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Place The Points Competition 2023 after Monaco


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 29 May 2023 - 18:42

The standings after Monaco:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  Anderis               606 101
=   Bleu                  606 101
=   Brawn BGP 001         606 101
=   DutchQuicksilver      606 101
=   GTA                   606 101
=   KWSN-DSM              606 101
=   LB                    606 101
=   LolaB0860             606 101
=   M2000-5               606 101
=   Makarias              606 101
=   noikeee               606 101
=   scheivlak             606 101
=   SpaceHorseParty       606 101
14) mark f1               598  97
Fun times are coming as mark f1 starts missing points from Alonso!

The entries
Entries rescaled for 22 races in the revised results post

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Alon     68,7     46,9    1
Stro     44,6     22,6    1
Pere     36,1     31,3    0
Vers     34,3     28,1    0
Hülk     28,3     14,6    0
Ocon     27,5     19,8    0
Hami     27,3     22,8    0
Gasl     23,2     15,9    0
Russ     20,0     16,4    0
Sain     19,3     15,8    0
Norr     16,7     11,3    0
Tsun     15,6      9,1    0
Lecl     12,5     10,3    0
Pias     12,3      7,2    0
Zhou     12,0      6,7    0
Bott      9,7      6,9    0
Albo      8,8      2,1    0
Magn      8,5      4,1    0

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.

Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen             Alonso                 Ocon                   Hamilton               Russell             
* Potential     536    * Potential     490    * Potential     421    * Potential     466    * Potential     444
* Forecast      499    * Forecast      330    LolaB0860       105    Brawn BGP 001   289    mark f1         268
LolaB0860       483    GTA             191    GTA              91    mark f1         277    SpaceHorseParty 258
noikeee         448    KWSN-DSM        187    Brawn BGP 001    90    SpaceHorseParty 273    Makarias        247
M2000-5         429    noikeee         184    Anderis          88    LB              259    LolaB0860       230
Makarias        417    Brawn BGP 001   138    DutchQuicksilver 87    Makarias        259    M2000-5         229
DutchQuicksilver405    Bleu            134    Makarias         81    Bleu            246    DutchQuicksilver228
Anderis         404    LB              129    LB               77    scheivlak       242    Bleu            215
KWSN-DSM        396    scheivlak       129    mark f1          77    * Forecast      242    LB              215
Brawn BGP 001   383    M2000-5         121    scheivlak        77    DutchQuicksilver240    Brawn BGP 001   214
SpaceHorseParty 383    DutchQuicksilver117    * Forecast       77    LolaB0860       234    scheivlak       213
scheivlak       378    Anderis         109    noikeee          71    M2000-5         233    Anderis         206
GTA             373    LolaB0860       105    KWSN-DSM         70    noikeee         225    noikeee         199
LB              364    SpaceHorseParty 105    Bleu             65    Anderis         215    KWSN-DSM        192
mark f1         363    Makarias         99    SpaceHorseParty  62    GTA             201    GTA             163
Bleu            328    * Current        90    M2000-5          30    KWSN-DSM        197    * Forecast      161
* Current       136    mark f1          86    * Current        21    * Current        66    * Current        44
Next one up for Alonso beat is Makarias. A bit of fun for everyone! Ocon took a big step towards beating M2000-5 in the future.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Leclerc                Gasly                  Sainz                  Norris                 Piastri             
* Potential     435    * Potential     414    * Potential     444    * Potential     412    * Potential     405
GTA             338    Anderis          87    GTA             277    LB              105    Bleu             68
Brawn BGP 001   317    GTA              76    M2000-5         258    Bleu             98    LolaB0860        67
mark f1         316    KWSN-DSM         75    mark f1         258    M2000-5          89    Anderis          57
LB              292    DutchQuicksilver 69    DutchQuicksilver247    LolaB0860        86    Brawn BGP 001    53
scheivlak       292    Brawn BGP 001    67    Anderis         241    mark f1          86    KWSN-DSM         47
M2000-5         289    LolaB0860        62    Bleu            241    KWSN-DSM         84    scheivlak        46
DutchQuicksilver288    noikeee          61    Makarias        233    Brawn BGP 001    82    LB               43
Anderis         280    Bleu             59    KWSN-DSM        229    scheivlak        78    mark f1          38
Bleu            278    mark f1          57    scheivlak       222    DutchQuicksilver 71    DutchQuicksilver 36
SpaceHorseParty 277    LB               56    SpaceHorseParty 220    Anderis          69    M2000-5          33
Makarias        272    scheivlak        56    LB              215    Makarias         49    Makarias         27
KWSN-DSM        234    Makarias         52    noikeee         202    GTA              48    noikeee          20
noikeee         230    * Forecast       51    Brawn BGP 001   179    * Forecast       44    SpaceHorseParty  18
LolaB0860       220    SpaceHorseParty  43    LolaB0860       172    SpaceHorseParty  38    * Forecast       18
* Forecast      128    M2000-5          24    * Forecast      161    noikeee          26    GTA              17
* Current        35    * Current        14    * Current        44    * Current        12    * Current         5
A season well below expectations so far for Leclerc.

The PTPC forecast
Name               Forecast  +/-
noikeee              1934,7  40,1
LolaB0860            1848,7  67,1
Makarias             1809,0  70,4
GTA                  1806,7  61,7
KWSN-DSM             1772,0  59,0
M2000-5              1771,7   3,3
DutchQuicksilver     1770,0  69,2
Anderis              1753,0  66,0
scheivlak            1751,0  70,4
Brawn BGP 001        1742,0  71,2
LB                   1739,0  70,4
SpaceHorseParty      1736,0  43,8
Bleu                 1688,0  54,0
mark f1              1664,7  71,9
The guy who had the bunk below mine in the army had the ID number 1809. Great guy!

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#2 Anderis

Anderis
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Posted 29 May 2023 - 19:10

Wow, I'm still first! :p