The standings after China:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Anderis 499 101 = Benchulo 499 101 = Bleu 499 101 = Brawn BGP 001 499 101 = Costaz 499 101 = DutchQuicksilver 499 101 = GTA 499 101 = KWSN-DSM 499 101 = LB 499 101 = mark f1 499 101 = scheivlak 499 101 = sladealonso 499 101 = SpaceHorseParty 499 101 14) ANF 498 100 = Makarias 498 100 16) LolaB8060 496 100 17) M2000-5 495 100 18) polesetter1 488 100There are now five of us who have already underestimated Hülkenberg this season. Join us!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bear INF,8 600,0 18 Hülk 63,7 25,0 5 Pere 32,9 25,6 0 Sain 29,5 20,4 0 Norr 26,5 18,2 0 Lecl 25,3 20,2 0 Magn 24,7 5,0 2 Pias 22,4 14,5 0 Alon 21,0 12,7 0 Vers 20,5 16,6 0 Tsun 17,3 9,7 0 Russ 16,7 12,0 0 Stro 16,5 7,1 1 Hami 5,7 4,8 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Norris Perez Leclerc Sainz M2000-5 600 * Potential 530 * Potential 554 * Potential 544 * Potential 540 LolaB8060 590 Costaz 301 * Forecast 379 Benchulo 341 polesetter1 318 * Potential 575 * Forecast 264 LolaB8060 307 * Forecast 331 * Forecast 312 SpaceHorseParty 550 Brawn BGP 001 263 Costaz 300 Bleu 331 Bleu 265 Makarias 535 ANF 241 DutchQuicksilver280 GTA 315 GTA 260 Anderis 525 LB 220 mark f1 280 ANF 292 Anderis 231 DutchQuicksilver525 Makarias 211 KWSN-DSM 275 sladealonso 290 Benchulo 229 GTA 510 LolaB8060 210 sladealonso 275 scheivlak 289 scheivlak 228 LB 506 Benchulo 209 M2000-5 273 Brawn BGP 001 283 sladealonso 225 sladealonso 502 GTA 205 Anderis 265 LB 279 mark f1 220 mark f1 494 DutchQuicksilver201 Makarias 265 Anderis 274 LB 218 * Forecast 480 scheivlak 200 Brawn BGP 001 254 mark f1 270 Brawn BGP 001 215 scheivlak 466 Bleu 195 SpaceHorseParty 250 Costaz 265 LolaB8060 215 ANF 458 polesetter1 191 scheivlak 245 KWSN-DSM 250 Makarias 212 Costaz 454 mark f1 190 LB 235 DutchQuicksilver246 DutchQuicksilver207 KWSN-DSM 450 SpaceHorseParty 190 Bleu 218 Makarias 246 M2000-5 201 Brawn BGP 001 449 M2000-5 188 GTA 212 polesetter1 245 KWSN-DSM 200 polesetter1 427 KWSN-DSM 185 polesetter1 200 SpaceHorseParty 243 Costaz 191 Bleu 415 Anderis 180 ANF 102 M2000-5 232 SpaceHorseParty 190 Benchulo 336 sladealonso 160 Benchulo 86 LolaB8060 225 ANF 135 * Current 100 * Current 55 * Current 79 * Current 69 * Current 65Two Perez guesses look quite terrible.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Russell Alonso Piastri Hamilton Hülkenberg * Potential 507 * Potential 505 * Potential 511 * Potential 487 * Potential 479 polesetter1 265 Benchulo 236 Costaz 248 polesetter1 247 * Forecast 19 ANF 244 Makarias 185 ANF 239 ANF 243 KWSN-DSM 15 Anderis 213 Anderis 175 Brawn BGP 001 185 SpaceHorseParty 240 Benchulo 13 Bleu 207 Bleu 170 LB 174 mark f1 230 Brawn BGP 001 11 mark f1 200 sladealonso 170 scheivlak 174 M2000-5 222 Anderis 10 sladealonso 200 DutchQuicksilver156 * Forecast 173 Costaz 221 Bleu 10 KWSN-DSM 190 Brawn BGP 001 153 Benchulo 172 Bleu 215 LB 8 SpaceHorseParty 190 KWSN-DSM 150 LolaB8060 170 sladealonso 215 scheivlak 8 Benchulo 183 SpaceHorseParty 150 polesetter1 163 Anderis 213 sladealonso 6 DutchQuicksilver183 * Forecast 144 SpaceHorseParty 160 DutchQuicksilver212 DutchQuicksilver 5 LB 182 LB 142 KWSN-DSM 150 Makarias 210 GTA 5 scheivlak 182 scheivlak 142 mark f1 150 GTA 207 mark f1 5 M2000-5 180 GTA 135 Bleu 148 Benchulo 200 SpaceHorseParty 5 Makarias 179 polesetter1 132 DutchQuicksilver138 Brawn BGP 001 200 Costaz 4 LolaB8060 172 M2000-5 123 M2000-5 138 KWSN-DSM 200 * Current 4 Brawn BGP 001 167 LolaB8060 105 Makarias 136 LolaB8060 188 ANF 3 GTA 158 mark f1 100 GTA 131 LB 180 Makarias 3 Costaz 156 ANF 95 Anderis 115 scheivlak 180 LolaB8060 1 * Forecast 154 Costaz 49 sladealonso 100 * Forecast 58 M2000-5 1 * Current 32 * Current 30 * Current 36 * Current 12 polesetter1 0
The PTPC forecast
Season premiere!
Name Forecast +/- Brawn BGP 001 2071,4 27,4 LB 2047,6 25,6 scheivlak 2043,6 7,6 GTA 2031,4 26,4 Bleu 2012,2 -3,8 LolaB8060 2003,0 28,0 Makarias 1986,0 18,0 DutchQuicksilver 1984,4 26,4 mark f1 1974,2 30,2 Anderis 1970,2 25,2 sladealonso 1969,0 18,0 Costaz 1967,0 34,0 KWSN-DSM 1961,8 -11,2 SpaceHorseParty 1951,2 30,2 M2000-5 1924,0 18,0 polesetter1 1917,8 -7,2 Benchulo 1813,0 -22,0 ANF 1770,6 6,6Early days, lots of stuff can still happen.