2021 final standings after Abu Dhabi:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) M2000-5 1972 37 2) GTA 1967 37 3) SpaceHorseParty 1962 44 4) Brawn BGP 001 1959 41 5) KWSN-DSM 1958 26 = noikeee 1958 26 7) scheivlak 1957 31 8) Bleu 1954 21 9) Makarias 1953 24 10) Grayson 1950 44 11) mark f1 1938 28 12) thegforcemaybewithyou1936 26 13) jjcale 1928 33 14) sladealonso 1924 31 15) Anderis 1910 44 16) DutchQuicksilver 1898 24 17) f1paul 1895 63 18) Marklar 1883 24Congratulations to 2021 champion M2000-5 for a great win! Up one spot from second last year.
Congratulations also to runner-up GTA Who was eighth last year,
and to third place finisher SpaceHorseParty who won the game last year!
Scores in the final round dropped to properly low, with only f1paul scoring over 50 points.
All 18 players will score points in the 2021 Supercup.
The entries
PTPC Hall of Fame
Year WDC Game Pl Winner AD Points Win % # 2000 442 365 82.58 14 jack and gilles 2001 442 364 82.35 69 MrT, tacololo 2002 442 376 85.07 46 smarty 2003 624 537 86.06 41 arcsine 2004 702 554 78.98 48 Pioneer 2005 741 595 80.30 49 KWSN-DSM 2006 702 592 84.33 47 an1res 2007 663 563 84.92 40 turin 2008 702 597 85.04 39 AcuraF1 2009 731 518 70.86 29 D82 2010 1919 1674 87.23 34 Costaz 2011 1919 1664 86.71 25 Crazy Canuck 2012 2020 1706 84.46 28 Costaz 2013 1919 1656 86.29 27 scheivlak 2014 1919 1602 83.48 30 noikeee 2015 1919 1710 89.11* 25 mark f1 2016 2121 1751 82.56 25 Brawn BGP 001 2017 2020 1861 92.13 22 Kev00 2018 2121 1943 91.61 25 thegforcemaybewithyou 2019 2121 1791 84.44 23 mark f1 2020 1717 1455 84.74 17 SpaceHorseParty 2021 2222 1972 88.75 18 M2000-5*2020 points in the guesses
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Lati 757,9 114,3 18 Russ 671,6 227,3 18 Sain 174,9 126,2 18 Gasl 160,0 116,5 18 Norr 126,7 89,3 17 Lecl 121,4 79,7 17 Vers 112,4 93,8 17 Ocon 106,8 72,6 11 Hami 103,6 94,6 12 Räik 88,7 25,6 9 Bott 86,0 72,5 4 Pere 80,4 69,5 0 Alon 75,7 53,6 1 Ricc 73,4 61,7 0 Tsun 69,6 40,0 2 Vett 47,7 34,8 0 Stro 47,1 35,1 0 Giov 35,1 12,0 1Lewis Hamilton beats his expectation in the final race! I bet he's delighted.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Hamilton Sainz Tsunoda Gasly f1paul 421 Anderis 408 * Potential 164 scheivlak 79 * Potential 113 * Potential 396 f1paul 407 * Forecast 164 KWSN-DSM 76 * Forecast 113 * Forecast 396 Grayson 392 * Current 164 Marklar 72 * Current 113 * Current 396 GTA 392 GTA 129 noikeee 67 KWSN-DSM 96 Brawn BGP 001 384 SpaceHorseParty 392 thegforcemaybewi115 Grayson 48 mark f1 96 M2000-5 379 jjcale 387 Grayson 105 mark f1 48 scheivlak 85 scheivlak 378 * Potential 387 Makarias 102 thegforcemaybewi 48 DutchQuicksilver 84 KWSN-DSM 373 * Forecast 387 M2000-5 101 Makarias 44 sladealonso 81 Bleu 370 * Current 387 Anderis 100 Anderis 43 Brawn BGP 001 79 jjcale 367 Makarias 377 Bleu 96 SpaceHorseParty 41 thegforcemaybewi 77 noikeee 360 sladealonso 376 KWSN-DSM 96 sladealonso 40 Marklar 75 SpaceHorseParty 354 mark f1 372 mark f1 96 GTA 38 noikeee 68 Marklar 345 scheivlak 368 noikeee 96 f1paul 37 GTA 67 thegforcemaybewi344 noikeee 366 SpaceHorseParty 96 Brawn BGP 001 32 f1paul 65 Makarias 337 DutchQuicksilver365 jjcale 90 DutchQuicksilver 32 Makarias 65 Grayson 335 M2000-5 365 scheivlak 86 M2000-5 32 SpaceHorseParty 62 GTA 335 Bleu 362 f1paul 85 * Potential 32 M2000-5 60 sladealonso 330 KWSN-DSM 361 sladealonso 77 * Forecast 32 Grayson 57 mark f1 325 thegforcemaybewi354 DutchQuicksilver 76 * Current 32 Bleu 55 DutchQuicksilver316 Brawn BGP 001 348 Brawn BGP 001 74 Bleu 27 jjcale 52 Anderis 290 Marklar 335 Marklar 68 jjcale 23 Anderis 47Tsunoda beats his first guesses at the season finale.