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Guess the Pole 2021: Russia


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 10 September 2021 - 17:30

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2021 standings

Five latest poles at Russia:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2020  Hamilton      91.304
2019  Leclerc       91.628
2018  Bottas        91.387
2017  Vettel        93.194
2016  Rosberg       95.417

Driver values:
Dri  val
Hami   4
Vers   4
Bott  13
Russ  13
REST  18

2021 data:
                  Time    2020 PP  2019 PP  2018 PP  2021/2020  2021/2019  2021/2018
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
BAH  Vers  Hami   88.997   87.264   87.866   87.958   101.986    101.287    101.181
EMI  Hami  Pere   74.411   73.609   ------   ------   101.090     ------     ------
POR  Bott  Hami   78.348   76.652   ------   ------   102.213     ------     ------
ESP  Hami  Vers   76.741   75.584   75.406   76.173   101.531    101.770    100.746
MON  Lecl  Vers   70.346   ------   70.166   70.810    ------    100.257     99.345
AZE  Lecl  Hami  101.218   ------  100.495  101.498    ------    100.719     99.724
FRA  Vers  Hami   89.990   ------   88.319   90.029    ------    101.892     99.957
STY  Vers  Bott   63.841   62.939   63.003   63.130   101.433    101.330    101.126
AUT  Vers  Norr   63.720   62.939   63.003   63.130   101.241    101.138    100.935
GB   Hami  Vers   86.134   84.303   85.093   85.892   102.172    101.223    100.282
HUN  Hami  Bott   75.419   73.447   74.572   95.658   102.685    101.136     78.842
BEL  Vers  Russ  119.765  101.252  102.519  118.179   118.284    116.822    101.342
NED  Vers  Hami   68.885   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
ITA  Hami  Vers   79.651   78.887   79.307   79.119   100.968    100.434    100.672
RUS                    0   91.304   91.628   91.387                                
TUR                    0  107.765   ------   ------               ------     ------
JAP                    0   ------   87.064   87.760    ------                      
USA                    0   ------   92.029   92.237    ------                      
MEX                    0   ------   74.758   74.759    ------                      
BRA                    0   ------   67.508   67.281    ------                      
OZ                     0   ------   80.486   81.164    ------                      
SA                     0   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
ABU                    0   95.246   94.779   94.794                                
My guess for Russia is 92.744 s by Max Verstappen.

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#2 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 22 September 2021 - 18:53

106.461 Lewis Hamilton



#3 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 22 September 2021 - 20:18

107.711 Sergio Perez



#4 GTA

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Posted 23 September 2021 - 02:26

109.699 LH



#5 mark f1

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Posted 23 September 2021 - 04:54

Hamilton 105.321



#6 scheivlak

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Posted 23 September 2021 - 09:18

Lewis Hamilton 118.305



#7 f1paul

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Posted 23 September 2021 - 10:40

Hamilton 110.111



#8 alekracing

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Posted 23 September 2021 - 16:25

109.639 Hamilton



#9 Anderis

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Posted 23 September 2021 - 18:22

93.500 Hamilton



#10 M2000-5

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Posted 24 September 2021 - 06:02

108.543 Norris



#11 Marklar

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Posted 24 September 2021 - 06:30

104.235 Bottas



#12 Bleu

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Posted 24 September 2021 - 07:28

95.278 Hamilton



#13 Makarias

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Posted 24 September 2021 - 08:11

I'll hold on to my Verstappen guess...

 

For clarification in advance:

The three place grid penalty for the Monza collision is one I'll ignore as it is disciplinary in nature.

An engine replacement will NOT be ignored and would rule out the driver as polesitter for this game..



#14 Makarias

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Posted 24 September 2021 - 08:28

Andy35 chimes in:

102.000 Verstappen



#15 M2000-5

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Posted 25 September 2021 - 13:15

YES for NORRIS!  :clap:  :clap:  :clap: :drunk:  :drunk:  :drunk:   :eek:  :eek:  :eek:

 

Meh for my time...  :well: