The standings after the Netherlands:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) scheivlak 1294 101 2) noikeee 1291 101 3) mark f1 1290 101 4) M2000-5 1284 95 5) GTA 1283 101 = Makarias 1283 100 = thegforcemaybewithyou1283 100 8) KWSN-DSM 1281 100 9) SpaceHorseParty 1279 97 10) Grayson 1276 92 11) DutchQuicksilver 1275 95 = sladealonso 1275 95 13) jjcale 1274 89 14) Bleu 1273 89 = Brawn BGP 001 1273 93 16) f1paul 1272 97 17) Anderis 1269 89 = Marklar 1269 95Four perfect 101 scores this round. They're in the minority now and might be a rare sight soon.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Lati 757,9 114,3 18 Russ 591,0 200,0 18 Gasl 93,5 68,3 8 Sain 91,9 66,2 5 Norr 86,9 61,3 2 Lecl 67,8 44,5 0 Vers 62,7 52,4 0 Ocon 62,3 42,3 2 Hami 57,0 52,1 0 Bott 45,7 38,6 0 Alon 44,7 31,6 0 Pere 43,9 38,0 0 Vett 38,1 27,8 0 Tsun 37,4 21,4 0 Ricc 36,6 30,7 0 Stro 18,5 13,9 0 Räik 17,0 4,9 0 Giov 11,4 3,8 0Gasly moves up to third in this list.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Hamilton Bottas Gasly Leclerc * Potential 481 * Potential 473 * Potential 370 * Potential 319 * Potential 344 f1paul 440 Anderis 427 Anderis 310 * Forecast 122 GTA 210 * Forecast 409 f1paul 425 f1paul 300 KWSN-DSM 100 Anderis 167 Brawn BGP 001 402 Grayson 410 Grayson 300 mark f1 100 * Forecast 166 M2000-5 396 GTA 410 DutchQuicksilver299 scheivlak 89 Bleu 156 scheivlak 395 SpaceHorseParty 410 sladealonso 284 DutchQuicksilver 88 Makarias 147 KWSN-DSM 390 jjcale 405 Marklar 282 sladealonso 85 SpaceHorseParty 145 Bleu 387 * Forecast 395 SpaceHorseParty 280 Brawn BGP 001 83 Brawn BGP 001 143 jjcale 384 Makarias 394 jjcale 274 thegforcemaybewi 80 Marklar 141 noikeee 376 sladealonso 393 mark f1 260 Marklar 79 sladealonso 141 SpaceHorseParty 370 mark f1 389 noikeee 259 noikeee 71 thegforcemaybewi140 Marklar 361 scheivlak 385 Brawn BGP 001 252 GTA 70 DutchQuicksilver135 thegforcemaybewi360 noikeee 383 thegforcemaybewi250 * Current 69 scheivlak 135 Makarias 352 DutchQuicksilver382 scheivlak 246 f1paul 68 Grayson 130 Grayson 350 M2000-5 382 Bleu 245 Makarias 68 noikeee 130 GTA 350 Bleu 379 KWSN-DSM 225 SpaceHorseParty 65 jjcale 126 sladealonso 345 KWSN-DSM 378 M2000-5 223 M2000-5 63 KWSN-DSM 125 mark f1 340 thegforcemaybewi370 GTA 220 Grayson 60 mark f1 120 DutchQuicksilver330 Brawn BGP 001 364 Makarias 218 Bleu 57 M2000-5 103 Anderis 303 Marklar 350 * Forecast 212 jjcale 54 f1paul 100 * Current 231 * Current 223 * Current 120 Anderis 49 * Current 94Makarias seems to have guessed well on the Mercedes drivers and should be praised.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Alonso Sainz Perez Ocon Norris * Potential 300 * Potential 340 * Potential 358 * Potential 297 * Potential 364 Makarias 157 * Forecast 159 Brawn BGP 001 283 thegforcemaybewi110 * Forecast 202 jjcale 146 GTA 135 noikeee 276 noikeee 101 M2000-5 185 thegforcemaybewi140 thegforcemaybewi120 f1paul 268 Bleu 95 Brawn BGP 001 164 Grayson 130 Grayson 110 GTA 265 SpaceHorseParty 95 Makarias 146 Anderis 126 Makarias 107 Grayson 260 M2000-5 94 Grayson 140 sladealonso 125 M2000-5 106 scheivlak 260 Grayson 90 jjcale 136 mark f1 115 Anderis 105 Bleu 258 * Forecast 83 noikeee 134 SpaceHorseParty 115 Bleu 100 Marklar 253 Anderis 82 Marklar 132 DutchQuicksilver112 KWSN-DSM 100 thegforcemaybewi250 KWSN-DSM 80 sladealonso 132 M2000-5 112 mark f1 100 M2000-5 244 mark f1 80 f1paul 131 Bleu 108 noikeee 100 mark f1 238 DutchQuicksilver 76 mark f1 130 noikeee 103 SpaceHorseParty 100 SpaceHorseParty 238 Makarias 75 DutchQuicksilver126 KWSN-DSM 100 jjcale 94 DutchQuicksilver234 sladealonso 68 SpaceHorseParty 125 Marklar 99 scheivlak 90 sladealonso 232 Marklar 65 Bleu 121 Brawn BGP 001 93 * Current 90 KWSN-DSM 224 scheivlak 60 GTA 119 GTA 90 f1paul 89 Makarias 222 jjcale 59 Anderis 116 * Forecast 88 sladealonso 80 jjcale 217 GTA 50 scheivlak 115 scheivlak 85 DutchQuicksilver 79 Anderis 203 * Current 47 * Current 114 f1paul 56 Brawn BGP 001 77 * Forecast 191 Brawn BGP 001 43 thegforcemaybewi110 * Current 50 Marklar 71 * Current 108 f1paul 35 KWSN-DSM 100If Norris would have scored more than one point in the last three races he might have beaten loads of guesses already.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- M2000-5 2059,4 -9,9 Makarias 2024,2 -8,4 noikeee 2019,4 -12,5 KWSN-DSM 2019,2 -9,4 Brawn BGP 001 2017,2 -1,8 SpaceHorseParty 2016,9 -9,2 Bleu 2015,5 -9,9 scheivlak 2010,8 -12,7 GTA 2008,3 3,4 thegforcemaybewithyou2001,4 -12,5 mark f1 2000,2 -9,4 Grayson 1993,2 -5,0 sladealonso 1980,2 -9,4 jjcale 1979,9 -5,2 Anderis 1956,1 -2,5 DutchQuicksilver 1953,2 -8,9 Marklar 1938,2 -9,4 f1paul 1931,0 -1,9Marginal changes, almost all down a little.