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Place The Points Competition 2021 after Saudi Arabia


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 06 December 2021 - 23:53

The standings after Saudi Arabia:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  M2000-5              1935  79
2)  Bleu                 1933  74
3)  KWSN-DSM             1932  75
=   noikeee              1932  68
5)  GTA                  1930  58
6)  Makarias             1929  61
7)  scheivlak            1926  69
8)  Brawn BGP 001        1918  50
=   SpaceHorseParty      1918  65
10) mark f1              1910  65
=   thegforcemaybewithyou1910  48
12) Grayson              1906  64
13) jjcale               1895  66
14) sladealonso          1893  54
15) DutchQuicksilver     1874  58
16) Anderis              1866  70
17) Marklar              1859  27
18) f1paul               1832  70
GTA drops from first to fifth and it's still very close at the top. Just one race to go and it's wide open!

The entries

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Lati    757,9    114,3   18
Russ    671,6    227,3   18
Sain    158,9    114,6   18
Gasl    145,9    106,2   18
Norr    122,0     86,0   16
Lecl    120,7     79,2   16
Vers    105,3     87,9   13
Ocon    104,0     70,8    9
Hami     98,7     90,2    9
Räik     88,7     25,6    9
Bott     82,8     69,8    0
Pere     80,4     69,5    0
Ricc     73,4     61,7    0
Alon     72,0     51,0    1
Vett     47,7     34,8    0
Stro     47,1     35,1    0
Tsun     43,5     25,0    0
Giov     35,1     12,0    1
Pierre Gasly becomes the fourth 100% surprise of the season!

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton               Verstappen             Bottas                 Ocon                   Ricciardo           
Anderis         408    f1paul          421    Anderis         297    thegforcemaybewi105    Brawn BGP 001   192
f1paul          407    * Potential     396    f1paul          287    * Potential     100    KWSN-DSM        191
* Potential     394    * Forecast      389    Grayson         287    noikeee          97    Marklar         184
Grayson         392    Brawn BGP 001   384    DutchQuicksilver286    Bleu             91    Makarias        173
GTA             392    M2000-5         379    sladealonso     272    SpaceHorseParty  91    mark f1         167
SpaceHorseParty 392    scheivlak       378    Marklar         270    M2000-5          90    scheivlak       167
jjcale          387    KWSN-DSM        373    SpaceHorseParty 268    Grayson          86    sladealonso     166
* Forecast      387    * Current       371    jjcale          262    * Forecast       79    M2000-5         162
Makarias        377    Bleu            370    mark f1         249    Anderis          78    f1paul          158
sladealonso     376    jjcale          367    noikeee         248    KWSN-DSM         76    GTA             158
mark f1         372    noikeee         360    Brawn BGP 001   241    mark f1          76    Bleu            155
* Current       369    SpaceHorseParty 354    thegforcemaybewi239    * Current        75    DutchQuicksilver154
scheivlak       368    Marklar         345    scheivlak       235    DutchQuicksilver 73    jjcale          154
noikeee         366    thegforcemaybewi344    Bleu            234    Makarias         72    Grayson         153
DutchQuicksilver365    Makarias        337    * Potential     233    sladealonso      65    Anderis         149
M2000-5         365    Grayson         335    * Forecast      218    Marklar          62    noikeee         148
Bleu            362    GTA             335    KWSN-DSM        215    scheivlak        58    * Potential     144
KWSN-DSM        361    sladealonso     330    M2000-5         213    jjcale           56    SpaceHorseParty 143
thegforcemaybewi354    mark f1         325    GTA             210    GTA              48    thegforcemaybewi143
Brawn BGP 001   348    DutchQuicksilver316    Makarias        208    Brawn BGP 001    41    * Forecast      125
Marklar         335    Anderis         290    * Current       208    f1paul           33    * Current       119
Last time Ricciardo was listed in one of these tables he still had a chance at a 100% surprise...

