Needs to be 2 pronged IMO. There needs to be punishment for the season it took place in to stop teams from just spending it to have a good season and eating the ongoing penalties. There also needs to be ongoing punishment to make sure any potential gain from the overspend on future cars is mitigated and then some.
For me increasing the minimum weight for a team would nullify the aero advantage gained and then reducing their CFD / Wind tunnel time would allow other teams to catch up on the aero department. So for a 2021 breach I would deduct points or DQ depedning on severity from 2021. As we are already nearly done with 2022 I would do the same for 2022 and then for 2023 I would apply the sporting penalty of a higher minimum weight limit for that team and reduce their CFD / Wind tunnel time. In terms of determining the punishments (number of points deducted, amount of CFD / Wind Tunnel time lost, amount to increase min weight by).
I would have a set of curves so you can have an overspend amount and have it spit out the fixed penalties. I know the FIA said they wanted to avoid this to prevent teams from using the known punishment strategically but where that can be done is with the aggravating / mitigating factors system. This is where the panel would look at the context and circumstances of the breach and apply a % modifier to the baseline punishment. This % modifier would not be known beforehand because each case will probably be unique and it will be based on its own set of facts.
The idea being that a team that overspends by 15M because they had a factory fire and had to spend that to replace parts and equipment that was damaged, and went to the FIA to discuss the way forward prior to the March submission deadline should be treated differently from a team who overspends by 15M on staff and manufacturing to have more spare parts so each part can be that tiny be lighter since it can have a shorter life span, and then hides it until it is discovered in the audit post March submission deadline.
Edited by Timorous, 05 October 2022 - 07:47.