The standings after Spain:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Anderis 707 101 = Bleu 707 101 = Brawn BGP 001 707 101 = DutchQuicksilver 707 101 = GTA 707 101 = KWSN-DSM 707 101 = LB 707 101 = LolaB0860 707 101 = M2000-5 707 101 = Makarias 707 101 = noikeee 707 101 = scheivlak 707 101 = SpaceHorseParty 707 101 14) mark f1 685 87Quality entertainment
The entries
Entries rescaled for 22 races in the revised results post
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Alon 73,3 50,0 1 Stro 58,3 29,6 1 Pere 40,6 35,2 0 Vers 40,6 33,3 0 Hami 34,7 29,0 0 Ocon 32,7 23,6 0 Hülk 28,3 14,6 0 Russ 26,8 21,9 0 Gasl 24,9 17,0 0 Zhou 24,0 13,3 0 Sain 23,7 19,4 0 Norr 16,7 11,3 0 Tsun 15,6 9,1 0 Lecl 12,5 10,3 0 Pias 12,3 7,2 0 Bott 9,7 6,9 0 Albo 8,8 2,1 0 Magn 8,5 4,1 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Hamilton Russell Perez Sainz * Potential 536 * Potential 459 * Potential 434 * Potential 483 * Potential 429 * Forecast 506 Brawn BGP 001 289 mark f1 268 * Forecast 339 GTA 277 LolaB0860 483 mark f1 277 SpaceHorseParty 258 Makarias 306 M2000-5 258 noikeee 448 SpaceHorseParty 273 Makarias 247 noikeee 304 mark f1 258 M2000-5 429 * Forecast 264 LolaB0860 230 M2000-5 282 DutchQuicksilver247 Makarias 417 LB 259 M2000-5 229 SpaceHorseParty 277 Anderis 241 DutchQuicksilver405 Makarias 259 DutchQuicksilver228 Anderis 276 Bleu 241 Anderis 404 Bleu 246 Bleu 215 DutchQuicksilver273 Makarias 233 KWSN-DSM 396 scheivlak 242 LB 215 LolaB0860 268 KWSN-DSM 229 Brawn BGP 001 383 DutchQuicksilver240 Brawn BGP 001 214 LB 259 scheivlak 222 SpaceHorseParty 383 LolaB0860 234 scheivlak 213 KWSN-DSM 258 SpaceHorseParty 220 scheivlak 378 M2000-5 233 Anderis 206 mark f1 258 LB 215 GTA 373 noikeee 225 noikeee 199 scheivlak 256 noikeee 202 LB 364 Anderis 215 KWSN-DSM 192 GTA 253 Brawn BGP 001 179 mark f1 363 GTA 201 * Forecast 185 Brawn BGP 001 228 LolaB0860 172 Bleu 328 KWSN-DSM 197 GTA 163 Bleu 227 * Forecast 170 * Current 161 * Current 84 * Current 59 * Current 108 * Current 54Hamilton is not forecast as a 100% surprise yet, but maybe his form is improving?
Guesses on P6-P10:
Stroll Alonso Ocon Zhou Gasly * Potential 409 * Potential 471 * Potential 400 * Potential 379 * Potential 390 noikeee 114 * Forecast 302 LolaB0860 105 SpaceHorseParty 29 Anderis 87 * Forecast 107 GTA 191 GTA 91 Brawn BGP 001 25 GTA 76 M2000-5 87 KWSN-DSM 187 Brawn BGP 001 90 Bleu 21 KWSN-DSM 75 GTA 86 noikeee 184 Anderis 88 LB 21 DutchQuicksilver 69 Bleu 65 Brawn BGP 001 138 DutchQuicksilver 87 scheivlak 21 Brawn BGP 001 67 SpaceHorseParty 58 Bleu 134 Makarias 81 Makarias 20 LolaB0860 62 LolaB0860 57 LB 129 * Forecast 79 KWSN-DSM 19 noikeee 61 Brawn BGP 001 55 scheivlak 129 LB 77 noikeee 19 Bleu 59 Anderis 49 M2000-5 121 mark f1 77 Anderis 17 mark f1 57 LB 48 DutchQuicksilver117 scheivlak 77 * Forecast 13 LB 56 scheivlak 48 Anderis 109 noikeee 71 LolaB0860 10 scheivlak 56 Makarias 47 LolaB0860 105 KWSN-DSM 70 M2000-5 10 Makarias 52 KWSN-DSM 45 SpaceHorseParty 105 Bleu 65 DutchQuicksilver 8 * Forecast 47 DutchQuicksilver 35 Makarias 99 SpaceHorseParty 62 GTA 8 SpaceHorseParty 43 * Current 34 * Current 96 M2000-5 30 mark f1 5 M2000-5 24 mark f1 22 mark f1 86 * Current 25 * Current 4 * Current 15Exciting
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- noikeee 1951,4 16,8 LolaB0860 1847,1 -1,5 Makarias 1829,1 20,1 GTA 1781,0 -25,7 M2000-5 1774,9 3,2 KWSN-DSM 1773,6 1,6 DutchQuicksilver 1768,6 -1,4 SpaceHorseParty 1768,0 32,0 Brawn BGP 001 1767,1 25,1 LB 1757,6 18,6 Anderis 1756,1 3,1 scheivlak 1752,6 1,6 Bleu 1690,4 2,4 mark f1 1683,0 18,3Mixed developments.
