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Place The Points Competition 2024 after Emilia-Romagna


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 19 May 2024 - 21:17

The standings after Emilia-Romagna:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  Bleu                  701 101
=   Brawn BGP 001         701 101
=   Costaz                701 101
=   DutchQuicksilver      701 101
=   GTA                   701 101
=   KWSN-DSM              701 101
=   LB                    701 101
=   mark f1               701 101
=   scheivlak             701 101
=   sladealonso           701 101
=   SpaceHorseParty       701 101
12) ANF                   700 101
=   Makarias              700 101
14) Anderis               699 100
15) LolaB8060             698 101
16) M2000-5               697 101
17) Benchulo              692  97
18) polesetter1           688  99
No increase in drama for now.

The entries

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Bear    INF,8    600,0   18  
Hülk     63,7     25,0    5
Norr     47,2     32,5    0
Pere     39,6     30,8    1
Sain     38,6     26,6    0
Lecl     36,2     28,9    0
Tsun     34,7     19,4    1
Pias     29,9     19,3    0
Vers     29,3     23,8    0
Magn     24,7      5,0    2
Alon     22,4     13,5    0
Russ     21,9     15,8    0
Stro     20,1      8,7    1
Hami     13,2     11,3    0
Ocon      3,1      1,5    0

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.

Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen             Norris                 Leclerc                Piastri                Sainz               
M2000-5         600    * Potential     523    * Potential     524    * Potential     473    * Potential     510
LolaB8060       590    * Forecast      336    Benchulo        341    Costaz          248    polesetter1     318
* Potential     568    Costaz          301    * Forecast      339    ANF             239    * Forecast      291
SpaceHorseParty 550    Brawn BGP 001   263    Bleu            331    Brawn BGP 001   185    Bleu            265
Makarias        535    ANF             241    GTA             315    LB              174    GTA             260
Anderis         525    LB              220    ANF             292    scheivlak       174    Anderis         231
DutchQuicksilver525    Makarias        211    sladealonso     290    Benchulo        172    Benchulo        229
GTA             510    LolaB8060       210    scheivlak       289    LolaB8060       170    scheivlak       228
LB              506    Benchulo        209    Brawn BGP 001   283    * Forecast      165    sladealonso     225
sladealonso     502    GTA             205    LB              279    polesetter1     163    mark f1         220
mark f1         494    DutchQuicksilver201    Anderis         274    SpaceHorseParty 160    LB              218
* Forecast      490    scheivlak       200    mark f1         270    KWSN-DSM        150    Brawn BGP 001   215
scheivlak       466    Bleu            195    Costaz          265    mark f1         150    LolaB8060       215
ANF             458    polesetter1     191    KWSN-DSM        250    Bleu            148    Makarias        212
Costaz          454    mark f1         190    DutchQuicksilver246    DutchQuicksilver138    DutchQuicksilver207
KWSN-DSM        450    SpaceHorseParty 190    Makarias        246    M2000-5         138    M2000-5         201
Brawn BGP 001   449    M2000-5         188    polesetter1     245    Makarias        136    KWSN-DSM        200
polesetter1     427    KWSN-DSM        185    SpaceHorseParty 243    GTA             131    Costaz          191
Bleu            415    Anderis         180    M2000-5         232    Anderis         115    SpaceHorseParty 190
Benchulo        336    sladealonso     160    LolaB8060       225    sladealonso     100    ANF             135
* Current       143    * Current        98    * Current        99    * Current        48    * Current        85
Very exciting

Guesses on P6-P10:
Hamilton               Russell                Perez                  Stroll                 Tsunoda             
* Potential     453    * Potential     467    * Potential     520    * Potential     436    * Potential     439
polesetter1     247    polesetter1     265    * Forecast      326    Benchulo        125    polesetter1      71
ANF             243    ANF             244    LolaB8060       307    KWSN-DSM         75    sladealonso      65
SpaceHorseParty 240    Anderis         213    Costaz          300    Bleu             71    Benchulo         59
mark f1         230    Bleu            207    DutchQuicksilver280    Anderis          70    Brawn BGP 001    56
M2000-5         222    mark f1         200    mark f1         280    M2000-5          65    M2000-5          55
Costaz          221    sladealonso     200    KWSN-DSM        275    DutchQuicksilver 62    ANF              50
Bleu            215    KWSN-DSM        190    sladealonso     275    GTA              62    * Forecast       48
sladealonso     215    SpaceHorseParty 190    M2000-5         273    scheivlak        60    Makarias         42
Anderis         213    Benchulo        183    Anderis         265    Makarias         59    KWSN-DSM         40
DutchQuicksilver212    DutchQuicksilver183    Makarias        265    sladealonso      55    LolaB8060        40
Makarias        210    LB              182    Brawn BGP 001   254    LB               50    LB               36
GTA             207    scheivlak       182    SpaceHorseParty 250    mark f1          50    scheivlak        36
Benchulo        200    M2000-5         180    scheivlak       245    SpaceHorseParty  50    GTA              33
Brawn BGP 001   200    Makarias        179    LB              235    LolaB8060        46    SpaceHorseParty  30
KWSN-DSM        200    LolaB8060       172    Bleu            218    * Forecast       38    DutchQuicksilver 28
LolaB8060       188    Brawn BGP 001   167    GTA             212    Brawn BGP 001    30    Bleu             27
LB              180    GTA             158    polesetter1     200    Costaz           27    Costaz           27
scheivlak       180    Costaz          156    ANF             102    ANF              24    mark f1          20
* Forecast       96    * Forecast      144    * Current        95    * Current        11    * Current        14
* Current        28    * Current        42    Benchulo         86    polesetter1       3    Anderis          12
A weak race for Perez but the forecast still says a 100% surprise at the end of the season.

The PTPC forecast
Name               Forecast  +/-
Brawn BGP 001        2074,1  13,1
LB                   2045,1  37,1
GTA                  2043,1  17,1
LolaB8060            2041,0  56,0
scheivlak            2030,9  18,9
Costaz               2028,0  36,0
mark f1              2009,9  40,9
Bleu                 2003,3   2,3
Makarias             1997,1  17,1
DutchQuicksilver     1987,1  17,1
sladealonso          1986,1  13,1
Anderis              1971,6  16,6
M2000-5              1962,1  18,1
KWSN-DSM             1958,0   3,0
SpaceHorseParty      1952,6  32,6
polesetter1          1921,6   3,6
Benchulo             1819,3  18,3
ANF                  1809,0  34,0


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#2 LolaB0860

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Posted 20 May 2024 - 11:54

Biggest +/- rise in the forecast. That's all what matters 

 

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#3 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 20 May 2024 - 15:25

I am still inexplicably very low in the forecast.

 

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