The standings after Qatar:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) GTA 1872 65 2) Brawn BGP 001 1868 81 = Makarias 1868 73 4) noikeee 1864 89 5) thegforcemaybewithyou1862 80 6) Bleu 1859 89 7) KWSN-DSM 1857 89 = scheivlak 1857 84 9) M2000-5 1856 91 10) SpaceHorseParty 1853 89 11) mark f1 1845 71 12) Grayson 1842 71 13) sladealonso 1839 71 14) Marklar 1832 71 15) jjcale 1829 82 16) DutchQuicksilver 1816 71 17) Anderis 1796 75 18) f1paul 1762 64GTA and Makarias are frontrunners who are beginning to score poorly now...
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Lati 757,9 114,3 18 Russ 671,6 227,3 18 Sain 154,6 111,5 18 Gasl 134,5 97,9 16 Norr 121,2 85,4 16 Lecl 116,1 76,2 16 Vers 100,2 83,6 9 Hami 92,0 84,1 1 Räik 88,7 25,6 9 Ocon 87,4 59,4 6 Pere 80,4 69,5 0 Bott 76,8 64,8 0 Alon 72,0 51,0 1 Ricc 67,3 56,5 0 Vett 47,7 34,8 0 Stro 47,1 35,1 0 Tsun 43,5 25,0 0 Giov 11,7 4,0 0Max Verstappen beats his expectations!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Verstappen Alonso Perez Ocon Anderis 408 f1paul 421 Makarias 150 Brawn BGP 001 271 * Potential 113 f1paul 407 * Potential 403 jjcale 140 noikeee 264 thegforcemaybewi105 * Potential 394 * Forecast 388 thegforcemaybewi134 f1paul 256 noikeee 97 Grayson 392 Brawn BGP 001 384 * Potential 127 GTA 254 Bleu 91 GTA 392 M2000-5 379 Grayson 124 Grayson 249 SpaceHorseParty 91 SpaceHorseParty 392 scheivlak 378 Anderis 121 scheivlak 249 M2000-5 90 jjcale 387 KWSN-DSM 373 sladealonso 120 Bleu 247 Grayson 86 * Forecast 378 Bleu 370 mark f1 110 Marklar 242 Anderis 78 Makarias 377 jjcale 367 SpaceHorseParty 110 * Potential 239 KWSN-DSM 76 sladealonso 376 noikeee 360 DutchQuicksilver107 thegforcemaybewi239 mark f1 76 mark f1 372 SpaceHorseParty 354 M2000-5 107 M2000-5 233 DutchQuicksilver 73 scheivlak 368 * Current 353 Bleu 103 mark f1 227 Makarias 72 noikeee 366 Marklar 345 noikeee 98 SpaceHorseParty 227 * Forecast 69 DutchQuicksilver365 thegforcemaybewi344 KWSN-DSM 96 DutchQuicksilver224 sladealonso 65 M2000-5 365 Makarias 337 Marklar 95 sladealonso 222 * Current 63 Bleu 362 Grayson 335 Brawn BGP 001 89 KWSN-DSM 214 Marklar 62 KWSN-DSM 361 GTA 335 GTA 86 Makarias 212 scheivlak 58 thegforcemaybewi354 sladealonso 330 * Forecast 85 jjcale 208 jjcale 56 Brawn BGP 001 348 mark f1 325 scheivlak 81 * Forecast 208 GTA 48 * Current 344 DutchQuicksilver316 * Current 77 Anderis 194 Brawn BGP 001 41 Marklar 335 Anderis 290 f1paul 54 * Current 189 f1paul 33Hamilton beats Marklar! Verstappen beats a few more.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Stroll Sainz Leclerc Norris Vettel SpaceHorseParty 96 * Potential 195 * Potential 204 * Potential 202 DutchQuicksilver137 Anderis 92 * Forecast 160 GTA 201 M2000-5 177 jjcale 125 DutchQuicksilver 92 * Current 145 * Forecast 169 * Forecast 167 Makarias 117 M2000-5 87 GTA 129 Anderis 160 Brawn BGP 001 157 thegforcemaybewi115 mark f1 86 thegforcemaybewi115 * Current 154 * Current 152 f1paul 114 jjcale 85 Grayson 105 Bleu 149 Makarias 140 Marklar 113 * Potential 84 Makarias 102 Makarias 141 Grayson 134 mark f1 110 Bleu 84 M2000-5 101 SpaceHorseParty 139 jjcale 130 Bleu 107 KWSN-DSM 81 Anderis 100 Brawn BGP 001 137 noikeee 128 sladealonso 105 sladealonso 80 Bleu 96 Marklar 135 Marklar 126 Brawn BGP 001 104 Makarias 75 KWSN-DSM 96 sladealonso 135 sladealonso 126 Anderis 100 GTA 62 mark f1 96 thegforcemaybewi134 f1paul 125 M2000-5 100 f1paul 59 noikeee 96 DutchQuicksilver129 mark f1 124 * Potential 98 thegforcemaybewi 59 SpaceHorseParty 96 scheivlak 129 DutchQuicksilver120 KWSN-DSM 96 scheivlak 58 jjcale 90 Grayson 124 SpaceHorseParty 119 noikeee 95 Grayson 57 scheivlak 86 noikeee 124 Bleu 116 scheivlak 86 Marklar 57 f1paul 85 jjcale 121 GTA 114 SpaceHorseParty 72 Brawn BGP 001 52 sladealonso 77 KWSN-DSM 119 Anderis 111 Grayson 58 noikeee 38 DutchQuicksilver 76 mark f1 115 scheivlak 110 GTA 57 * Forecast 37 Brawn BGP 001 74 M2000-5 99 thegforcemaybewi105 * Forecast 53 * Current 34 Marklar 68 f1paul 96 KWSN-DSM 96 * Current 48Norris needs 26 points for a 100% surprise which is somewhat realistic if you ignore McLaren's recent form.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- M2000-5 1991,6 14,8 GTA 1987,6 18,2 Brawn BGP 001 1975,1 2,8 scheivlak 1970,4 -1,4 Makarias 1970,1 29,6 Bleu 1968,4 10,2 KWSN-DSM 1968,4 19,2 noikeee 1966,4 10,8 SpaceHorseParty 1961,8 19,8 Grayson 1949,8 19,8 mark f1 1947,4 13,4 thegforcemaybewithyou1945,4 10,8 jjcale 1944,5 12,0 sladealonso 1941,1 12,5 DutchQuicksilver 1911,4 10,2 Marklar 1900,1 2,9 Anderis 1896,9 16,3 f1paul 1892,1 -1,2A generally nice round for the forecasts with good points to the Alpines and Stroll.
