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Place The Points Competition 2021 after Qatar


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#1 Makarias

Makarias
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Posted 22 November 2021 - 18:56

The standings after Qatar:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  GTA                  1872  65
2)  Brawn BGP 001        1868  81
=   Makarias             1868  73
4)  noikeee              1864  89
5)  thegforcemaybewithyou1862  80
6)  Bleu                 1859  89
7)  KWSN-DSM             1857  89
=   scheivlak            1857  84
9)  M2000-5              1856  91
10) SpaceHorseParty      1853  89
11) mark f1              1845  71
12) Grayson              1842  71
13) sladealonso          1839  71
14) Marklar              1832  71
15) jjcale               1829  82
16) DutchQuicksilver     1816  71
17) Anderis              1796  75
18) f1paul               1762  64
GTA and Makarias are frontrunners who are beginning to score poorly now...

The entries

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Lati    757,9    114,3   18
Russ    671,6    227,3   18
Sain    154,6    111,5   18
Gasl    134,5     97,9   16
Norr    121,2     85,4   16
Lecl    116,1     76,2   16
Vers    100,2     83,6    9
Hami     92,0     84,1    1
Räik     88,7     25,6    9
Ocon     87,4     59,4    6
Pere     80,4     69,5    0
Bott     76,8     64,8    0
Alon     72,0     51,0    1
Ricc     67,3     56,5    0
Vett     47,7     34,8    0
Stro     47,1     35,1    0
Tsun     43,5     25,0    0
Giov     11,7      4,0    0
Max Verstappen beats his expectations!

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton               Verstappen             Alonso                 Perez                  Ocon                
Anderis         408    f1paul          421    Makarias        150    Brawn BGP 001   271    * Potential     113
f1paul          407    * Potential     403    jjcale          140    noikeee         264    thegforcemaybewi105
* Potential     394    * Forecast      388    thegforcemaybewi134    f1paul          256    noikeee          97
Grayson         392    Brawn BGP 001   384    * Potential     127    GTA             254    Bleu             91
GTA             392    M2000-5         379    Grayson         124    Grayson         249    SpaceHorseParty  91
SpaceHorseParty 392    scheivlak       378    Anderis         121    scheivlak       249    M2000-5          90
jjcale          387    KWSN-DSM        373    sladealonso     120    Bleu            247    Grayson          86
* Forecast      378    Bleu            370    mark f1         110    Marklar         242    Anderis          78
Makarias        377    jjcale          367    SpaceHorseParty 110    * Potential     239    KWSN-DSM         76
sladealonso     376    noikeee         360    DutchQuicksilver107    thegforcemaybewi239    mark f1          76
mark f1         372    SpaceHorseParty 354    M2000-5         107    M2000-5         233    DutchQuicksilver 73
scheivlak       368    * Current       353    Bleu            103    mark f1         227    Makarias         72
noikeee         366    Marklar         345    noikeee          98    SpaceHorseParty 227    * Forecast       69
DutchQuicksilver365    thegforcemaybewi344    KWSN-DSM         96    DutchQuicksilver224    sladealonso      65
M2000-5         365    Makarias        337    Marklar          95    sladealonso     222    * Current        63
Bleu            362    Grayson         335    Brawn BGP 001    89    KWSN-DSM        214    Marklar          62
KWSN-DSM        361    GTA             335    GTA              86    Makarias        212    scheivlak        58
thegforcemaybewi354    sladealonso     330    * Forecast       85    jjcale          208    jjcale           56
Brawn BGP 001   348    mark f1         325    scheivlak        81    * Forecast      208    GTA              48
* Current       344    DutchQuicksilver316    * Current        77    Anderis         194    Brawn BGP 001    41
Marklar         335    Anderis         290    f1paul           54    * Current       189    f1paul           33
Hamilton beats Marklar! Verstappen beats a few more.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Stroll                 Sainz                  Leclerc                Norris                 Vettel              
SpaceHorseParty  96    * Potential     195    * Potential     204    * Potential     202    DutchQuicksilver137
Anderis          92    * Forecast      160    GTA             201    M2000-5         177    jjcale          125
DutchQuicksilver 92    * Current       145    * Forecast      169    * Forecast      167    Makarias        117
M2000-5          87    GTA             129    Anderis         160    Brawn BGP 001   157    thegforcemaybewi115
mark f1          86    thegforcemaybewi115    * Current       154    * Current       152    f1paul          114
jjcale           85    Grayson         105    Bleu            149    Makarias        140    Marklar         113
* Potential      84    Makarias        102    Makarias        141    Grayson         134    mark f1         110
Bleu             84    M2000-5         101    SpaceHorseParty 139    jjcale          130    Bleu            107
KWSN-DSM         81    Anderis         100    Brawn BGP 001   137    noikeee         128    sladealonso     105
sladealonso      80    Bleu             96    Marklar         135    Marklar         126    Brawn BGP 001   104
Makarias         75    KWSN-DSM         96    sladealonso     135    sladealonso     126    Anderis         100
GTA              62    mark f1          96    thegforcemaybewi134    f1paul          125    M2000-5         100
f1paul           59    noikeee          96    DutchQuicksilver129    mark f1         124    * Potential      98
thegforcemaybewi 59    SpaceHorseParty  96    scheivlak       129    DutchQuicksilver120    KWSN-DSM         96
scheivlak        58    jjcale           90    Grayson         124    SpaceHorseParty 119    noikeee          95
Grayson          57    scheivlak        86    noikeee         124    Bleu            116    scheivlak        86
Marklar          57    f1paul           85    jjcale          121    GTA             114    SpaceHorseParty  72
Brawn BGP 001    52    sladealonso      77    KWSN-DSM        119    Anderis         111    Grayson          58
noikeee          38    DutchQuicksilver 76    mark f1         115    scheivlak       110    GTA              57
* Forecast       37    Brawn BGP 001    74    M2000-5          99    thegforcemaybewi105    * Forecast       53
* Current        34    Marklar          68    f1paul           96    KWSN-DSM         96    * Current        48
Norris needs 26 points for a 100% surprise which is somewhat realistic if you ignore McLaren's recent form.

The PTPC forecast
Name               Forecast  +/-
M2000-5              1991,6  14,8
GTA                  1987,6  18,2
Brawn BGP 001        1975,1   2,8
scheivlak            1970,4  -1,4
Makarias             1970,1  29,6
Bleu                 1968,4  10,2
KWSN-DSM             1968,4  19,2
noikeee              1966,4  10,8
SpaceHorseParty      1961,8  19,8
Grayson              1949,8  19,8
mark f1              1947,4  13,4
thegforcemaybewithyou1945,4  10,8
jjcale               1944,5  12,0
sladealonso          1941,1  12,5
DutchQuicksilver     1911,4  10,2
Marklar              1900,1   2,9
Anderis              1896,9  16,3
f1paul               1892,1  -1,2
A generally nice round for the forecasts with good points to the Alpines and Stroll.