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Place The Points Competition 2022 after Spain


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 22 May 2022 - 22:07

The standings after Spain:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  noikeee               605 101
2)  Brawn BGP 001         604 101
3)  jjcale                602  97
4)  F1frog                597  97
5)  Anderis               593  94
6)  DutchQuicksilver      586  93
=   mark f1               586  93
8)  KWSN-DSM              585  93
9)  Bleu                  579  93
=   GTA                   579  93
11) SpaceHorseParty       577  93
12) Grayson               576  93
=   scheivlak             576  93
14) Makarias              575  93
15) f1paul                574  87
Points lost even for jjcale, and noikeee moves to the front! Makarias leaves last place and is delighted.

The entries

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Bott    170,9     76,6   13
Magn     54,3     16,7    7
Ocon     47,7     29,7    1
Pere     37,7     29,8    0
Lecl     35,7     24,9    0
Russ     35,3     26,1    0
Tsun     31,1     16,2    1
Albo     30,4      7,7    5
Vers     29,2     24,6    0
Sain     25,5     17,1    0
Norr     23,6     18,6    0
Zhou     22,4      6,3    3
Hami     16,7     12,4    0
Vett      8,2      3,8    0
Ricc      7,2      5,5    0
Gasl      7,0      4,8    0
Stro      5,6      1,9    0
Alon      5,5      3,3    0

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen             Perez                  Russell                Sainz                  Hamilton            
* Potential     500    * Potential     478    * Potential     474    * Potential     460    * Potential     446
Anderis         405    * Forecast      286    F1frog          283    SpaceHorseParty 350    Grayson         370
SpaceHorseParty 401    Anderis         261    * Forecast      271    f1paul          278    scheivlak       328
noikeee         395    KWSN-DSM        225    f1paul          243    Brawn BGP 001   277    F1frog          320
Makarias        374    Makarias        222    Makarias        243    GTA             270    Makarias        312
* Forecast      367    jjcale          218    mark f1         240    DutchQuicksilver247    DutchQuicksilver311
Grayson         360    GTA             210    DutchQuicksilver236    jjcale          231    mark f1         310
scheivlak       360    f1paul          209    jjcale          230    noikeee         230    noikeee         282
DutchQuicksilver358    mark f1         204    scheivlak       225    Anderis         228    jjcale          271
f1paul          358    Bleu            201    Grayson         220    Bleu            221    Brawn BGP 001   267
mark f1         350    noikeee         201    noikeee         202    * Forecast      220    GTA             261
Brawn BGP 001   346    Brawn BGP 001   200    Bleu            186    F1frog          211    f1paul          258
GTA             335    scheivlak       200    GTA             180    Grayson         205    Bleu            245
KWSN-DSM        310    F1frog          198    KWSN-DSM        175    Makarias        205    KWSN-DSM        225
F1frog          265    DutchQuicksilver191    Anderis         165    mark f1         200    SpaceHorseParty 190
Bleu            264    SpaceHorseParty 186    SpaceHorseParty 160    KWSN-DSM        185    Anderis         185
jjcale          256    Grayson         180    Brawn BGP 001   155    scheivlak       185    * Forecast      169
* Current       100    * Current        78    * Current        74    * Current        60    * Current        46

Guesses on P6-P10:
Bottas                 Ocon                   Norris                 Alonso                 Tsunoda             
* Potential     436    * Potential     430    * Potential     435    * Potential     404    * Potential     411
* Forecast      132    * Forecast      110    jjcale          187    Bleu            120    Bleu             67
Brawn BGP 001    46    Anderis         100    Bleu            182    Anderis         100    KWSN-DSM         50
noikeee          40    Bleu            100    F1frog          177    Brawn BGP 001    89    scheivlak        50
* Current        36    KWSN-DSM         80    Brawn BGP 001   175    KWSN-DSM         80    * Forecast       40
F1frog           32    scheivlak        70    Makarias        163    mark f1          80    Grayson          40
jjcale           32    jjcale           68    SpaceHorseParty 160    scheivlak        80    GTA              40
Anderis          30    SpaceHorseParty  65    Grayson         150    DutchQuicksilver 79    mark f1          40
mark f1          20    Brawn BGP 001    64    KWSN-DSM        150    Makarias         66    Makarias         39
DutchQuicksilver 16    DutchQuicksilver 63    mark f1         150    Grayson          65    jjcale           38
Bleu             15    Grayson          60    scheivlak       140    SpaceHorseParty  65    noikeee          34
Grayson          15    mark f1          60    * Forecast      128    F1frog           62    f1paul           30
KWSN-DSM         15    F1frog           58    DutchQuicksilver126    GTA              58    F1frog           28
scheivlak        14    Makarias         57    f1paul          125    f1paul           52    SpaceHorseParty  25
f1paul           12    noikeee          38    GTA             121    jjcale           52    DutchQuicksilver 23
GTA              10    GTA              37    noikeee         113    noikeee          37    Brawn BGP 001    16
SpaceHorseParty  10    * Current        30    Anderis         105    * Forecast       15    * Current        11
Makarias          9    f1paul           23    * Current        35    * Current         4    Anderis          10
Bottas is now 11 points from a 100% surprise.

The PTPC forecast
Here it comes:
Name               Forecast  +/-
f1paul               1816,7  38,3
GTA                  1800,3 -17,1
Anderis              1798,3  46,9
noikeee              1795,3  35,9
DutchQuicksilver     1782,3  37,9
SpaceHorseParty      1761,3  38,1
Brawn BGP 001        1760,0  18,2
scheivlak            1758,3  18,7
mark f1              1752,0  13,4
Makarias             1747,7  30,1
jjcale               1741,7  -0,7
F1frog               1709,3   2,9
Grayson              1693,7  22,7
Bleu                 1692,3  -2,5
KWSN-DSM             1680,3 -23,5
So, f1paul simultaneously moves to the bottom in the current standings and to the top in the forecast! Groovy!

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#2 jjcale

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Posted 23 May 2022 - 07:54

Thanks for these very quick updates.



#3 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 23 May 2022 - 09:34

The only way is up.



#4 Anderis

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Posted 23 May 2022 - 10:02

Somehow I'm 3rd in the forecast but all it takes is one bad race for RB and one good for McLaren, Ferrari and Mercedes and I will be predicted to finish much lower.



#5 noikeee

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Posted 23 May 2022 - 10:10

Bottas has been helping me but this is running out quickly...