The standings after Brazil:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) GTA 1807 82 2) Makarias 1795 77 3) Brawn BGP 001 1787 73 4) thegforcemaybewithyou1782 76 5) noikeee 1775 76 6) mark f1 1774 72 7) scheivlak 1773 76 8) Grayson 1771 76 9) Bleu 1770 85 10) KWSN-DSM 1768 82 = sladealonso 1768 71 12) M2000-5 1765 77 13) SpaceHorseParty 1764 76 14) Marklar 1761 76 15) jjcale 1747 76 16) DutchQuicksilver 1745 58 17) Anderis 1721 68 18) f1paul 1698 70One of my best pals in military service had the number 1807. Mine was 1810.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Lati 757,9 114,3 18 Russ 671,6 227,3 18 Sain 148,2 106,9 18 Gasl 134,5 97,9 16 Norr 119,6 84,3 16 Lecl 113,1 74,3 16 Vers 95,1 79,4 4 Räik 88,7 25,6 9 Hami 85,4 78,0 0 Bott 76,8 64,8 0 Pere 75,3 65,1 0 Ocon 73,5 50,0 3 Ricc 67,3 56,5 0 Alon 58,0 41,1 1 Vett 46,7 34,1 0 Tsun 43,5 25,0 0 Stro 36,0 26,8 0 Giov 11,7 4,0 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Verstappen Bottas Perez Leclerc Anderis 408 f1paul 421 Anderis 297 Brawn BGP 001 271 * Potential 225 f1paul 407 * Potential 410 f1paul 287 noikeee 264 GTA 201 * Potential 394 * Forecast 388 Grayson 287 f1paul 256 * Forecast 174 Grayson 392 Brawn BGP 001 384 DutchQuicksilver286 GTA 254 Anderis 160 GTA 392 M2000-5 379 sladealonso 272 * Potential 252 * Current 150 SpaceHorseParty 392 scheivlak 378 Marklar 270 Grayson 249 Bleu 149 jjcale 387 KWSN-DSM 373 * Potential 268 scheivlak 249 Makarias 141 Makarias 377 Bleu 370 SpaceHorseParty 268 Bleu 247 SpaceHorseParty 139 sladealonso 376 jjcale 367 jjcale 262 Marklar 242 Brawn BGP 001 137 mark f1 372 noikeee 360 mark f1 249 thegforcemaybewi239 Marklar 135 * Forecast 369 SpaceHorseParty 354 noikeee 248 M2000-5 233 sladealonso 135 scheivlak 368 Marklar 345 Brawn BGP 001 241 mark f1 227 thegforcemaybewi134 noikeee 366 thegforcemaybewi344 thegforcemaybewi239 SpaceHorseParty 227 DutchQuicksilver129 DutchQuicksilver365 Makarias 337 scheivlak 235 DutchQuicksilver224 scheivlak 129 M2000-5 365 Grayson 335 Bleu 234 sladealonso 222 Grayson 124 Bleu 362 GTA 335 * Forecast 223 KWSN-DSM 214 noikeee 124 KWSN-DSM 361 * Current 335 KWSN-DSM 215 Makarias 212 jjcale 121 thegforcemaybewi354 sladealonso 330 M2000-5 213 jjcale 208 KWSN-DSM 119 Brawn BGP 001 348 mark f1 325 GTA 210 * Forecast 205 mark f1 115 Marklar 335 DutchQuicksilver316 Makarias 208 Anderis 194 M2000-5 99 * Current 319 Anderis 290 * Current 193 * Current 177 f1paul 96Hamilton is entering the beating guesses zone and will make a big difference to the scores in the final rounds.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Sainz Gasly Ocon Alonso Norris * Potential 214 * Potential 170 * Potential 128 Makarias 150 * Potential 225 * Forecast 161 * Forecast 110 thegforcemaybewi105 jjcale 140 M2000-5 177 * Current 139 KWSN-DSM 96 noikeee 97 * Potential 137 * Forecast 174 GTA 129 mark f1 96 Bleu 91 thegforcemaybewi134 Brawn BGP 001 157 thegforcemaybewi115 * Current 95 SpaceHorseParty 91 Grayson 124 * Current 150 Grayson 105 scheivlak 85 M2000-5 90 Anderis 121 Makarias 140 Makarias 102 DutchQuicksilver 84 Grayson 86 sladealonso 120 Grayson 134 M2000-5 101 sladealonso 81 Anderis 78 mark f1 110 jjcale 130 Anderis 100 Brawn BGP 001 79 KWSN-DSM 76 SpaceHorseParty 110 noikeee 128 Bleu 96 thegforcemaybewi 77 mark f1 76 DutchQuicksilver107 Marklar 126 KWSN-DSM 96 Marklar 75 DutchQuicksilver 73 M2000-5 107 sladealonso 126 mark f1 96 noikeee 68 Makarias 72 Bleu 103 f1paul 125 noikeee 96 GTA 67 sladealonso 65 noikeee 98 mark f1 124 SpaceHorseParty 96 f1paul 65 Marklar 62 KWSN-DSM 96 DutchQuicksilver120 jjcale 90 Makarias 65 * Forecast 61 Marklar 95 SpaceHorseParty 119 scheivlak 86 SpaceHorseParty 62 scheivlak 58 Brawn BGP 001 89 Bleu 116 f1paul 85 M2000-5 60 jjcale 56 GTA 86 GTA 114 sladealonso 77 Grayson 57 * Current 53 scheivlak 81 Anderis 111 DutchQuicksilver 76 Bleu 55 GTA 48 * Forecast 72 scheivlak 110 Brawn BGP 001 74 jjcale 52 Brawn BGP 001 41 * Current 62 thegforcemaybewi105 Marklar 68 Anderis 47 f1paul 33 f1paul 54 KWSN-DSM 96Gasly two points away from a 100% surprise. Norris' seemingly bombproof 100% surprise is slipping away. Alonso has let me down!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- M2000-5 1976,8 -7,5 Brawn BGP 001 1972,3 -5,4 scheivlak 1971,8 2,6 GTA 1969,4 1,1 Bleu 1958,2 -1,7 noikeee 1955,6 2,7 KWSN-DSM 1949,2 -8,2 SpaceHorseParty 1942,0 6,1 Makarias 1940,5 0,2 thegforcemaybewithyou1934,6 -3,9 mark f1 1934,0 6,1 jjcale 1932,5 5,9 Grayson 1930,0 6,1 sladealonso 1928,6 5,7 DutchQuicksilver 1901,2 1,1 Marklar 1897,2 -4,6 f1paul 1893,3 6,0 Anderis 1880,6 2,2Minor forecast changes. Absolute thriller up front!