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Place The Points Competition 2022 after Canada


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 21 June 2022 - 19:33

The standings after Canada:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  Brawn BGP 001         903  97
=   noikeee               903  96
3)  jjcale                897  95
4)  F1frog                888  91
5)  Anderis               885  92
6)  DutchQuicksilver      880  94
=   KWSN-DSM              880  95
8)  mark f1               879  93
9)  SpaceHorseParty       872  95
10) Bleu                  871  92
=   Grayson               871  95
12) GTA                   868  89
=   scheivlak             868  92
14) Makarias              867  92
15) f1paul                856  83
Ocon and the Alfas bring the early season action.

The entries

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Bott    208,9     93,6   14
Zhou    111,9     31,3   10
Ocon     62,0     38,6    3
Pere     58,4     46,2    0
Magn     54,3     16,7    7
Russ     53,0     39,1    0
Vers     48,2     40,6    0
Lecl     44,9     30,7    0
Sain     40,9     27,4    0
Tsun     31,1     16,2    1
Albo     30,4      7,7    5
Norr     30,4     23,9    0
Hami     27,9     20,8    0
Vett     26,6     12,3    0
Alon     24,9     14,9    0
Gasl     18,7     12,7    0
Ricc     10,7      8,2    0
Stro      8,4      2,9    0
Zhou Guanyu becomes the second driver to beat his expectations!

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.


Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen             Sainz                  Hamilton               Russell                Leclerc             
* Potential     490    * Potential     421    * Potential     402    * Potential     436    * Potential     441
Anderis         405    SpaceHorseParty 350    Grayson         370    F1frog          283    GTA             377
* Forecast      403    f1paul          278    scheivlak       328    * Forecast      271    f1paul          320
SpaceHorseParty 401    Brawn BGP 001   277    F1frog          320    f1paul          243    SpaceHorseParty 310
noikeee         395    GTA             270    Makarias        312    Makarias        243    Brawn BGP 001   306
Makarias        374    DutchQuicksilver247    DutchQuicksilver311    mark f1         240    * Forecast      284
Grayson         360    * Forecast      235    mark f1         310    DutchQuicksilver236    Anderis         271
scheivlak       360    jjcale          231    noikeee         282    jjcale          230    noikeee         267
DutchQuicksilver358    noikeee         230    jjcale          271    scheivlak       225    Bleu            260
f1paul          358    Anderis         228    Brawn BGP 001   267    Grayson         220    scheivlak       260
mark f1         350    Bleu            221    GTA             261    noikeee         202    DutchQuicksilver256
Brawn BGP 001   346    F1frog          211    f1paul          258    Bleu            186    F1frog          240
GTA             335    Grayson         205    Bleu            245    GTA             180    jjcale          240
KWSN-DSM        310    Makarias        205    KWSN-DSM        225    KWSN-DSM        175    mark f1         230
F1frog          265    mark f1         200    SpaceHorseParty 190    Anderis         165    Grayson         210
Bleu            264    KWSN-DSM        185    * Forecast      188    SpaceHorseParty 160    Makarias        206
jjcale          256    scheivlak       185    Anderis         185    Brawn BGP 001   155    KWSN-DSM        199
* Current       165    * Current        96    * Current        77    * Current       111    * Current       116
For the first time since Australia, Hamilton is predicted to beat a guess.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Ocon                   Bottas                 Zhou                   Alonso                 Stroll              
* Potential     364    * Potential     369    * Potential     330    * Potential     343    * Potential     328
Anderis         100    * Forecast      108    KWSN-DSM         15    Bleu            120    Anderis         102
Bleu            100    Brawn BGP 001    46    jjcale           13    Anderis         100    Bleu             42
* Forecast       95    * Current        44    * Forecast       12    Brawn BGP 001    89    f1paul           41
KWSN-DSM         80    noikeee          40    Grayson          10    KWSN-DSM         80    Grayson          40
scheivlak        70    F1frog           32    noikeee           8    mark f1          80    KWSN-DSM         40
jjcale           68    jjcale           32    SpaceHorseParty   5    scheivlak        80    scheivlak        38
SpaceHorseParty  65    Anderis          30    * Current         5    DutchQuicksilver 79    DutchQuicksilver 34
Brawn BGP 001    64    mark f1          20    DutchQuicksilver  4    Makarias         66    jjcale           34
DutchQuicksilver 63    DutchQuicksilver 16    mark f1           3    Grayson          65    mark f1          30
Grayson          60    Bleu             15    Anderis           2    SpaceHorseParty  65    SpaceHorseParty  30
mark f1          60    Grayson          15    Bleu              2    F1frog           62    noikeee          25
F1frog           58    KWSN-DSM         15    Makarias          2    GTA              58    F1frog           24
Makarias         57    scheivlak        14    scheivlak         2    f1paul           52    GTA              24
* Current        39    f1paul           12    f1paul            1    jjcale           52    Makarias         22
noikeee          38    GTA              10    Brawn BGP 001     0    * Forecast       44    Brawn BGP 001    12
GTA              37    SpaceHorseParty  10    F1frog            0    noikeee          37    * Forecast        7
f1paul           23    Makarias          9    GTA               0    * Current        18    * Current         3
Bottas needs merely a P8 finish to become a 100% surprise whereas Zhou needs a P4.

