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Guess the Pole 2024: Japan


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 23 March 2024 - 06:17

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2024 standings

Five latest poles at Japan-Suzuka:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2023  Verstappen    88.877
2022  Verstappen    89.304
2019  Vettel        87.064
2018  Hamilton      87.760
2017  Hamilton      87.319

Late 2023 front rows:
GP   Pole  #2  
LVE  Lecl Vers
ABU  Vers Lecl

Driver values:
Dri  val
Vers   3
Lecl   4
Sain  13
REST  18

2024 data:
                  Time    2022 PP  2021 PP  2020 PP  2023/2022  2023/2021  2023/2020
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
BAH  Vers  Lecl   89.179   89.708   90.558   88.997    99.410     98.477    100.205
SAU  Vers  Lecl   87.472   88.265   88.200   87.511    99.102     99.175     99.955
OZ   Vers  Sain   75.915   76.732   77.868   ------    98.935     97.492     ------
JPN                    0   88.877   89.304   ------                          ------
CHN                    0   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
MIA                    0   86.841   88.796   ------                          ------
EMI                    0   ------   87.999   74.411    ------                      
MON                    0   71.365   71.376   70.346                                
CAN                    0   85.858   81.399   ------                          ------
ESP                    0   72.272   78.750   76.741                                
AUT                    0   64.391   64.984   63.720                                
GB                     0   86.720  100.983   86.134                                
HUN                    0   76.609   77.377   75.419                                
BEL                    0  106.988  104.297  119.765                                
NED                    0   70.567   70.342   68.885                                
ITA                    0   80.294   80.161   79.651                                
AZE                    0  100.203  101.359  101.218                                
SIN                    0   90.984  109.412   ------                          ------
USA                    0   94.723   94.356   92.910                                
MEX                    0   77.166   77.775   75.875                                
BRA                    0   70.727   71.674   68.372                                
LVE                    0   92.726   ------   ------               ------     ------
QAT                    0   83.778   ------   80.827               ------           
ABU                    0   83.445   83.824   82.109                                
My guess for Japan is 88.156 s by Max Verstappen.

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#2 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 23 March 2024 - 15:36

88.111 - Verstappen



#3 rodlamas

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Posted 24 March 2024 - 06:03

Lando Norris 87.988

#4 brunopascal

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Posted 02 April 2024 - 07:21

88.000 Verstappen



#5 Anderis

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Posted 02 April 2024 - 10:49

88.100 Verstappen



#6 mark f1

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Posted 03 April 2024 - 10:23

Verstappen 88.033



#7 tourister46a

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Posted 03 April 2024 - 15:04

Verstappen 88.201



#8 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 03 April 2024 - 17:38

87.971 Max Verstappen

#9 scheivlak

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Posted 04 April 2024 - 14:03

88.204 Verstappen



#10 milestone 11

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Posted 04 April 2024 - 18:24

88.037 Verstappen.



#11 milestone 11

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Posted 04 April 2024 - 18:29

Makarias, on 23 Mar 2024 - 07:17, said:
My guess for Japan is 88.156 s by Max Verstappen.

The 2024 Standings hotlink take one to Saudi Makarias

#12 Bleu

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Posted 04 April 2024 - 18:37

88,432 Leclerc



#13 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 04 April 2024 - 19:13

Sainz 88.222

#14 M2000-5

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Posted 04 April 2024 - 19:31

87.893 Verstappen



#15 GTA

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Posted 04 April 2024 - 20:46

87.888 Max

P.S : Mak , under the 2024 data, it shows 2022 as the most recent year.  :wave:



#16 LB

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Posted 04 April 2024 - 21:06

87.880 Verstappen



#17 alekracing

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Posted 05 April 2024 - 00:52

87.963 Leclerc

#18 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 05 April 2024 - 01:14

87.897 Norris



#19 Makarias

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Posted 05 April 2024 - 14:43

The 2024 Standings hotlink take one to Saudi Makarias

 

87.888 Max

P.S : Mak , under the 2024 data, it shows 2022 as the most recent year.  :wave:

When I'm saying that I run my games at the highest possible standards, it might just mean that I'm permanently stoned.