The standings after Canada:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Brawn BGP 001 903 97 = noikeee 903 96 3) jjcale 897 95 4) F1frog 888 91 5) Anderis 885 92 6) DutchQuicksilver 880 94 = KWSN-DSM 880 95 8) mark f1 879 93 9) SpaceHorseParty 872 95 10) Bleu 871 92 = Grayson 871 95 12) GTA 868 89 = scheivlak 868 92 14) Makarias 867 92 15) f1paul 856 83Ocon and the Alfas bring the early season action.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bott 208,9 93,6 14 Zhou 111,9 31,3 10 Ocon 62,0 38,6 3 Pere 58,4 46,2 0 Magn 54,3 16,7 7 Russ 53,0 39,1 0 Vers 48,2 40,6 0 Lecl 44,9 30,7 0 Sain 40,9 27,4 0 Tsun 31,1 16,2 1 Albo 30,4 7,7 5 Norr 30,4 23,9 0 Hami 27,9 20,8 0 Vett 26,6 12,3 0 Alon 24,9 14,9 0 Gasl 18,7 12,7 0 Ricc 10,7 8,2 0 Stro 8,4 2,9 0Zhou Guanyu becomes the second driver to beat his expectations!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Sainz Hamilton Russell Leclerc * Potential 490 * Potential 421 * Potential 402 * Potential 436 * Potential 441 Anderis 405 SpaceHorseParty 350 Grayson 370 F1frog 283 GTA 377 * Forecast 403 f1paul 278 scheivlak 328 * Forecast 271 f1paul 320 SpaceHorseParty 401 Brawn BGP 001 277 F1frog 320 f1paul 243 SpaceHorseParty 310 noikeee 395 GTA 270 Makarias 312 Makarias 243 Brawn BGP 001 306 Makarias 374 DutchQuicksilver247 DutchQuicksilver311 mark f1 240 * Forecast 284 Grayson 360 * Forecast 235 mark f1 310 DutchQuicksilver236 Anderis 271 scheivlak 360 jjcale 231 noikeee 282 jjcale 230 noikeee 267 DutchQuicksilver358 noikeee 230 jjcale 271 scheivlak 225 Bleu 260 f1paul 358 Anderis 228 Brawn BGP 001 267 Grayson 220 scheivlak 260 mark f1 350 Bleu 221 GTA 261 noikeee 202 DutchQuicksilver256 Brawn BGP 001 346 F1frog 211 f1paul 258 Bleu 186 F1frog 240 GTA 335 Grayson 205 Bleu 245 GTA 180 jjcale 240 KWSN-DSM 310 Makarias 205 KWSN-DSM 225 KWSN-DSM 175 mark f1 230 F1frog 265 mark f1 200 SpaceHorseParty 190 Anderis 165 Grayson 210 Bleu 264 KWSN-DSM 185 * Forecast 188 SpaceHorseParty 160 Makarias 206 jjcale 256 scheivlak 185 Anderis 185 Brawn BGP 001 155 KWSN-DSM 199 * Current 165 * Current 96 * Current 77 * Current 111 * Current 116For the first time since Australia, Hamilton is predicted to beat a guess.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Ocon Bottas Zhou Alonso Stroll * Potential 364 * Potential 369 * Potential 330 * Potential 343 * Potential 328 Anderis 100 * Forecast 108 KWSN-DSM 15 Bleu 120 Anderis 102 Bleu 100 Brawn BGP 001 46 jjcale 13 Anderis 100 Bleu 42 * Forecast 95 * Current 44 * Forecast 12 Brawn BGP 001 89 f1paul 41 KWSN-DSM 80 noikeee 40 Grayson 10 KWSN-DSM 80 Grayson 40 scheivlak 70 F1frog 32 noikeee 8 mark f1 80 KWSN-DSM 40 jjcale 68 jjcale 32 SpaceHorseParty 5 scheivlak 80 scheivlak 38 SpaceHorseParty 65 Anderis 30 * Current 5 DutchQuicksilver 79 DutchQuicksilver 34 Brawn BGP 001 64 mark f1 20 DutchQuicksilver 4 Makarias 66 jjcale 34 DutchQuicksilver 63 DutchQuicksilver 16 mark f1 3 Grayson 65 mark f1 30 Grayson 60 Bleu 15 Anderis 2 SpaceHorseParty 65 SpaceHorseParty 30 mark f1 60 Grayson 15 Bleu 2 F1frog 62 noikeee 25 F1frog 58 KWSN-DSM 15 Makarias 2 GTA 58 F1frog 24 Makarias 57 scheivlak 14 scheivlak 2 f1paul 52 GTA 24 * Current 39 f1paul 12 f1paul 1 jjcale 52 Makarias 22 noikeee 38 GTA 10 Brawn BGP 001 0 * Forecast 44 Brawn BGP 001 12 GTA 37 SpaceHorseParty 10 F1frog 0 noikeee 37 * Forecast 7 f1paul 23 Makarias 9 GTA 0 * Current 18 * Current 3Bottas needs merely a P8 finish to become a 100% surprise whereas Zhou needs a P4.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Anderis 1918,2 49,7 noikeee 1886,9 27,1 DutchQuicksilver 1864,4 14,7 f1paul 1859,9 2,4 SpaceHorseParty 1850,0 24,5 Brawn BGP 001 1817,0 5,5 Makarias 1807,7 -10,1 GTA 1806,3 4,6 scheivlak 1806,0 -11,0 jjcale 1805,4 10,7 mark f1 1801,0 -10,8 F1frog 1769,3 -9,7 Grayson 1749,0 -3,8 Bleu 1736,3 5,6 KWSN-DSM 1719,4 -5,8No extreme changes.
