The standings after USA:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Makarias 1642 91 2) GTA 1639 97 3) thegforcemaybewithyou1636 91 4) Brawn BGP 001 1634 95 5) noikeee 1630 85 6) Grayson 1628 85 7) mark f1 1624 79 8) M2000-5 1621 83 9) scheivlak 1619 90 10) sladealonso 1618 91 11) SpaceHorseParty 1613 91 12) DutchQuicksilver 1611 90 13) Marklar 1610 91 14) KWSN-DSM 1606 80 15) Bleu 1605 91 = jjcale 1605 82 17) Anderis 1598 89 18) f1paul 1560 79High round scores when the top four teams all filled the top eight.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Lati 757,9 114,3 18 Russ 671,6 227,3 18 Sain 131,2 94,6 17 Norr 118,0 83,1 16 Gasl 109,0 79,4 11 Lecl 98,0 64,4 9 Vers 82,9 69,2 1 Hami 73,9 67,5 0 Bott 70,9 59,7 0 Ocon 68,0 46,2 3 Ricc 67,3 56,5 0 Pere 63,8 55,1 0 Alon 54,2 38,4 1 Räik 53,2 15,4 3 Tsun 43,5 25,0 0 Vett 40,8 29,7 0 Stro 36,0 26,8 0 Giov 11,7 4,0 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Hamilton Perez Leclerc Ricciardo f1paul 421 Anderis 408 * Potential 275 * Potential 255 * Potential 234 * Potential 417 f1paul 407 Brawn BGP 001 271 GTA 201 Brawn BGP 001 192 Brawn BGP 001 384 * Potential 401 noikeee 264 * Forecast 168 KWSN-DSM 191 M2000-5 379 Grayson 392 f1paul 256 Anderis 160 Marklar 184 scheivlak 378 GTA 392 GTA 254 Bleu 149 Makarias 173 * Forecast 378 SpaceHorseParty 392 Grayson 249 Makarias 141 mark f1 167 KWSN-DSM 373 jjcale 387 scheivlak 249 SpaceHorseParty 139 scheivlak 167 Bleu 370 Makarias 377 Bleu 247 Brawn BGP 001 137 sladealonso 166 jjcale 367 sladealonso 376 Marklar 242 Marklar 135 M2000-5 162 noikeee 360 mark f1 372 thegforcemaybewi239 sladealonso 135 f1paul 158 SpaceHorseParty 354 scheivlak 368 M2000-5 233 thegforcemaybewi134 GTA 158 Marklar 345 noikeee 366 mark f1 227 * Current 130 Bleu 155 thegforcemaybewi344 DutchQuicksilver365 SpaceHorseParty 227 DutchQuicksilver129 DutchQuicksilver154 Makarias 337 M2000-5 365 DutchQuicksilver224 scheivlak 129 jjcale 154 Grayson 335 Bleu 362 sladealonso 222 Grayson 124 Grayson 153 GTA 335 KWSN-DSM 361 KWSN-DSM 214 noikeee 124 Anderis 149 sladealonso 330 * Forecast 357 Makarias 212 jjcale 121 noikeee 148 mark f1 325 thegforcemaybewi354 jjcale 208 KWSN-DSM 119 SpaceHorseParty 143 DutchQuicksilver316 Brawn BGP 001 348 Anderis 194 mark f1 115 thegforcemaybewi143 * Current 292 Marklar 335 * Forecast 194 M2000-5 99 * Forecast 141 Anderis 290 * Current 276 * Current 150 f1paul 96 * Current 109Verstappen beats Anderis' guess!
Guesses on P6-P10:
Bottas Sainz Norris Tsunoda Vettel * Potential 303 * Potential 248 * Potential 273 * Potential 145 * Potential 166 Anderis 297 * Forecast 159 * Forecast 192 scheivlak 79 DutchQuicksilver137 f1paul 287 GTA 129 M2000-5 177 KWSN-DSM 76 jjcale 125 Grayson 287 * Current 123 Brawn BGP 001 157 Marklar 72 Makarias 117 DutchQuicksilver286 thegforcemaybewi115 * Current 148 noikeee 67 thegforcemaybewi115 sladealonso 272 Grayson 105 Makarias 140 Grayson 48 f1paul 114 Marklar 270 Makarias 102 Grayson 134 mark f1 48 Marklar 113 SpaceHorseParty 268 M2000-5 101 jjcale 130 thegforcemaybewi 48 mark f1 110 jjcale 262 Anderis 100 noikeee 128 Makarias 44 Bleu 107 mark f1 249 Bleu 96 Marklar 126 Anderis 43 sladealonso 105 noikeee 248 KWSN-DSM 96 sladealonso 126 SpaceHorseParty 41 Brawn BGP 001 104 Brawn BGP 001 241 mark f1 96 f1paul 125 sladealonso 40 Anderis 100 thegforcemaybewi239 noikeee 96 mark f1 124 GTA 38 M2000-5 100 scheivlak 235 SpaceHorseParty 96 DutchQuicksilver120 f1paul 37 KWSN-DSM 96 Bleu 234 jjcale 90 SpaceHorseParty 119 Brawn BGP 001 32 noikeee 95 * Forecast 230 scheivlak 86 Bleu 116 DutchQuicksilver 32 scheivlak 86 KWSN-DSM 215 f1paul 85 GTA 114 M2000-5 32 SpaceHorseParty 72 M2000-5 213 sladealonso 77 Anderis 111 Bleu 27 Grayson 58 GTA 210 DutchQuicksilver 76 scheivlak 110 * Forecast 26 GTA 57 Makarias 208 Brawn BGP 001 74 thegforcemaybewi105 jjcale 23 * Forecast 53 * Current 178 Marklar 68 KWSN-DSM 96 * Current 20 * Current 41Sainz is now a P6 finish away from a 100% surprise.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- M2000-5 1985,6 15,0 Brawn BGP 001 1983,1 12,6 scheivlak 1976,3 15,0 Bleu 1970,8 3,2 noikeee 1966,8 0,3 GTA 1960,3 13,7 KWSN-DSM 1959,5 9,8 thegforcemaybewithyou1955,9 -1,6 SpaceHorseParty 1951,1 0,8 mark f1 1943,1 0,8 Makarias 1942,7 4,2 Grayson 1939,1 0,8 jjcale 1936,8 3,6 sladealonso 1933,8 2,7 Marklar 1913,2 1,9 DutchQuicksilver 1910,8 0,3 Anderis 1896,7 0,2 f1paul 1883,2 19,7Pretty stable forecasts.
