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Guess the Pole 2022: Japan


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 01 October 2022 - 14:20

MODIFIED CIRCUIT SCORING

No Japanese GP last year leads to this situation. Doubled time spans!

 

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2022 standings

Five latest poles at Japan-Suzuka:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2019  Vettel        87.064
2018  Hamilton      87.760
2017  Hamilton      87.319
2016  Rosberg       90.647
2015  Rosberg       92.584

Driver values:
Dri  val
Lecl   6
Pere   9
Russ   9
Sain   9
Vers  13
REST  18

2022 data:
                  Time    2021 PP  2020 PP  2019 PP  2022/2021  2022/2020  2022/2019
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
BAH  Lecl  Vers   90.558   88.997   87.264   87.866   101.754    103.775    103.064
SAU  Pere  Lecl   88.200   87.511   ------   ------   100.787     ------     ------
OZ   Lecl  Vers   77.868   ------   ------   80.486    ------     ------     96.747
EMI  Vers  Lecl   87.999   74.411   73.609   ------   118.261    119.549     ------
MIA  Lecl  Sain   88.796   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
ESP  Lecl  Vers   78.750   76.741   75.584   75.406   102.618    104.189    104.435
MON  Lecl  Sain   71.376   70.346   ------   70.166   101.464     ------    101.724
AZE  Lecl  Pere  101.359  101.218   ------  100.495   100.139     ------    100.860
CAN  Vers  Alon   81.399   ------   ------   70.240    ------     ------    115.887
GB   Sain  Vers  100.983   86.134   84.303   85.093   117.239    119.786    118.674
AUT  Vers  Lecl   64.984   63.720   62.939   63.003   101.984    103.249    103.144
FRA  Lecl  Vers   90.872   89.990   ------   88.319   100.980     ------    102.891
HUN  Russ  Sain   77.377   75.419   73.447   74.572   102.596    105.351    103.761
BEL  Sain  Pere  104.297  119.765  101.252  102.519    87.085    103.007    101.734
NED  Vers  Lecl   70.342   68.885   ------   ------   102.115     ------     ------
ITA  Lecl  Russ   80.161   79.651   78.887   79.307   100.640    101.615    101.077
SIN  Lecl  Pere  109.412   ------   ------   96.217    ------     ------    113.714
JAP                    0   ------   ------   87.064    ------     ------           
USA                    0   92.910   ------   92.029               ------           
MEX                    0   75.875   ------   74.758               ------           
BRA                    0   68.372   ------   67.508               ------           
ABU                    0   82.109   95.246   94.779                                
My guess for Japan is 88.877 s by Max Verstappen.

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#2 Anderis

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Posted 04 October 2022 - 16:32

90.300 Verstappen



#3 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 04 October 2022 - 17:30

89.143 Max Verstappen

#4 brunopascal

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Posted 05 October 2022 - 17:12

88.500 Verstappen



#5 scheivlak

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Posted 05 October 2022 - 18:35

Verstappen 90.010



#6 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 06 October 2022 - 08:02

88.564 leclerc

#7 tourister46a

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Posted 06 October 2022 - 12:29

88.444 Leclerc



#8 LB

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Posted 06 October 2022 - 16:27

90.257 Verstappen



#9 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 06 October 2022 - 17:13

99.711 - Verstappen



#10 alekracing

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Posted 06 October 2022 - 18:14

89.963 Verstappen



#11 GTA

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Posted 07 October 2022 - 00:07

89.599 Max



#12 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 07 October 2022 - 00:19

89.001 Verstappen