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Place The Points Competition 2021 after the Netherlands


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#1 Makarias

Makarias
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Posted 05 September 2021 - 18:16

The standings after the Netherlands:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  scheivlak            1294 101
2)  noikeee              1291 101
3)  mark f1              1290 101
4)  M2000-5              1284  95
5)  GTA                  1283 101
=   Makarias             1283 100
=   thegforcemaybewithyou1283 100
8)  KWSN-DSM             1281 100
9)  SpaceHorseParty      1279  97
10) Grayson              1276  92
11) DutchQuicksilver     1275  95
=   sladealonso          1275  95
13) jjcale               1274  89
14) Bleu                 1273  89
=   Brawn BGP 001        1273  93
16) f1paul               1272  97
17) Anderis              1269  89
=   Marklar              1269  95
Four perfect 101 scores this round. They're in the minority now and might be a rare sight soon.

The entries

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Lati    757,9    114,3   18
Russ    591,0    200,0   18
Gasl     93,5     68,3    8
Sain     91,9     66,2    5
Norr     86,9     61,3    2
Lecl     67,8     44,5    0
Vers     62,7     52,4    0
Ocon     62,3     42,3    2
Hami     57,0     52,1    0
Bott     45,7     38,6    0
Alon     44,7     31,6    0
Pere     43,9     38,0    0
Vett     38,1     27,8    0
Tsun     37,4     21,4    0
Ricc     36,6     30,7    0
Stro     18,5     13,9    0
Räik     17,0      4,9    0
Giov     11,4      3,8    0
Gasly moves up to third in this list.

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen             Hamilton               Bottas                 Gasly                  Leclerc             
* Potential     481    * Potential     473    * Potential     370    * Potential     319    * Potential     344
f1paul          440    Anderis         427    Anderis         310    * Forecast      122    GTA             210
* Forecast      409    f1paul          425    f1paul          300    KWSN-DSM        100    Anderis         167
Brawn BGP 001   402    Grayson         410    Grayson         300    mark f1         100    * Forecast      166
M2000-5         396    GTA             410    DutchQuicksilver299    scheivlak        89    Bleu            156
scheivlak       395    SpaceHorseParty 410    sladealonso     284    DutchQuicksilver 88    Makarias        147
KWSN-DSM        390    jjcale          405    Marklar         282    sladealonso      85    SpaceHorseParty 145
Bleu            387    * Forecast      395    SpaceHorseParty 280    Brawn BGP 001    83    Brawn BGP 001   143
jjcale          384    Makarias        394    jjcale          274    thegforcemaybewi 80    Marklar         141
noikeee         376    sladealonso     393    mark f1         260    Marklar          79    sladealonso     141
SpaceHorseParty 370    mark f1         389    noikeee         259    noikeee          71    thegforcemaybewi140
Marklar         361    scheivlak       385    Brawn BGP 001   252    GTA              70    DutchQuicksilver135
thegforcemaybewi360    noikeee         383    thegforcemaybewi250    * Current        69    scheivlak       135
Makarias        352    DutchQuicksilver382    scheivlak       246    f1paul           68    Grayson         130
Grayson         350    M2000-5         382    Bleu            245    Makarias         68    noikeee         130
GTA             350    Bleu            379    KWSN-DSM        225    SpaceHorseParty  65    jjcale          126
sladealonso     345    KWSN-DSM        378    M2000-5         223    M2000-5          63    KWSN-DSM        125
mark f1         340    thegforcemaybewi370    GTA             220    Grayson          60    mark f1         120
DutchQuicksilver330    Brawn BGP 001   364    Makarias        218    Bleu             57    M2000-5         103
Anderis         303    Marklar         350    * Forecast      212    jjcale           54    f1paul          100
* Current       231    * Current       223    * Current       120    Anderis          49    * Current        94
Makarias seems to have guessed well on the Mercedes drivers and should be praised.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Alonso                 Sainz                  Perez                  Ocon                   Norris              
* Potential     300    * Potential     340    * Potential     358    * Potential     297    * Potential     364
Makarias        157    * Forecast      159    Brawn BGP 001   283    thegforcemaybewi110    * Forecast      202
jjcale          146    GTA             135    noikeee         276    noikeee         101    M2000-5         185
thegforcemaybewi140    thegforcemaybewi120    f1paul          268    Bleu             95    Brawn BGP 001   164
Grayson         130    Grayson         110    GTA             265    SpaceHorseParty  95    Makarias        146
Anderis         126    Makarias        107    Grayson         260    M2000-5          94    Grayson         140
sladealonso     125    M2000-5         106    scheivlak       260    Grayson          90    jjcale          136
mark f1         115    Anderis         105    Bleu            258    * Forecast       83    noikeee         134
SpaceHorseParty 115    Bleu            100    Marklar         253    Anderis          82    Marklar         132
DutchQuicksilver112    KWSN-DSM        100    thegforcemaybewi250    KWSN-DSM         80    sladealonso     132
M2000-5         112    mark f1         100    M2000-5         244    mark f1          80    f1paul          131
Bleu            108    noikeee         100    mark f1         238    DutchQuicksilver 76    mark f1         130
noikeee         103    SpaceHorseParty 100    SpaceHorseParty 238    Makarias         75    DutchQuicksilver126
KWSN-DSM        100    jjcale           94    DutchQuicksilver234    sladealonso      68    SpaceHorseParty 125
Marklar          99    scheivlak        90    sladealonso     232    Marklar          65    Bleu            121
Brawn BGP 001    93    * Current        90    KWSN-DSM        224    scheivlak        60    GTA             119
GTA              90    f1paul           89    Makarias        222    jjcale           59    Anderis         116
* Forecast       88    sladealonso      80    jjcale          217    GTA              50    scheivlak       115
scheivlak        85    DutchQuicksilver 79    Anderis         203    * Current        47    * Current       114
f1paul           56    Brawn BGP 001    77    * Forecast      191    Brawn BGP 001    43    thegforcemaybewi110
* Current        50    Marklar          71    * Current       108    f1paul           35    KWSN-DSM        100
If Norris would have scored more than one point in the last three races he might have beaten loads of guesses already.

The PTPC forecast
Name               Forecast  +/-
M2000-5              2059,4  -9,9
Makarias             2024,2  -8,4
noikeee              2019,4 -12,5
KWSN-DSM             2019,2  -9,4
Brawn BGP 001        2017,2  -1,8
SpaceHorseParty      2016,9  -9,2
Bleu                 2015,5  -9,9
scheivlak            2010,8 -12,7
GTA                  2008,3   3,4
thegforcemaybewithyou2001,4 -12,5
mark f1              2000,2  -9,4
Grayson              1993,2  -5,0
sladealonso          1980,2  -9,4
jjcale               1979,9  -5,2
Anderis              1956,1  -2,5
DutchQuicksilver     1953,2  -8,9
Marklar              1938,2  -9,4
f1paul               1931,0  -1,9
Marginal changes, almost all down a little.