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Guess the Pole 2023: Brazil


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 28 October 2023 - 22:47

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2023 standings

Five latest poles at Brazil:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2022  Magnussen     71.674
2021  Verstappen    68.372 (Qualifying for sprint)
2019  Verstappen    67.508
2018  Hamilton      67.281
2017  Bottas        68.322

Driver values:
Dri  val
Lecl   9
Russ   9
Sain   9
Vers   9
Norr  13
Pias  13
REST  18

2023 data:
                  Time    2022 PP  2021 PP  2020 PP  2023/2022  2023/2021  2023/2020
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
BAH  Vers  Pere   89.708   90.558   88.997   87.264    99.061    100.799    102.801
SAU  Pere  Alon   88.265   88.200   87.511   ------   100.074    100.862     ------
OZ   Vers  Russ   76.732   77.868   ------   ------    98.541     ------     ------
AZE  Lecl  Vers  100.203  101.359  101.218   ------    98.859     98.997     ------
MIA  Pere  Alon   86.841   88.796   ------   ------    97.798     ------     ------
EMI  ----  ----   ------   87.999   74.411   73.609    ------     ------     ------
MON  Vers  Alon   71.365   71.376   70.346   ------    99.985    101.449     ------
ESP  Vers  Sain   72.272   78.750   76.741   75.584    91.774     94.177     95.618
CAN  Vers  Hülk   85.858   81.399   ------   ------   105.478     ------     ------
AUT  Vers  Lecl   64.391   64.984   63.720   62.939    99.087    101.053    102.307
GB   Vers  Norr   86.720  100.983   86.134   84.303    85.876    100.680    102.867
HUN  Hami  Vers   76.609   77.377   75.419   73.447    99.007    101.578    104.305
BEL  Lecl  Pere  106.988  104.297  119.765  101.252   102.580     89.332    105.665
NED  Vers  Norr   70.567   70.342   68.885   ------   100.320    102.442     ------
ITA  Sain  Vers   80.294   80.161   79.651   78.887   100.166    100.807    101.784
SIN  Sain  Russ   90.984  109.412   ------   ------    83.157     ------     ------
JPN  Vers  Pias   88.877   89.304   ------   ------    99.522     ------     ------
QAT  Vers  Russ   83.778   ------   80.827   ------    ------    103.651     ------
USA  Lecl  Norr   94.723   94.356   92.910   ------   100.389    101.951     ------
MEX  Lecl  Sain   77.166   77.775   75.875   ------    99.217    101.701     ------
BRA                    0   71.674   68.372   ------                          ------
LVE                    0   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
ABU                    0   83.824   82.109   95.246                                
My guess for Brazil is 71.506 s by Max Verstappen.

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#2 rodlamas

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Posted 31 October 2023 - 09:24

Lando Norris - 69.999

#3 Anderis

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Posted 31 October 2023 - 10:00

69.798 Verstappen



#4 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 31 October 2023 - 12:29

67.711 - Verstappen



#5 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 31 October 2023 - 19:48

69.508 Carlos Sainz

#6 scheivlak

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Posted 31 October 2023 - 20:56

Verstappen 68.501



#7 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 01 November 2023 - 22:19

Norris 68.444

#8 Makarias

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Posted 02 November 2023 - 11:09

I'm changing my time guess to 69.544 seconds, still Verstappen.



#9 M2000-5

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Posted 02 November 2023 - 20:15

Leclerc 69.013



#10 tourister46a

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Posted 02 November 2023 - 20:33

69.700 Verstappen


Edited by tourister46a, 03 November 2023 - 13:05.


#11 mark f1

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Posted 02 November 2023 - 21:44

Verstappen 69.398

#12 GTA

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Posted 03 November 2023 - 02:56

69.699 LH



#13 LB

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Posted 03 November 2023 - 06:42

69.234 Hamilton



#14 milestone 11

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Posted 03 November 2023 - 12:07

69.769 Verstappen

#15 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 03 November 2023 - 13:46

69.721 Piastri



#16 alekracing

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Posted 03 November 2023 - 14:18

67.369 Leclerc

Edited by alekracing, 03 November 2023 - 14:18.


#17 LB

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Posted 03 November 2023 - 19:11

oh you are kidding me, the one time i bail out of going high! changed it from 70 to 69


Edited by LB, 03 November 2023 - 19:12.


#18 Anderis

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Posted 03 November 2023 - 19:26

oh you are kidding me, the one time i bail out of going high! changed it from 70 to 69

And after my initial calculations I wanted to put 69.999 but then I saw rodlamas already posted 69.999 so I had to do something else. :rotfl:



#19 Makarias

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Posted 03 November 2023 - 22:39

Solid downgrade with my edit too. Hopefully someone posts the results soon.