Welcome to the 2023 Guess the Pole season!
Minor changes to the technical regulations means presumably smallish changes to the pole times, given similar conditions.
One new GP this season, in orgiastic and gluttonous Las Vegas in November. Qatar is also making a return. But plenty of season to go before these races!
Season opener: The Bahrain layout is the same as usual, but the season opener is scored as a modified layout, with doubled time spans.
How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.
Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.
Scoring rules
-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.
-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:
<-----------Time offsets-----------> Pts Default Modified Layout New Track [s] 25 - 0.100 - 0.200 - 0.300 18 - 0.200 - 0.400 - 0.600 15 - 0.400 - 0.800 - 1.200 12 - 0.600 - 1.200 - 1.800 10 - 0.800 - 1.600 - 2.400 8 - 1.000 - 2.000 - 3.000 6 - 1.200 - 2.400 - 3.600 4 - 1.500 - 3.000 - 4.500 2 - 1.800 - 3.600 - 5.400 1 - 2.500 - 5.000 - 7.500The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.
-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts Recent qualifying results 18 0 front row starts in the previous five races 13 1 front row start in the previous five races 9 2 front row starts in the previous five races 6 3 front row starts in the previous five races 4 4 front row starts in the previous five races 3 5 front row starts in the previous five races
2022 final standings
Five latest poles at Bahrain: Year Driver Pole time (s) 2022 Leclerc 90.558 2021 Verstappen 88.997 2020 Hamilton 87.264 2019 Leclerc 87.866 2018 Vettel 87.958 Late 2022 front rows: GP Pole #2 JAP Vers Lecl USA Sain Vers MEX Vers Russ BRA Magn Vers ABU Vers Pere Driver values: Dri val Vers 3 Lecl 13 Magn 13 Pere 13 Russ 13 Sain 13 REST 18 2023 data: Time 2022 PP 2021 PP 2020 PP 2023/2022 2023/2021 2023/2020 GP Pole #2 (s) (s) (s) (s) (%) (%) (%) BAH 0 90.558 88.997 87.264 SAU 0 88.200 87.511 ------ ------ OZ 0 77.868 ------ ------ ------ ------ AZE 0 101.359 101.218 ------ ------ MIA 0 88.796 ------ ------ ------ ------ EMI 0 87.999 74.411 73.609 MON 0 71.376 70.346 ------ ------ ESP 0 78.750 76.741 75.584 CAN 0 81.399 ------ ------ ------ ------ AUT 0 64.984 63.720 62.939 GB 0 100.983 86.134 84.303 HUN 0 77.377 75.419 73.447 BEL 0 104.297 119.765 101.252 NED 0 70.342 68.885 ------ ------ ITA 0 80.161 79.651 78.887 SIN 0 109.412 ------ ------ ------ ------ JAP 0 89.304 ------ ------ ------ ------ QAT 0 ------ 80.827 ------ ------ ------ USA 0 94.356 92.910 ------ ------ MEX 0 77.775 75.875 ------ ------ BRA 0 71.674 68.372 ------ ------ LVE 0 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ABU 0 83.824 82.109 95.246 2022 data: Time 2021 PP 2020 PP 2019 PP 2022/2021 2022/2020 2022/2019 GP Pole #2 (s) (s) (s) (s) (%) (%) (%) BAH Lecl Vers 90.558 88.997 87.264 87.866 101.754 103.775 103.064 SAU Pere Lecl 88.200 87.511 ------ ------ 100.787 ------ ------ OZ Lecl Vers 77.868 ------ ------ 80.486 ------ ------ 96.747 EMI Vers Lecl 87.999 74.411 73.609 ------ 118.261 119.549 ------ MIA Lecl Sain 88.796 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ESP Lecl Vers 78.750 76.741 75.584 75.406 102.618 104.189 104.435 MON Lecl Sain 71.376 70.346 ------ 70.166 101.464 ------ 101.724 AZE Lecl Pere 101.359 101.218 ------ 100.495 100.139 ------ 100.860 CAN Vers Alon 81.399 ------ ------ 70.240 ------ ------ 115.887 GB Sain Vers 100.983 86.134 84.303 85.093 117.239 119.786 118.674 AUT Vers Lecl 64.984 63.720 62.939 63.003 101.984 103.249 103.144 FRA Lecl Vers 90.872 89.990 ------ 88.319 100.980 ------ 102.891 HUN Russ Sain 77.377 75.419 73.447 74.572 102.596 105.351 103.761 BEL Sain Pere 104.297 119.765 101.252 102.519 87.085 103.007 101.734 NED Vers Lecl 70.342 68.885 ------ ------ 102.115 ------ ------ ITA Lecl Russ 80.161 79.651 78.887 79.307 100.640 101.615 101.077 SIN Lecl Pere 109.412 ------ ------ 96.217 ------ ------ 113.714 JAP Vers Lecl 89.304 ------ ------ 87.064 ------ ------ 102.573 USA Sain Vers 94.356 92.910 ------ 92.029 101.556 ------ 102.529 MEX Vers Russ 77.775 75.875 ------ 74.758 102.504 ------ 104.036 BRA Magn Vers 71.674 68.372 ------ 67.508 104.829 ------ 106.171 ABU Vers Pere 83.824 82.109 95.246 94.779 102.089 88.008 88.442
My guess for Bahrain is 90.205 s by Lewis Hamilton.