The standings after Italy:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) DutchQuicksilver 1577 92 2) mark f1 1568 98 3) Brawn BGP 001 1563 83 4) noikeee 1561 99 5) Makarias 1558 98 6) scheivlak 1557 98 7) KWSN-DSM 1555 77 8) Grayson 1549 91 9) Anderis 1548 83 10) jjcale 1537 74 11) GTA 1529 83 12) SpaceHorseParty 1526 75 13) F1frog 1523 73 14) f1paul 1518 98 15) Bleu 1499 61No points placed on Nyck de Vries! What a mistake!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # deVr INF,8 200,0 15 Bott 208,9 93,6 14 Zhou 134,3 37,5 11 Ocon 100,2 62,4 7 Pere 95,1 75,2 3 Russ 94,5 69,7 6 Vers 91,7 77,3 4 Alon 81,6 48,8 4 Lecl 76,7 53,4 1 Sain 74,1 49,6 0 Magn 73,6 22,6 8 Hami 59,9 44,5 0 Norr 56,0 44,1 0 Schu 53,4 14,0 9 Vett 40,9 18,9 0 Albo 40,5 10,3 6 Tsun 31,1 16,2 1 Gasl 25,7 17,5 0 Ricc 14,3 11,0 0 Stro 13,9 4,9 0Nyck de Vries becomes the first 100% surprise of the season!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Leclerc Russell Sainz Hamilton * Potential 464 GTA 377 * Potential 348 SpaceHorseParty 350 Grayson 370 * Forecast 432 * Potential 352 F1frog 283 * Potential 324 scheivlak 328 Anderis 405 f1paul 320 * Forecast 272 f1paul 278 F1frog 320 SpaceHorseParty 401 SpaceHorseParty 310 f1paul 243 Brawn BGP 001 277 * Potential 315 noikeee 395 Brawn BGP 001 306 Makarias 243 GTA 270 Makarias 312 Makarias 374 * Forecast 278 mark f1 240 DutchQuicksilver247 DutchQuicksilver311 Grayson 360 Anderis 271 DutchQuicksilver236 * Forecast 239 mark f1 310 scheivlak 360 noikeee 267 jjcale 230 jjcale 231 noikeee 282 DutchQuicksilver358 Bleu 260 scheivlak 225 noikeee 230 jjcale 271 f1paul 358 scheivlak 260 Grayson 220 Anderis 228 Brawn BGP 001 267 mark f1 350 DutchQuicksilver256 noikeee 202 Bleu 221 GTA 261 Brawn BGP 001 346 F1frog 240 * Current 198 F1frog 211 f1paul 258 GTA 335 jjcale 240 Bleu 186 Grayson 205 Bleu 245 * Current 314 mark f1 230 GTA 180 Makarias 205 * Forecast 227 KWSN-DSM 310 Grayson 210 KWSN-DSM 175 mark f1 200 KWSN-DSM 225 F1frog 265 Makarias 206 Anderis 165 KWSN-DSM 185 SpaceHorseParty 190 Bleu 264 * Current 202 SpaceHorseParty 160 scheivlak 185 Anderis 185 jjcale 256 KWSN-DSM 199 Brawn BGP 001 155 * Current 174 * Current 165Leclerc beats his first guess!
Guesses on P6-P10:
Perez Norris Gasly de Vries Zhou * Potential 347 * Potential 233 * Potential 172 * Potential 152 * Potential 156 * Forecast 271 jjcale 187 KWSN-DSM 125 * Forecast 3 KWSN-DSM 15 Anderis 261 Bleu 182 Makarias 102 * Current 2 jjcale 13 KWSN-DSM 225 F1frog 177 scheivlak 102 Anderis 0 Grayson 10 Makarias 222 Brawn BGP 001 175 mark f1 100 Bleu 0 * Forecast 8 jjcale 218 Makarias 163 Bleu 94 Brawn BGP 001 0 noikeee 8 GTA 210 SpaceHorseParty 160 Grayson 90 DutchQuicksilver 0 * Current 6 f1paul 209 Grayson 150 noikeee 90 F1frog 0 SpaceHorseParty 5 mark f1 204 KWSN-DSM 150 F1frog 86 f1paul 0 DutchQuicksilver 4 Bleu 201 mark f1 150 f1paul 85 Grayson 0 mark f1 3 noikeee 201 scheivlak 140 SpaceHorseParty 85 GTA 0 Anderis 2 Brawn BGP 001 200 DutchQuicksilver126 Brawn BGP 001 81 jjcale 0 Bleu 2 scheivlak 200 f1paul 125 GTA 75 KWSN-DSM 0 Makarias 2 F1frog 198 GTA 121 DutchQuicksilver 74 Makarias 0 scheivlak 2 * Current 197 * Forecast 114 jjcale 56 mark f1 0 f1paul 1 DutchQuicksilver191 noikeee 113 Anderis 40 noikeee 0 Brawn BGP 001 0 SpaceHorseParty 186 Anderis 105 * Forecast 30 scheivlak 0 F1frog 0 Grayson 180 * Current 83 * Current 22 SpaceHorseParty 0 GTA 0I added a de Vries column. Very informative.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Anderis 1937,4 -10,0 DutchQuicksilver 1927,6 0,2 noikeee 1904,3 -3,5 Brawn BGP 001 1887,9 4,1 f1paul 1880,8 9,3 SpaceHorseParty 1857,5 7,0 scheivlak 1852,3 -0,5 Makarias 1850,8 -0,2 mark f1 1850,3 -0,5 GTA 1837,9 6,1 jjcale 1826,1 -2,5 F1frog 1798,5 3,3 Grayson 1786,5 0,4 Bleu 1776,0 -11,7 KWSN-DSM 1766,3 -2,0Very very very minor changes. Pathetic.