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Bottas Norris Alonso Ocon Leclerc Anderis 297 M2000-5 177 Makarias 150 thegforcemaybewi105 GTA 201 f1paul 287 * Potential 159 jjcale 140 noikeee 97 * Potential 161 Grayson 287 * Forecast 159 thegforcemaybewi134 Bleu 91 * Forecast 161 DutchQuicksilver286 * Current 159 Grayson 124 SpaceHorseParty 91 * Current 161 sladealonso 272 Brawn BGP 001 157 Anderis 121 M2000-5 90 Anderis 160 Marklar 270 Makarias 140 sladealonso 120 Grayson 86 Bleu 149 SpaceHorseParty 268 Grayson 134 mark f1 110 Anderis 78 Makarias 141 jjcale 262 jjcale 130 SpaceHorseParty 110 * Potential 77 SpaceHorseParty 139 mark f1 249 noikeee 128 DutchQuicksilver107 * Forecast 77 Brawn BGP 001 137 noikeee 248 Marklar 126 M2000-5 107 * Current 77 Marklar 135 Brawn BGP 001 241 sladealonso 126 Bleu 103 KWSN-DSM 76 sladealonso 135 thegforcemaybewi239 f1paul 125 noikeee 98 mark f1 76 thegforcemaybewi134 scheivlak 235 mark f1 124 KWSN-DSM 96 DutchQuicksilver 73 DutchQuicksilver129 Bleu 234 DutchQuicksilver120 Marklar 95 Makarias 72 scheivlak 129 * Potential 216 SpaceHorseParty 119 Brawn BGP 001 89 sladealonso 65 Grayson 124 * Forecast 216 Bleu 116 GTA 86 Marklar 62 noikeee 124 * Current 216 GTA 114 scheivlak 81 scheivlak 58 jjcale 121 KWSN-DSM 215 Anderis 111 * Potential 81 jjcale 56 KWSN-DSM 119 M2000-5 213 scheivlak 110 * Forecast 81 GTA 48 mark f1 115 GTA 210 thegforcemaybewi105 * Current 81 Brawn BGP 001 41 M2000-5 99 Makarias 208 KWSN-DSM 96 f1paul 54 f1paul 33 f1paul 96Norris was forecast to be a 100% surprise up until Mexico...
The PTPC forecast after Saudi Arabia
Name Forecast +/- M2000-5 1982,2 -9,4 GTA 1981,0 -6,6 SpaceHorseParty 1972,4 10,6 Bleu 1970,3 1,9 noikeee 1968,8 2,4 Brawn BGP 001 1968,2 -6,9 scheivlak 1966,7 -3,7 KWSN-DSM 1965,3 -3,1 Grayson 1960,4 10,6 Makarias 1960,3 -9,8 mark f1 1947,2 -0,2 thegforcemaybewithyou1946,7 1,3 jjcale 1945,8 1,3 sladealonso 1933,7 -7,4 Anderis 1916,3 19,4 DutchQuicksilver 1907,7 -3,7 f1paul 1897,3 5,2 Marklar 1892,7 -7,4Order wise the final forecast wasn't miles off. Bleu suffered from Tsunodas nice finish.
The best guesses on each driver
X # ! Y Vers 396 384 Brawn BGP 001 Hami 387 387 jjcale Bott 216 215 KWSN-DSM Pere 189 194 Anderis Sain 164 129 GTA Lecl 161 160 Anderis Norr 159 157 Brawn BGP 001 Ricc 119 143 SpaceHorseParty, thegforcemaybewithyou Gasl 113 96 KWSN-DSM, mark f1 Alon 81 81 scheivlak Ocon 77 78 Anderis, 76: KWSN-DSM, mark f1 Vett 48 57 GTA Stro 34 38 noikeee Tsun 32 32 Brawn BGP 001, DutchQuicksilver, M2000-5 Russ 25 10 scheivlak Räik 10 10 Brawn BGP 001 Lati 8 6 KWSN-DSM Giov 3 4 Brawn BGP 001, Grayson, M2000-5, Makarias, 2: thegforcemaybewithyou Schu 0 0 9 players Maze 0 0 11 playersBrawn BGP 001 among the closest for a whopping seven drivers, including the Haas guys.
Note that
a) the entries were scaled so you probably don't recognize your own entries and
b) FL and quali race points don't count in this game and
c) Belgium was scored as a full race in this game.
Reality check on some of our predictions
Popularity Poll WCC prediction:
Team Pred Off Merc 625 - 22 RBR 587 - 2 McLa 287 - 9 Ferr 227 + 98 Alpi 179 - 21 Asto 173 - 91 ATau 117 + 28 Alfa 19 - 6 Will 5 + 28 Haas 3 - 3Ferrari, Aston Martin and Williams were way off, but the other WCC predictions were pretty fantastic.
Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
Owner Owned Comment <- = -> Alon 18 0 0 Ocon Correct (but actually close) Gasl 18 0 0 Tsun Correct Hami 18 0 0 Bott Correct Vers 18 0 0 Pere Correct Lecl 17 0 1 Sain Wrong Ricc 17 0 1 Norr Wrong Vett 15 1 2 Stro Correct Russ 14 4 0 Lati Correct Räik 12 5 1 Giov Correct Schu 6 12 0 Maze Correct (draw)It's nice that the pecking order within a team at least isn't 100% predictable.
That's all from this game for 2021 unless some protest would change things. Don't stay up and think about that though, go to sleep and wake up in time before the season opener in 2022 to join next season of PTPC. Happy new year!