The standings after Spain:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) noikeee 605 101 2) Brawn BGP 001 604 101 3) jjcale 602 97 4) F1frog 597 97 5) Anderis 593 94 6) DutchQuicksilver 586 93 = mark f1 586 93 8) KWSN-DSM 585 93 9) Bleu 579 93 = GTA 579 93 11) SpaceHorseParty 577 93 12) Grayson 576 93 = scheivlak 576 93 14) Makarias 575 93 15) f1paul 574 87Points lost even for jjcale, and noikeee moves to the front! Makarias leaves last place and is delighted.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bott 170,9 76,6 13 Magn 54,3 16,7 7 Ocon 47,7 29,7 1 Pere 37,7 29,8 0 Lecl 35,7 24,9 0 Russ 35,3 26,1 0 Tsun 31,1 16,2 1 Albo 30,4 7,7 5 Vers 29,2 24,6 0 Sain 25,5 17,1 0 Norr 23,6 18,6 0 Zhou 22,4 6,3 3 Hami 16,7 12,4 0 Vett 8,2 3,8 0 Ricc 7,2 5,5 0 Gasl 7,0 4,8 0 Stro 5,6 1,9 0 Alon 5,5 3,3 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Perez Russell Sainz Hamilton * Potential 500 * Potential 478 * Potential 474 * Potential 460 * Potential 446 Anderis 405 * Forecast 286 F1frog 283 SpaceHorseParty 350 Grayson 370 SpaceHorseParty 401 Anderis 261 * Forecast 271 f1paul 278 scheivlak 328 noikeee 395 KWSN-DSM 225 f1paul 243 Brawn BGP 001 277 F1frog 320 Makarias 374 Makarias 222 Makarias 243 GTA 270 Makarias 312 * Forecast 367 jjcale 218 mark f1 240 DutchQuicksilver247 DutchQuicksilver311 Grayson 360 GTA 210 DutchQuicksilver236 jjcale 231 mark f1 310 scheivlak 360 f1paul 209 jjcale 230 noikeee 230 noikeee 282 DutchQuicksilver358 mark f1 204 scheivlak 225 Anderis 228 jjcale 271 f1paul 358 Bleu 201 Grayson 220 Bleu 221 Brawn BGP 001 267 mark f1 350 noikeee 201 noikeee 202 * Forecast 220 GTA 261 Brawn BGP 001 346 Brawn BGP 001 200 Bleu 186 F1frog 211 f1paul 258 GTA 335 scheivlak 200 GTA 180 Grayson 205 Bleu 245 KWSN-DSM 310 F1frog 198 KWSN-DSM 175 Makarias 205 KWSN-DSM 225 F1frog 265 DutchQuicksilver191 Anderis 165 mark f1 200 SpaceHorseParty 190 Bleu 264 SpaceHorseParty 186 SpaceHorseParty 160 KWSN-DSM 185 Anderis 185 jjcale 256 Grayson 180 Brawn BGP 001 155 scheivlak 185 * Forecast 169 * Current 100 * Current 78 * Current 74 * Current 60 * Current 46
Guesses on P6-P10:
Bottas Ocon Norris Alonso Tsunoda * Potential 436 * Potential 430 * Potential 435 * Potential 404 * Potential 411 * Forecast 132 * Forecast 110 jjcale 187 Bleu 120 Bleu 67 Brawn BGP 001 46 Anderis 100 Bleu 182 Anderis 100 KWSN-DSM 50 noikeee 40 Bleu 100 F1frog 177 Brawn BGP 001 89 scheivlak 50 * Current 36 KWSN-DSM 80 Brawn BGP 001 175 KWSN-DSM 80 * Forecast 40 F1frog 32 scheivlak 70 Makarias 163 mark f1 80 Grayson 40 jjcale 32 jjcale 68 SpaceHorseParty 160 scheivlak 80 GTA 40 Anderis 30 SpaceHorseParty 65 Grayson 150 DutchQuicksilver 79 mark f1 40 mark f1 20 Brawn BGP 001 64 KWSN-DSM 150 Makarias 66 Makarias 39 DutchQuicksilver 16 DutchQuicksilver 63 mark f1 150 Grayson 65 jjcale 38 Bleu 15 Grayson 60 scheivlak 140 SpaceHorseParty 65 noikeee 34 Grayson 15 mark f1 60 * Forecast 128 F1frog 62 f1paul 30 KWSN-DSM 15 F1frog 58 DutchQuicksilver126 GTA 58 F1frog 28 scheivlak 14 Makarias 57 f1paul 125 f1paul 52 SpaceHorseParty 25 f1paul 12 noikeee 38 GTA 121 jjcale 52 DutchQuicksilver 23 GTA 10 GTA 37 noikeee 113 noikeee 37 Brawn BGP 001 16 SpaceHorseParty 10 * Current 30 Anderis 105 * Forecast 15 * Current 11 Makarias 9 f1paul 23 * Current 35 * Current 4 Anderis 10Bottas is now 11 points from a 100% surprise.
The PTPC forecast
Here it comes:
Name Forecast +/- f1paul 1816,7 38,3 GTA 1800,3 -17,1 Anderis 1798,3 46,9 noikeee 1795,3 35,9 DutchQuicksilver 1782,3 37,9 SpaceHorseParty 1761,3 38,1 Brawn BGP 001 1760,0 18,2 scheivlak 1758,3 18,7 mark f1 1752,0 13,4 Makarias 1747,7 30,1 jjcale 1741,7 -0,7 F1frog 1709,3 2,9 Grayson 1693,7 22,7 Bleu 1692,3 -2,5 KWSN-DSM 1680,3 -23,5So, f1paul simultaneously moves to the bottom in the current standings and to the top in the forecast! Groovy!
