77 * Forecast 69 noikeee 40 f1paul 35 jjcale 24 Marklar 71 f1paul 56 * Forecast 32 * Forecast 32 * Forecast 23 * Current 68 * Current 30 * Current 14 * Current 14 * Current 10Sainz will have Marklar and others for lunch soon enough.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Brawn BGP 001 2058,7 5,4 GTA 2048,8 47,8 M2000-5 2042,2 22,0 scheivlak 2034,7 20,5 Bleu 2025,7 16,5 SpaceHorseParty 2025,1 53,5 noikeee 2019,7 12,7 f1paul 2008,0 -16,0 thegforcemaybewithyou2005,4 21,4 Grayson 2002,3 38,7 Makarias 1999,0 38,8 sladealonso 1994,5 49,3 mark f1 1993,2 35,3 jjcale 1993,1 51,9 KWSN-DSM 1976,7 12,8 DutchQuicksilver 1960,5 38,3 Marklar 1959,7 18,1 Anderis 1925,1 60,4Well, that makes things closer.