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Guess the Pole 2022: Australia


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 26 March 2022 - 20:16

MODIFIED LAYOUT
Since the last time F1 raced in Melbourne in 2019, the track layout has been modified a bit. Turns 9 and 10 have been made faster and turn 13 has been reprofiled. The new layout should be faster than the old one.
Doubled timespans apply, for the umpteenth time in recent years.

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2022 standings

Five latest poles at Australia:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2019  Hamilton      80.486
2018  Hamilton      81.164
2017  Hamilton      82.188
2016  Hamilton      83.837
2015  Hamilton      86.327

Late 2021 front rows:
GP   Pole  #2
QAT  Hami  Vers
SAU  Hami  Bott
ABU  Vers  Hami

Driver values:
Dri  val
Vers   6
Hami   6
Lecl   9
Bott  13
Pere  13
REST  18

2022 data:
                  Time    2021 PP  2020 PP  2019 PP  2022/2021  2022/2020  2022/2019
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
BAH  Lecl  Vers   90.558   88.997   87.264   87.866   101.754    103.775    103.064
SAU  Pere  Lecl   88.200   87.511   ------   ------   100.787     ------     ------
OZ                     0   ------   ------   80.486    ------     ------           
EMI                    0   74.411   73.609   ------                          ------
MIA                    0   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
ESP                    0   75.584   75.584   75.406                                
MON                    0   70.346   ------   70.166               ------           
AZE                    0  101.218   ------  100.495               ------           
CAN                    0   ------   ------   70.240    ------     ------           
GB                     0   86.134   84.303   85.093                                
AUT                    0   63.720   62.939   63.003                                
FRA                    0   89.990   ------   88.319               ------           
HUN                    0   75.419   73.447   74.572                                
BEL                    0  119.765  101.252  102.519                                
NED                    0   68.885   ------   ------               ------     ------
ITA                    0   79.651   78.887   79.307                                
SIN                    0   ------   ------   96.217    ------     ------           
JAP                    0   ------   ------   87.064    ------     ------           
USA                    0   92.910   ------   92.029               ------           
MEX                    0   75.875   ------   74.758               ------           
BRA                    0   68.372   ------   67.508               ------           
ABU                    0   82.109   95.246   94.779                                
My guess for Australia is 78.062 s by Carlos Sainz.

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#2 rodlamas

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Posted 30 March 2022 - 12:37

76.888 Max



#3 Ivanhoe

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Posted 31 March 2022 - 15:06

78.541 - Leclerc



#4 jjcale

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Posted 02 April 2022 - 17:45

77.486   Max


Edited by jjcale, 06 April 2022 - 15:28.


#5 scheivlak

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Posted 05 April 2022 - 06:24

Leclerc 76.420


Edited by scheivlak, 07 April 2022 - 21:03.


#6 Anderis

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Posted 05 April 2022 - 17:01

78.300 Leclerc



#7 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 05 April 2022 - 17:33

78.807 Max Verstappen

Edited by DutchQuicksilver, 06 April 2022 - 14:21.


#8 LB

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Posted 06 April 2022 - 04:30

Verstappen 77.223



#9 brunopascal

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Posted 06 April 2022 - 12:14

79.000 Leclerc



#10 tourister46a

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Posted 06 April 2022 - 18:07

76.123 Leclerc



#11 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 06 April 2022 - 18:31

78.123 Sainz

#12 GTA

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Posted 06 April 2022 - 20:41

77.455 CS


Edited by GTA, 06 April 2022 - 20:42.


#13 Kev00

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Posted 06 April 2022 - 20:43

75.350 Leclerc

#14 mark f1

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Posted 07 April 2022 - 04:09

Verstappen 78.456

#15 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 07 April 2022 - 09:33

74.711 Verstappen



#16 Bleu

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Posted 07 April 2022 - 18:46

75.120 Leclerc



#17 alekracing

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Posted 07 April 2022 - 18:59

76.639 Verstappen



#18 f1paul

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Posted 07 April 2022 - 21:38

74.111 Leclerc



#19 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 08 April 2022 - 01:27

74.383 Carlos Sainz Jnr