The standings after Emilia-Romagna:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Bleu 701 101 = Brawn BGP 001 701 101 = Costaz 701 101 = DutchQuicksilver 701 101 = GTA 701 101 = KWSN-DSM 701 101 = LB 701 101 = mark f1 701 101 = scheivlak 701 101 = sladealonso 701 101 = SpaceHorseParty 701 101 12) ANF 700 101 = Makarias 700 101 14) Anderis 699 100 15) LolaB8060 698 101 16) M2000-5 697 101 17) Benchulo 692 97 18) polesetter1 688 99No increase in drama for now.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bear INF,8 600,0 18 Hülk 63,7 25,0 5 Norr 47,2 32,5 0 Pere 39,6 30,8 1 Sain 38,6 26,6 0 Lecl 36,2 28,9 0 Tsun 34,7 19,4 1 Pias 29,9 19,3 0 Vers 29,3 23,8 0 Magn 24,7 5,0 2 Alon 22,4 13,5 0 Russ 21,9 15,8 0 Stro 20,1 8,7 1 Hami 13,2 11,3 0 Ocon 3,1 1,5 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Norris Leclerc Piastri Sainz M2000-5 600 * Potential 523 * Potential 524 * Potential 473 * Potential 510 LolaB8060 590 * Forecast 336 Benchulo 341 Costaz 248 polesetter1 318 * Potential 568 Costaz 301 * Forecast 339 ANF 239 * Forecast 291 SpaceHorseParty 550 Brawn BGP 001 263 Bleu 331 Brawn BGP 001 185 Bleu 265 Makarias 535 ANF 241 GTA 315 LB 174 GTA 260 Anderis 525 LB 220 ANF 292 scheivlak 174 Anderis 231 DutchQuicksilver525 Makarias 211 sladealonso 290 Benchulo 172 Benchulo 229 GTA 510 LolaB8060 210 scheivlak 289 LolaB8060 170 scheivlak 228 LB 506 Benchulo 209 Brawn BGP 001 283 * Forecast 165 sladealonso 225 sladealonso 502 GTA 205 LB 279 polesetter1 163 mark f1 220 mark f1 494 DutchQuicksilver201 Anderis 274 SpaceHorseParty 160 LB 218 * Forecast 490 scheivlak 200 mark f1 270 KWSN-DSM 150 Brawn BGP 001 215 scheivlak 466 Bleu 195 Costaz 265 mark f1 150 LolaB8060 215 ANF 458 polesetter1 191 KWSN-DSM 250 Bleu 148 Makarias 212 Costaz 454 mark f1 190 DutchQuicksilver246 DutchQuicksilver138 DutchQuicksilver207 KWSN-DSM 450 SpaceHorseParty 190 Makarias 246 M2000-5 138 M2000-5 201 Brawn BGP 001 449 M2000-5 188 polesetter1 245 Makarias 136 KWSN-DSM 200 polesetter1 427 KWSN-DSM 185 SpaceHorseParty 243 GTA 131 Costaz 191 Bleu 415 Anderis 180 M2000-5 232 Anderis 115 SpaceHorseParty 190 Benchulo 336 sladealonso 160 LolaB8060 225 sladealonso 100 ANF 135 * Current 143 * Current 98 * Current 99 * Current 48 * Current 85Very exciting
Guesses on P6-P10:
Hamilton Russell Perez Stroll Tsunoda * Potential 453 * Potential 467 * Potential 520 * Potential 436 * Potential 439 polesetter1 247 polesetter1 265 * Forecast 326 Benchulo 125 polesetter1 71 ANF 243 ANF 244 LolaB8060 307 KWSN-DSM 75 sladealonso 65 SpaceHorseParty 240 Anderis 213 Costaz 300 Bleu 71 Benchulo 59 mark f1 230 Bleu 207 DutchQuicksilver280 Anderis 70 Brawn BGP 001 56 M2000-5 222 mark f1 200 mark f1 280 M2000-5 65 M2000-5 55 Costaz 221 sladealonso 200 KWSN-DSM 275 DutchQuicksilver 62 ANF 50 Bleu 215 KWSN-DSM 190 sladealonso 275 GTA 62 * Forecast 48 sladealonso 215 SpaceHorseParty 190 M2000-5 273 scheivlak 60 Makarias 42 Anderis 213 Benchulo 183 Anderis 265 Makarias 59 KWSN-DSM 40 DutchQuicksilver212 DutchQuicksilver183 Makarias 265 sladealonso 55 LolaB8060 40 Makarias 210 LB 182 Brawn BGP 001 254 LB 50 LB 36 GTA 207 scheivlak 182 SpaceHorseParty 250 mark f1 50 scheivlak 36 Benchulo 200 M2000-5 180 scheivlak 245 SpaceHorseParty 50 GTA 33 Brawn BGP 001 200 Makarias 179 LB 235 LolaB8060 46 SpaceHorseParty 30 KWSN-DSM 200 LolaB8060 172 Bleu 218 * Forecast 38 DutchQuicksilver 28 LolaB8060 188 Brawn BGP 001 167 GTA 212 Brawn BGP 001 30 Bleu 27 LB 180 GTA 158 polesetter1 200 Costaz 27 Costaz 27 scheivlak 180 Costaz 156 ANF 102 ANF 24 mark f1 20 * Forecast 96 * Forecast 144 * Current 95 * Current 11 * Current 14 * Current 28 * Current 42 Benchulo 86 polesetter1 3 Anderis 12A weak race for Perez but the forecast still says a 100% surprise at the end of the season.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Brawn BGP 001 2074,1 13,1 LB 2045,1 37,1 GTA 2043,1 17,1 LolaB8060 2041,0 56,0 scheivlak 2030,9 18,9 Costaz 2028,0 36,0 mark f1 2009,9 40,9 Bleu 2003,3 2,3 Makarias 1997,1 17,1 DutchQuicksilver 1987,1 17,1 sladealonso 1986,1 13,1 Anderis 1971,6 16,6 M2000-5 1962,1 18,1 KWSN-DSM 1958,0 3,0 SpaceHorseParty 1952,6 32,6 polesetter1 1921,6 3,6 Benchulo 1819,3 18,3 ANF 1809,0 34,0