The PTPC forecast
Name               Forecast  +/-
Anderis              1918,2  49,7
noikeee              1886,9  27,1
DutchQuicksilver     1864,4  14,7
f1paul               1859,9   2,4
SpaceHorseParty      1850,0  24,5
Brawn BGP 001        1817,0   5,5
Makarias             1807,7 -10,1
GTA                  1806,3   4,6
scheivlak            1806,0 -11,0
jjcale               1805,4  10,7
mark f1              1801,0 -10,8
F1frog               1769,3  -9,7
Grayson              1749,0  -3,8
Bleu                 1736,3   5,6
KWSN-DSM             1719,4  -5,8
No extreme changes.

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#2 Anderis

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Posted 21 June 2022 - 20:53

The PTPC forecast
Name               Forecast  +/-
Anderis              1918,2  49,7
noikeee              1886,9  27,1
DutchQuicksilver     1864,4  14,7
f1paul               1859,9   2,4
SpaceHorseParty      1850,0  24,5
Brawn BGP 001        1817,0   5,5
Makarias             1807,7 -10,1
GTA                  1806,3   4,6
scheivlak            1806,0 -11,0
jjcale               1805,4  10,7
mark f1              1801,0 -10,8
F1frog               1769,3  -9,7
Grayson              1749,0  -3,8
Bleu                 1736,3   5,6
KWSN-DSM             1719,4  -5,8
No extreme changes.

The fact that I did not only maintain the lead in the forecast, but even extended it after this round, is pretty extreme given my history in this game. :p



#3 noikeee

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Posted 22 June 2022 - 20:17

The fact that I did not only maintain the lead in the forecast, but even extended it after this round, is pretty extreme given my history in this game. :p

 

It seems that to beat you I'm gonna have to hope for Mercedes to catch up with Ferrari - specially Hamilton in particular - and for Max to keep dominating the season. I did predict that, but...  :|  :lol:



#4 Anderis

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Posted 22 June 2022 - 20:22

It seems that to beat you I'm gonna have to hope for Mercedes to catch up with Ferrari - specially Hamilton in particular - and for Max to keep dominating the season. I did predict that, but...  :|  :lol:

Last time I checked, I was the player who put the most points on Max, so maybe if he's dominating too much, it will not be good for people who want to "catch" me. :p



#5 Makarias

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Posted 23 June 2022 - 16:56

The Forecast has always been rather crude, and it doesn't take into account trends or anything. Ferrari seemed stronger early in the season while Mercedes might be coming into its own now, so things can look different by the end of the season.



#6 Anderis

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Posted 23 June 2022 - 17:59

The Forecast has always been rather crude, and it doesn't take into account trends or anything. Ferrari seemed stronger early in the season while Mercedes might be coming into its own now, so things can look different by the end of the season.

I know, I know, me having a chance at winning this game simply can't be true. :p