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Place The Points Competition 2021 final standings after Abu Dhabi


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 13 December 2021 - 22:36

2021 final standings after Abu Dhabi:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  M2000-5              1972  37
2)  GTA                  1967  37
3)  SpaceHorseParty      1962  44
4)  Brawn BGP 001        1959  41
5)  KWSN-DSM             1958  26
=   noikeee              1958  26
7)  scheivlak            1957  31
8)  Bleu                 1954  21
9)  Makarias             1953  24
10) Grayson              1950  44
11) mark f1              1938  28
12) thegforcemaybewithyou1936  26
13) jjcale               1928  33
14) sladealonso          1924  31
15) Anderis              1910  44
16) DutchQuicksilver     1898  24
17) f1paul               1895  63
18) Marklar              1883  24
Congratulations to 2021 champion M2000-5 :clap: :clap: :clap: for a great win! Up one spot from second last year.
Congratulations also to runner-up GTA :clap: :clap: Who was eighth last year,
and to third place finisher SpaceHorseParty :clap: who won the game last year!

Scores in the final round dropped to properly low, with only f1paul scoring over 50 points.

All 18 players will score points in the 2021 Supercup.

The entries

PTPC Hall of Fame
Year  WDC   Game         Pl  Winner
 AD  Points  Win   %     #
2000   442   365  82.58  14  jack and gilles
2001   442   364  82.35  69  MrT, tacololo
2002   442   376  85.07  46  smarty
2003   624   537  86.06  41  arcsine
2004   702   554  78.98  48  Pioneer
2005   741   595  80.30  49  KWSN-DSM
2006   702   592  84.33  47  an1res
2007   663   563  84.92  40  turin
2008   702   597  85.04  39  AcuraF1
2009   731   518  70.86  29  D82
2010  1919  1674  87.23  34  Costaz
2011  1919  1664  86.71  25  Crazy Canuck
2012  2020  1706  84.46  28  Costaz
2013  1919  1656  86.29  27  scheivlak
2014  1919  1602  83.48  30  noikeee
2015  1919  1710  89.11* 25  mark f1
2016  2121  1751  82.56  25  Brawn BGP 001
2017  2020  1861  92.13  22  Kev00
2018  2121  1943  91.61  25  thegforcemaybewithyou
2019  2121  1791  84.44  23  mark f1
2020  1717  1455  84.74  17  SpaceHorseParty
2021  2222  1972  88.75  18  M2000-5
*2020 points in the guesses

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Lati    757,9    114,3   18
Russ    671,6    227,3   18
Sain    174,9    126,2   18
Gasl    160,0    116,5   18
Norr    126,7     89,3   17
Lecl    121,4     79,7   17
Vers    112,4     93,8   17
Ocon    106,8     72,6   11
Hami    103,6     94,6   12
Räik     88,7     25,6    9
Bott     86,0     72,5    4
Pere     80,4     69,5    0
Alon     75,7     53,6    1
Ricc     73,4     61,7    0
Tsun     69,6     40,0    2
Vett     47,7     34,8    0
Stro     47,1     35,1    0
Giov     35,1     12,0    1
Lewis Hamilton beats his expectation in the final race! I bet he's delighted.

