The standings after Russia:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Makarias 1466 87 2) noikeee 1462 79 3) M2000-5 1461 88 4) Grayson 1460 88 5) mark f1 1457 78 6) GTA 1456 94 7) thegforcemaybewithyou1452 93 8) Brawn BGP 001 1443 85 9) jjcale 1440 79 10) SpaceHorseParty 1439 79 11) scheivlak 1438 79 12) sladealonso 1436 79 13) KWSN-DSM 1435 79 14) Bleu 1431 79 15) DutchQuicksilver 1430 79 = Marklar 1430 79 17) Anderis 1426 81 18) f1paul 1411 75A couple of scores in the nineties, pretty good.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Lati 757,9 114,3 18 Russ 671,6 227,3 18 Sain 120,5 86,9 16 Norr 110,0 77,5 15 Gasl 97,7 71,1 10 Lecl 79,9 52,5 2 Vers 70,7 59,0 0 Ocon 66,6 45,3 2 Hami 66,4 60,6 0 Ricc 61,1 51,3 0 Bott 57,7 48,7 0 Alon 54,2 38,4 1 Räik 53,2 15,4 3 Pere 51,0 44,1 0 Vett 39,8 29,0 0 Tsun 39,2 22,5 0 Stro 33,2 24,7 0 Giov 11,7 4,0 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Verstappen Sainz Ricciardo Bottas * Potential 423 * Potential 424 * Potential 288 * Potential 274 * Potential 320 Anderis 408 f1paul 421 * Forecast 166 Brawn BGP 001 192 Anderis 297 f1paul 407 Brawn BGP 001 384 GTA 129 KWSN-DSM 191 f1paul 287 Grayson 392 M2000-5 379 thegforcemaybewi115 Marklar 184 Grayson 287 GTA 392 scheivlak 378 * Current 113 Makarias 173 DutchQuicksilver286 SpaceHorseParty 392 KWSN-DSM 373 Grayson 105 mark f1 167 sladealonso 272 jjcale 387 Bleu 370 Makarias 102 scheivlak 167 Marklar 270 Makarias 377 jjcale 367 M2000-5 101 sladealonso 166 SpaceHorseParty 268 sladealonso 376 * Forecast 365 Anderis 100 M2000-5 162 jjcale 262 mark f1 372 noikeee 360 Bleu 96 f1paul 158 mark f1 249 scheivlak 368 SpaceHorseParty 354 KWSN-DSM 96 GTA 158 noikeee 248 noikeee 366 Marklar 345 mark f1 96 Bleu 155 Brawn BGP 001 241 DutchQuicksilver365 thegforcemaybewi344 noikeee 96 DutchQuicksilver154 thegforcemaybewi239 M2000-5 365 Makarias 337 SpaceHorseParty 96 jjcale 154 scheivlak 235 * Forecast 364 Grayson 335 jjcale 90 Grayson 153 Bleu 234 Bleu 362 GTA 335 scheivlak 86 Anderis 149 KWSN-DSM 215 KWSN-DSM 361 sladealonso 330 f1paul 85 noikeee 148 M2000-5 213 thegforcemaybewi354 mark f1 325 sladealonso 77 * Forecast 145 * Forecast 213 Brawn BGP 001 348 DutchQuicksilver316 DutchQuicksilver 76 SpaceHorseParty 143 GTA 210 Marklar 335 Anderis 290 Brawn BGP 001 74 thegforcemaybewi143 Makarias 208 * Current 248 * Current 249 Marklar 68 * Current 99 * Current 145Verstappen needs to win every remaining race to beat f1paul's guess. Few points left to be scored from Sainz.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Alonso Norris Räikkönen Perez Russell * Potential 233 * Potential 313 * Potential 181 * Potential 295 * Potential 200 Makarias 150 * Forecast 202 GTA 38 Brawn BGP 001 271 * Forecast 37 jjcale 140 M2000-5 177 Marklar 19 noikeee 264 * Current 25 thegforcemaybewi134 Brawn BGP 001 157 scheivlak 16 f1paul 256 scheivlak 10 Grayson 124 Makarias 140 DutchQuicksilver 14 GTA 254 noikeee 7 Anderis 121 * Current 138 Anderis 13 Grayson 249 Brawn BGP 001 6 sladealonso 120 Grayson 134 f1paul 13 scheivlak 249 KWSN-DSM 6 mark f1 110 jjcale 130 Bleu 12 Bleu 247 Anderis 5 SpaceHorseParty 110 noikeee 128 sladealonso 12 Marklar 242 M2000-5 5 DutchQuicksilver107 Marklar 126 Brawn BGP 001 10 thegforcemaybewi239 mark f1 5 M2000-5 107 sladealonso 126 noikeee 9 M2000-5 233 jjcale 4 Bleu 103 f1paul 125 * Forecast 9 mark f1 227 Marklar 4 noikeee 98 mark f1 124 KWSN-DSM 8 SpaceHorseParty 227 DutchQuicksilver 3 KWSN-DSM 96 DutchQuicksilver120 Grayson 7 DutchQuicksilver224 f1paul 3 Marklar 95 SpaceHorseParty 119 jjcale 6 sladealonso 222 Bleu 2 Brawn BGP 001 89 Bleu 116 M2000-5 6 KWSN-DSM 214 Grayson 2 GTA 86 GTA 114 SpaceHorseParty 6 Makarias 212 sladealonso 2 * Forecast 85 Anderis 111 * Current 6 jjcale 208 thegforcemaybewi 2 scheivlak 81 scheivlak 110 mark f1 5 Anderis 194 Makarias 1 * Current 58 thegforcemaybewi105 thegforcemaybewi 5 * Forecast 176 GTA 0 f1paul 54 KWSN-DSM 96 Makarias 4 * Current 120 SpaceHorseParty 0Alonso and Räikkönen begin to beat guesses. Class of '01 rules!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- M2000-5 1990,0 10,7 noikeee 1967,6 11,3 Bleu 1965,1 13,1 KWSN-DSM 1964,3 10,0 Makarias 1960,1 9,4 Brawn BGP 001 1957,7 5,2 GTA 1957,3 8,9 scheivlak 1953,3 14,5 SpaceHorseParty 1948,6 6,3 thegforcemaybewithyou1946,9 -4,4 mark f1 1942,8 7,5 Grayson 1938,1 13,7 sladealonso 1929,2 16,3 jjcale 1927,2 17,6 DutchQuicksilver 1911,6 13,7 Marklar 1900,5 3,0 Anderis 1893,1 6,8 f1paul 1854,3 12,0M2000-5 remains title favourite, slightly ahead of a big bunch of chasers.