Guesses on P6-P10:
Gasly                  Leclerc                Sainz                  Giovinazzi             Norris              
* Potential     128    GTA             201    * Potential     174    * Potential      28    * Potential     178
* Forecast      108    * Potential     185    * Forecast      156    GTA              24    M2000-5         177
* Current       103    * Forecast      168    * Current       149    Marklar          14    * Forecast      160
KWSN-DSM         96    Anderis         160    GTA             129    scheivlak        14    Brawn BGP 001   157
mark f1          96    * Current       160    thegforcemaybewi115    sladealonso      13    * Current       153
scheivlak        85    Bleu            149    Grayson         105    Anderis          12    Makarias        140
DutchQuicksilver 84    Makarias        141    Makarias        102    DutchQuicksilver  9    Grayson         134
sladealonso      81    SpaceHorseParty 139    M2000-5         101    f1paul            9    jjcale          130
Brawn BGP 001    79    Brawn BGP 001   137    Anderis         100    Bleu              8    noikeee         128
thegforcemaybewi 77    Marklar         135    Bleu             96    KWSN-DSM          8    Marklar         126
Marklar          75    sladealonso     135    KWSN-DSM         96    noikeee           8    sladealonso     126
noikeee          68    thegforcemaybewi134    mark f1          96    jjcale            6    f1paul          125
GTA              67    DutchQuicksilver129    noikeee          96    SpaceHorseParty   6    mark f1         124
f1paul           65    scheivlak       129    SpaceHorseParty  96    mark f1           5    DutchQuicksilver120
Makarias         65    Grayson         124    jjcale           90    Brawn BGP 001     4    SpaceHorseParty 119
SpaceHorseParty  62    noikeee         124    scheivlak        86    Grayson           4    Bleu            116
M2000-5          60    jjcale          121    f1paul           85    M2000-5           4    GTA             114
Grayson          57    KWSN-DSM        119    sladealonso      77    Makarias          4    Anderis         111
Bleu             55    mark f1         115    DutchQuicksilver 76    * Current         3    scheivlak       110
jjcale           52    M2000-5          99    Brawn BGP 001    74    * Forecast        3    thegforcemaybewi105
Anderis          47    f1paul           96    Marklar          68    thegforcemaybewi  2    KWSN-DSM         96
Nobody guessed Giovinazzi at 3 points. Seems silly right now.

The PTPC forecast
Name               Forecast  +/-
M2000-5              1982,2  -9,4
GTA                  1981,0  -6,6
SpaceHorseParty      1972,4  10,6
Bleu                 1970,3   1,9
noikeee              1968,8   2,4
Brawn BGP 001        1968,2  -6,9
scheivlak            1966,7  -3,7
KWSN-DSM             1965,3  -3,1
Grayson              1960,4  10,6
Makarias             1960,3  -9,8
mark f1              1947,2  -0,2
thegforcemaybewithyou1946,7   1,3
jjcale               1945,8   1,3
sladealonso          1933,7  -7,4
Anderis              1916,3  19,4
DutchQuicksilver     1907,7  -3,7
f1paul               1897,3   5,2
Marklar              1892,7  -7,4
This is just too close to call with one round to go!

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#2 Anderis

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Posted 07 December 2021 - 00:17

I looked set to finish last or 2nd last the whole year and now I'm suddenly 3rd last with a forecast of finishing 4th last after the final race?! :eek:



#3 M2000-5

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Posted 07 December 2021 - 18:37

Things are looking bleak, I have run out of Hamilton points...

#4 Anderis

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Posted 07 December 2021 - 20:20

I can lend you some of mine...



#5 Makarias

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Posted 11 December 2021 - 12:22

Season finale preview: How many points can the top nine players score from some interesting drivers?

Player              Score Vers Hami Bott Pere Lecl Norr Ricc Ocon Vett Stro Tsun
M2000-5              1935   8    0    5   25    0   24   25   15   25   25   12
Bleu                 1933   0    0   25   25    0    0   25   16   25   25    7
KWSN-DSM             1932   2    0    7   25    0    0   25    1   25   25   25
noikeee              1932   0    0   25   25    0    0   25   22   25   25   25
GTA                  1930   0   23    2   25   25    0   25    0    9   25   18
Makarias             1929   0    8    0   23    0    0   25    0   25   25   24
scheivlak            1926   7    0   25   25    0    0   25    0   25   24   25
Brawn BGP 001        1918  13    0   25   25    0    4   25    0   25   18   12
SpaceHorseParty      1918   0   23   25   25    0    0   24   16   24   25   21
Sainz and Gasly are already 100% surprises, nobody can score from them anymore.

Edited by Makarias, 11 December 2021 - 12:22.


#6 M2000-5

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Posted 11 December 2021 - 12:37

A Norris win with Ocon 3rd and Verstappen and Hamilton not scoring would give me something to hope for. Or a Norris win, with Hamilton second, Ocon third and Verstappen fourth. Or any combintation that Norris and Ocon score high and Hamilton wins the championship! 



#7 Makarias

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Posted 11 December 2021 - 13:24

2022 would give me something to hope for.



#8 M2000-5

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Posted 11 December 2021 - 14:21

Norris is third, how about that!