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen             Hamilton               Sainz                  Tsunoda                Gasly               
f1paul          421    Anderis         408    * Potential     164    scheivlak        79    * Potential     113
* Potential     396    f1paul          407    * Forecast      164    KWSN-DSM         76    * Forecast      113
* Forecast      396    Grayson         392    * Current       164    Marklar          72    * Current       113
* Current       396    GTA             392    GTA             129    noikeee          67    KWSN-DSM         96
Brawn BGP 001   384    SpaceHorseParty 392    thegforcemaybewi115    Grayson          48    mark f1          96
M2000-5         379    jjcale          387    Grayson         105    mark f1          48    scheivlak        85
scheivlak       378    * Potential     387    Makarias        102    thegforcemaybewi 48    DutchQuicksilver 84
KWSN-DSM        373    * Forecast      387    M2000-5         101    Makarias         44    sladealonso      81
Bleu            370    * Current       387    Anderis         100    Anderis          43    Brawn BGP 001    79
jjcale          367    Makarias        377    Bleu             96    SpaceHorseParty  41    thegforcemaybewi 77
noikeee         360    sladealonso     376    KWSN-DSM         96    sladealonso      40    Marklar          75
SpaceHorseParty 354    mark f1         372    mark f1          96    GTA              38    noikeee          68
Marklar         345    scheivlak       368    noikeee          96    f1paul           37    GTA              67
thegforcemaybewi344    noikeee         366    SpaceHorseParty  96    Brawn BGP 001    32    f1paul           65
Makarias        337    DutchQuicksilver365    jjcale           90    DutchQuicksilver 32    Makarias         65
Grayson         335    M2000-5         365    scheivlak        86    M2000-5          32    SpaceHorseParty  62
GTA             335    Bleu            362    f1paul           85    * Potential      32    M2000-5          60
sladealonso     330    KWSN-DSM        361    sladealonso      77    * Forecast       32    Grayson          57
mark f1         325    thegforcemaybewi354    DutchQuicksilver 76    * Current        32    Bleu             55
DutchQuicksilver316    Brawn BGP 001   348    Brawn BGP 001    74    Bleu             27    jjcale           52
Anderis         290    Marklar         335    Marklar          68    jjcale           23    Anderis          47
Tsunoda beats his first guesses at the season finale.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Bottas                 Norris                 Alonso                 Ocon                   Leclerc             
Anderis         297    M2000-5         177    Makarias        150    thegforcemaybewi105    GTA             201
f1paul          287    * Potential     159    jjcale          140    noikeee          97    * Potential     161
Grayson         287    * Forecast      159    thegforcemaybewi134    Bleu             91    * Forecast      161
DutchQuicksilver286    * Current       159    Grayson         124    SpaceHorseParty  91    * Current       161
sladealonso     272    Brawn BGP 001   157    Anderis         121    M2000-5          90    Anderis         160
Marklar         270    Makarias        140    sladealonso     120    Grayson          86    Bleu            149
SpaceHorseParty 268    Grayson         134    mark f1         110    Anderis          78    Makarias        141
jjcale          262    jjcale          130    SpaceHorseParty 110    * Potential      77    SpaceHorseParty 139
mark f1         249    noikeee         128    DutchQuicksilver107    * Forecast       77    Brawn BGP 001   137
noikeee         248    Marklar         126    M2000-5         107    * Current        77    Marklar         135
Brawn BGP 001   241    sladealonso     126    Bleu            103    KWSN-DSM         76    sladealonso     135
thegforcemaybewi239    f1paul          125    noikeee          98    mark f1          76    thegforcemaybewi134
scheivlak       235    mark f1         124    KWSN-DSM         96    DutchQuicksilver 73    DutchQuicksilver129
Bleu            234    DutchQuicksilver120    Marklar          95    Makarias         72    scheivlak       129
* Potential     216    SpaceHorseParty 119    Brawn BGP 001    89    sladealonso      65    Grayson         124
* Forecast      216    Bleu            116    GTA              86    Marklar          62    noikeee         124
* Current       216    GTA             114    scheivlak        81    scheivlak        58    jjcale          121
KWSN-DSM        215    Anderis         111    * Potential      81    jjcale           56    KWSN-DSM        119
M2000-5         213    scheivlak       110    * Forecast       81    GTA              48    mark f1         115
GTA             210    thegforcemaybewi105    * Current        81    Brawn BGP 001    41    M2000-5          99
Makarias        208    KWSN-DSM         96    f1paul           54    f1paul           33    f1paul           96
Norris was forecast to be a 100% surprise up until Mexico...

The PTPC forecast after Saudi Arabia
Name               Forecast  +/-
M2000-5              1982,2  -9,4
GTA                  1981,0  -6,6
SpaceHorseParty      1972,4  10,6
Bleu                 1970,3   1,9
noikeee              1968,8   2,4
Brawn BGP 001        1968,2  -6,9
scheivlak            1966,7  -3,7
KWSN-DSM             1965,3  -3,1
Grayson              1960,4  10,6
Makarias             1960,3  -9,8
mark f1              1947,2  -0,2
thegforcemaybewithyou1946,7   1,3
jjcale               1945,8   1,3
sladealonso          1933,7  -7,4
Anderis              1916,3  19,4
DutchQuicksilver     1907,7  -3,7
f1paul               1897,3   5,2
Marklar              1892,7  -7,4
Order wise the final forecast wasn't miles off. Bleu suffered from Tsunodas nice finish.

