The standings after Monaco:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) noikeee 706 101 2) Brawn BGP 001 705 101 3) jjcale 701 99 4) F1frog 696 99 5) Anderis 692 99 6) DutchQuicksilver 685 99 = mark f1 685 99 8) KWSN-DSM 684 99 9) Bleu 678 99 = GTA 678 99 11) SpaceHorseParty 676 99 12) Grayson 675 99 = scheivlak 675 99 14) Makarias 674 99 15) f1paul 673 99Points lost only for Bottas.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bott 180,4 80,9 13 Magn 54,3 16,7 7 Pere 49,7 39,3 0 Ocon 47,7 29,7 1 Lecl 40,2 28,0 0 Russ 40,1 29,6 0 Vers 33,6 28,3 0 Sain 33,2 22,2 0 Tsun 31,1 16,2 1 Albo 30,4 7,7 5 Norr 29,0 22,9 0 Zhou 22,4 6,3 3 Hami 18,1 13,5 0 Alon 13,8 8,3 0 Vett 10,2 4,7 0 Ricc 7,2 5,5 0 Gasl 7,0 4,8 0 Stro 5,6 1,9 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Perez Sainz Verstappen Leclerc Russell * Potential 478 * Potential 453 * Potential 490 * Potential 481 * Potential 459 * Forecast 324 SpaceHorseParty 350 Anderis 405 GTA 377 F1frog 283 Anderis 261 f1paul 278 SpaceHorseParty 401 * Forecast 333 * Forecast 264 KWSN-DSM 225 Brawn BGP 001 277 noikeee 395 f1paul 320 f1paul 243 Makarias 222 GTA 270 Makarias 374 SpaceHorseParty 310 Makarias 243 jjcale 218 DutchQuicksilver247 * Forecast 361 Brawn BGP 001 306 mark f1 240 GTA 210 * Forecast 245 Grayson 360 Anderis 271 DutchQuicksilver236 f1paul 209 jjcale 231 scheivlak 360 noikeee 267 jjcale 230 mark f1 204 noikeee 230 DutchQuicksilver358 Bleu 260 scheivlak 225 Bleu 201 Anderis 228 f1paul 358 scheivlak 260 Grayson 220 noikeee 201 Bleu 221 mark f1 350 DutchQuicksilver256 noikeee 202 Brawn BGP 001 200 F1frog 211 Brawn BGP 001 346 F1frog 240 Bleu 186 scheivlak 200 Grayson 205 GTA 335 jjcale 240 GTA 180 F1frog 198 Makarias 205 KWSN-DSM 310 mark f1 230 KWSN-DSM 175 DutchQuicksilver191 mark f1 200 F1frog 265 Grayson 210 Anderis 165 SpaceHorseParty 186 KWSN-DSM 185 Bleu 264 Makarias 206 SpaceHorseParty 160 Grayson 180 scheivlak 185 jjcale 256 KWSN-DSM 199 Brawn BGP 001 155 * Current 103 * Current 78 * Current 115 * Current 106 * Current 84
Guesses on P6-P10:
Norris Alonso Hamilton Bottas Vettel * Potential 418 * Potential 385 * Potential 425 * Potential 413 * Potential 380 jjcale 187 Bleu 120 Grayson 370 * Forecast 119 Anderis 105 Bleu 182 Anderis 100 scheivlak 328 Brawn BGP 001 46 f1paul 60 F1frog 177 Brawn BGP 001 89 F1frog 320 noikeee 40 KWSN-DSM 60 Brawn BGP 001 175 KWSN-DSM 80 Makarias 312 * Current 38 DutchQuicksilver 51 Makarias 163 mark f1 80 DutchQuicksilver311 F1frog 32 scheivlak 50 SpaceHorseParty 160 scheivlak 80 mark f1 310 jjcale 32 Bleu 48 Grayson 150 DutchQuicksilver 79 noikeee 282 Anderis 30 Grayson 45 KWSN-DSM 150 Makarias 66 jjcale 271 mark f1 20 F1frog 44 mark f1 150 Grayson 65 Brawn BGP 001 267 DutchQuicksilver 16 jjcale 44 scheivlak 140 SpaceHorseParty 65 GTA 261 Bleu 15 Brawn BGP 001 41 * Forecast 135 F1frog 62 f1paul 258 Grayson 15 Makarias 41 DutchQuicksilver126 GTA 58 Bleu 245 KWSN-DSM 15 mark f1 40 f1paul 125 f1paul 52 KWSN-DSM 225 scheivlak 14 noikeee 39 GTA 121 jjcale 52 SpaceHorseParty 190 f1paul 12 SpaceHorseParty 35 noikeee 113 noikeee 37 Anderis 185 GTA 10 GTA 30 Anderis 105 * Forecast 31 * Forecast 157 SpaceHorseParty 10 * Forecast 16 * Current 43 * Current 10 * Current 50 Makarias 9 * Current 5Out of these five, only Bottas is beating any guesses in the near future.
The PTPC forecast
Here it comes:
Name Forecast +/- f1paul 1839,7 23,0 GTA 1806,4 6,1 DutchQuicksilver 1804,9 22,5 Anderis 1793,3 -5,0 noikeee 1790,1 -5,2 Brawn BGP 001 1789,9 29,9 SpaceHorseParty 1785,4 24,1 scheivlak 1755,7 -2,6 jjcale 1751,9 10,2 mark f1 1750,7 -1,3 Makarias 1742,7 -5,0 F1frog 1705,1 -4,2 Grayson 1691,9 -1,8 Bleu 1685,0 -7,3 KWSN-DSM 1669,9 -10,5