The standings after Austria:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Brawn BGP 001 1105 101 2) jjcale 1099 101 3) noikeee 1095 91 4) KWSN-DSM 1082 101 5) DutchQuicksilver 1081 100 6) Anderis 1080 95 7) F1frog 1075 89 8) SpaceHorseParty 1074 101 9) mark f1 1069 90 10) Grayson 1066 95 11) Makarias 1063 96 12) GTA 1060 91 13) Bleu 1059 89 14) scheivlak 1055 89 15) f1paul 1038 81This is the kind of excitement we've been waiting for.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bott 208,9 93,6 14 Zhou 111,9 31,3 10 Ocon 77,9 48,5 3 Magn 73,6 22,6 8 Pere 67,1 53,1 0 Russ 58,7 43,3 0 Lecl 58,1 40,5 0 Vers 55,2 46,6 0 Schu 53,4 14,0 9 Sain 51,5 34,5 0 Alon 40,1 24,0 0 Norr 39,8 31,4 0 Hami 38,8 28,8 0 Tsun 31,1 16,2 1 Vett 30,7 14,2 0 Albo 30,4 7,7 5 Gasl 18,7 12,7 0 Ricc 12,5 9,6 0 Stro 8,4 2,9 0Ocon and the Haas guys made people miss points.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Leclerc Verstappen Hamilton Russell Ocon * Potential 428 * Potential 464 * Potential 382 * Potential 398 * Potential 324 GTA 377 Anderis 405 Grayson 370 F1frog 283 Anderis 100 f1paul 320 SpaceHorseParty 401 scheivlak 328 * Forecast 246 Bleu 100 SpaceHorseParty 310 noikeee 395 F1frog 320 f1paul 243 * Forecast 98 Brawn BGP 001 306 * Forecast 378 Makarias 312 Makarias 243 KWSN-DSM 80 * Forecast 306 Makarias 374 DutchQuicksilver311 mark f1 240 scheivlak 70 Anderis 271 Grayson 360 mark f1 310 DutchQuicksilver236 jjcale 68 noikeee 267 scheivlak 360 noikeee 282 jjcale 230 SpaceHorseParty 65 Bleu 260 DutchQuicksilver358 jjcale 271 scheivlak 225 Brawn BGP 001 64 scheivlak 260 f1paul 358 Brawn BGP 001 267 Grayson 220 DutchQuicksilver 63 DutchQuicksilver256 mark f1 350 GTA 261 noikeee 202 Grayson 60 F1frog 240 Brawn BGP 001 346 f1paul 258 Bleu 186 mark f1 60 jjcale 240 GTA 335 Bleu 245 GTA 180 F1frog 58 mark f1 230 KWSN-DSM 310 KWSN-DSM 225 KWSN-DSM 175 Makarias 57 Grayson 210 F1frog 265 * Forecast 214 Anderis 165 * Current 49 Makarias 206 Bleu 264 SpaceHorseParty 190 SpaceHorseParty 160 noikeee 38 KWSN-DSM 199 jjcale 256 Anderis 185 Brawn BGP 001 155 GTA 37 * Current 153 * Current 189 * Current 107 * Current 123 f1paul 23Ocon's surprise campaign is still very much alive.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Schumacher Norris Magnussen Ricciardo Alonso * Potential 287 * Potential 334 * Potential 294 * Potential 289 * Potential 304 GTA 85 jjcale 187 KWSN-DSM 83 Bleu 145 Bleu 120 noikeee 65 Bleu 182 noikeee 72 F1frog 140 Anderis 100 KWSN-DSM 50 F1frog 177 jjcale 40 mark f1 135 Brawn BGP 001 89 jjcale 40 Brawn BGP 001 175 GTA 39 Makarias 134 KWSN-DSM 80 SpaceHorseParty 25 Makarias 163 * Forecast 38 Grayson 130 mark f1 80 * Forecast 24 SpaceHorseParty 160 SpaceHorseParty 30 jjcale 130 scheivlak 80 Brawn BGP 001 14 Grayson 150 DutchQuicksilver 27 KWSN-DSM 125 DutchQuicksilver 79 * Current 12 KWSN-DSM 150 Brawn BGP 001 20 Brawn BGP 001 111 Makarias 66 DutchQuicksilver 11 mark f1 150 * Current 19 DutchQuicksilver108 Grayson 65 Makarias 11 scheivlak 140 f1paul 17 f1paul 104 SpaceHorseParty 65 Anderis 10 DutchQuicksilver126 Anderis 10 Anderis 90 F1frog 62 Grayson 10 f1paul 125 F1frog 10 SpaceHorseParty 90 * Forecast 58 mark f1 5 GTA 121 Makarias 10 scheivlak 88 GTA 58 f1paul 4 * Forecast 118 mark f1 10 noikeee 82 f1paul 52 Bleu 3 noikeee 113 Bleu 8 GTA 63 jjcale 52 F1frog 2 Anderis 105 scheivlak 6 * Forecast 28 noikeee 37 scheivlak 2 * Current 59 Grayson 5 * Current 14 * Current 29Even Ricciardo scored points!
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- f1paul 1919 5,8 DutchQuicksilver 1918 0,4 noikeee 1910 26,2 Anderis 1908 6,4 Brawn BGP 001 1897 9,6 GTA 1896 28,4 SpaceHorseParty 1890 7,6 jjcale 1855 24,2 Makarias 1850 4,2 scheivlak 1838 1,4 mark f1 1836 1,4 Grayson 1789 2,6 F1frog 1776 3,2 KWSN-DSM 1775 20,6 Bleu 1772 13,6Not very big changes here.