The best guesses on each driver
 X    #   !  Y
Vers 396 384 Brawn BGP 001
Hami 387 387 jjcale
Bott 216 215 KWSN-DSM
Pere 189 194 Anderis
Sain 164 129 GTA
Lecl 161 160 Anderis
Norr 159 157 Brawn BGP 001
Ricc 119 143 SpaceHorseParty, thegforcemaybewithyou
Gasl 113  96 KWSN-DSM, mark f1
Alon  81  81 scheivlak
Ocon  77  78 Anderis, 76: KWSN-DSM, mark f1
Vett  48  57 GTA
Stro  34  38 noikeee
Tsun  32  32 Brawn BGP 001, DutchQuicksilver, M2000-5
Russ  25  10 scheivlak
Räik  10  10 Brawn BGP 001
Lati   8   6 KWSN-DSM
Giov   3   4 Brawn BGP 001, Grayson, M2000-5, Makarias, 2: thegforcemaybewithyou
Schu   0   0 9 players
Maze   0   0 11 players
Brawn BGP 001 among the closest for a whopping seven drivers, including the Haas guys.
Note that
a) the entries were scaled so you probably don't recognize your own entries and
b) FL and quali race points don't count in this game and
c) Belgium was scored as a full race in this game.

Reality check on some of our predictions

Popularity Poll WCC prediction:
Team   Pred  Off
Merc   625  - 22
RBR    587  -  2
McLa   287  -  9
Ferr   227  + 98
Alpi   179  - 21
Asto   173  - 91
ATau   117  + 28
Alfa    19  -  6
Will     5  + 28
Haas     3  -  3
Ferrari, Aston Martin and Williams were way off, but the other WCC predictions were pretty fantastic.

Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
Owner               Owned Comment
     <-     =    ->
Alon  18    0    0  Ocon Correct (but actually close)
Gasl  18    0    0  Tsun Correct
Hami  18    0    0  Bott Correct
Vers  18    0    0  Pere Correct
Lecl  17    0    1  Sain Wrong
Ricc  17    0    1  Norr Wrong
Vett  15    1    2  Stro Correct
Russ  14    4    0  Lati Correct
Räik  12    5    1  Giov Correct
Schu   6   12    0  Maze Correct (draw)
It's nice that the pecking order within a team at least isn't 100% predictable.

That's all from this game for 2021 unless some protest would change things. Don't stay up and think about that though, go to sleep and wake up in time before the season opener in 2022 to join next season of PTPC. Happy new year! :)

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#2 Anderis

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Posted 13 December 2021 - 23:03

Congrats to M2000-5! :up:

 

Thanks to Makarias for running so many games. :up:

 

Congrats to Anderis for a late surge to 4th last, despite forecast showing him last or 2nd last almost entire year. :rotfl: Apart from Shareholders, my results haven't been spectacular this year in the games we already have the final results of, considering the small number of players, although I believe there are a few to come that will end up better for me.

 I think PTPC is the one I've always struggled to do well in particularly badly. I don't know why. :( I had the closest guess for 3 different drivers (not including Mazepin)!


Edited by Anderis, 13 December 2021 - 23:05.


#3 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 14 December 2021 - 01:17

Good game enjoyed this, I had some good guesses and others less so. congrats to M2000-5



#4 M2000-5

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Posted 14 December 2021 - 07:44

Woohoo! :eek: :eek: :eek:  This was one of the games that I always finished lower than 10th and I thought last year was a one off freak result that I would never be able to match again. Yessssssssssss! It was nail biting to the end, a great fight with GTA and SpaceHorseParty during the last rounds and Brawn BGP 001 at some point. Worthy opponents :up: 

 

Woohoo! :clap:

 

Thank you Makarias for running another game!

 

:wave: 

 

Mat



#5 Anderis

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Posted 14 December 2021 - 11:01

This was one of the games that I always finished lower than 10th

So is there hope for me? :lol:



#6 M2000-5

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Posted 14 December 2021 - 11:33

So is there hope for me? :lol:

Of course!



#7 GTA

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Posted 17 December 2021 - 03:37

Ah so close, pipped at the post. Congrats Mat and thanks Mak for running the game.  :clap:  :clap:



#8 mark f1

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Posted 06 January 2022 - 21:24

Thanks Mak for running the game!   :up:



#9 jjcale

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Posted 07 January 2022 - 19:45

I always said that I am SLH's #1 fan on this board ... and this proved it. ..... the only driver I came anywhere near to guessing his points. 

 

Thanks to Makarias for running the game.

 

Congrats to all who did better than me....