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Place The Points Competition 2021 after Belgium


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 31 August 2021 - 17:51

Just as in Shareholders, Malaysia 2009 works as a precedent here and I'll treat the Belgium reults as if full points were awarded.
http://forums.autosp...threadid=107822
Exciting!

The standings after Belgium:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  scheivlak            1193  87
2)  noikeee              1190  84
3)  M2000-5              1189  82
=   mark f1              1189  82
5)  jjcale               1185  78
6)  Bleu                 1184  81
=   Grayson              1184  81
8)  Makarias             1183  81
=   thegforcemaybewithyou1183  81
10) GTA                  1182  81
=   SpaceHorseParty      1182  81
12) KWSN-DSM             1181  83
13) Anderis              1180  74
=   Brawn BGP 001        1180  80
=   DutchQuicksilver     1180  80
=   sladealonso          1180  80
17) f1paul               1175  75
18) Marklar              1174  80
Ah, the sweet smell of complete chaos in the evening and the knowledge that for once it was completely the right race for me to miss.

The entries

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Lati    757,9    114,3   18
Russ    591,0    200,0   18
Norr     86,1     60,8    2
Sain     85,8     61,8    4
Gasl     77,2     56,4    2
Lecl     60,6     39,8    0
Ocon     59,6     40,5    2
Vers     55,9     46,7    0
Hami     52,4     47,9    0
Pere     42,3     36,6    0
Bott     40,0     33,8    0
Vett     38,1     27,8    0
Alon     37,6     26,6    0
Tsun     37,4     21,4    0
Ricc     36,6     30,7    0
Stro     18,5     13,9    0
Räik     17,0      4,9    0
Giov     11,4      3,8    0
Russell and Latifi become the first two drivers to become 100% surprises this season. Congrats!

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen             Russell                Hamilton               Ricciardo              Vettel              
* Potential     481    * Potential     297    * Potential     480    * Potential     337    * Potential     315
f1paul          440    * Forecast       42    Anderis         427    Brawn BGP 001   201    DutchQuicksilver143
Brawn BGP 001   402    * Current        22    f1paul          425    KWSN-DSM        200    jjcale          131
M2000-5         396    scheivlak        10    Grayson         410    Marklar         192    Makarias        122
scheivlak       395    noikeee           7    GTA             410    Makarias        181    thegforcemaybewi120
* Forecast      395    Brawn BGP 001     6    SpaceHorseParty 410    mark f1         175    f1paul          119
KWSN-DSM        390    KWSN-DSM          6    jjcale          405    scheivlak       175    Marklar         118
Bleu            387    Anderis           5    Makarias        394    sladealonso     174    mark f1         115
jjcale          384    M2000-5           5    * Forecast      393    M2000-5         169    Bleu            112
noikeee         376    mark f1           5    sladealonso     393    f1paul          165    sladealonso     110
SpaceHorseParty 370    jjcale            4    mark f1         389    GTA             165    Brawn BGP 001   109
Marklar         361    Marklar           4    scheivlak       385    Bleu            162    M2000-5         105
thegforcemaybewi360    DutchQuicksilver  3    noikeee         383    jjcale          162    Anderis         104
Makarias        352    f1paul            3    DutchQuicksilver382    DutchQuicksilver161    KWSN-DSM        100
Grayson         350    Bleu              2    M2000-5         382    Grayson         160    noikeee          99
GTA             350    Grayson           2    Bleu            379    Anderis         156    scheivlak        90
sladealonso     345    sladealonso       2    KWSN-DSM        378    noikeee         155    * Forecast       77
mark f1         340    thegforcemaybewi  2    thegforcemaybewi370    SpaceHorseParty 150    SpaceHorseParty  75
DutchQuicksilver330    Makarias          1    Brawn BGP 001   364    thegforcemaybewi150    Grayson          60
Anderis         303    GTA               0    Marklar         350    * Forecast      119    GTA              60
* Current       206    SpaceHorseParty   0    * Current       205    * Current        62    * Current        40
Who knows if one point more or less guessed on Russell ends up being a title decider this season.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Gasly                  Ocon                   Leclerc                Latifi                 Sainz               
* Potential     332    * Potential     320    * Potential     359    * Potential     283    * Potential     359
* Forecast      109    thegforcemaybewi110    GTA             210    * Forecast       15    * Forecast      161
KWSN-DSM        100    noikeee         101    Anderis         167    * Current         8    GTA             135
mark f1         100    Bleu             95    * Forecast      161    KWSN-DSM          6    thegforcemaybewi120
scheivlak        89    SpaceHorseParty  95    Bleu            156    jjcale            2    Grayson         110
DutchQuicksilver 88    M2000-5          94    Makarias        147    M2000-5           2    Makarias        107
sladealonso      85    Grayson          90    SpaceHorseParty 145    mark f1           2    M2000-5         106
Brawn BGP 001    83    * Forecast       86    Brawn BGP 001   143    thegforcemaybewi  2    Anderis         105
thegforcemaybewi 80    Anderis          82    Marklar         141    Anderis           1    Bleu            100
Marklar          79    KWSN-DSM         80    sladealonso     141    Brawn BGP 001     1    KWSN-DSM        100
noikeee          71    mark f1          80    thegforcemaybewi140    Marklar           1    mark f1         100
GTA              70    DutchQuicksilver 76    DutchQuicksilver135    noikeee           1    noikeee         100
f1paul           68    Makarias         75    scheivlak       135    scheivlak         1    SpaceHorseParty 100
Makarias         68    sladealonso      68    Grayson         130    Bleu              0    jjcale           94
SpaceHorseParty  65    Marklar          65    noikeee         130    DutchQuicksilver  0    scheivlak        90
M2000-5          63    scheivlak        60    jjcale          126    f1paul            0    f1paul           89
Grayson          60    jjcale           59    KWSN-DSM        125    Grayson           0    * Current        84
Bleu             57    GTA              50    mark f1         120    GTA               0    sladealonso      80
* Current        57    * Current        45    M2000-5         103    Makarias          0    DutchQuicksilver 79
jjcale           54    Brawn BGP 001    43    f1paul          100    sladealonso       0    Brawn BGP 001    77
Anderis          49    f1paul           35    * Current        84    SpaceHorseParty   0    Marklar          71
Gasly, Ocon and Sainz are all beating guesses already and make things interesting in the coming races. Leclerc will get there soon too.

The PTPC forecast
Name               Forecast  +/-
M2000-5              2069,3   2,6
Makarias             2032,6 -21,0
noikeee              2031,9 -16,9
KWSN-DSM             2028,7 -10,1
SpaceHorseParty      2026,2 -22,9
Bleu                 2025,4  -5,2
scheivlak            2023,5  -0,8
Brawn BGP 001        2019,0  -2,1
thegforcemaybewithyou2013,9 -16,8
mark f1              2009,7 -21,6
GTA                  2004,9 -46,2
Grayson              1998,2 -35,2
sladealonso          1989,6 -21,7
jjcale               1985,1 -16,8
DutchQuicksilver     1962,2 -18,5
Anderis              1958,6 -17,1
Marklar              1947,7 -21,6
f1paul               1932,9  -2,3
Williams drivers scoring loads of points didn't help the forecast. But Ricciardo and Vettel helped things for the better.

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#2 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 31 August 2021 - 18:11

The PTPC is slowly adjusting the way I like it.



#3 noikeee

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Posted 31 August 2021 - 18:18

I don't understand how this worked in my favour, but I'll take it.