The standings after Austria:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) KWSN-DSM 1105 101 2) Brawn BGP 001 1104 100 3) Bleu 1103 99 4) LB 1101 97 = scheivlak 1101 97 6) mark f1 1098 94 = SpaceHorseParty 1098 94 8) Anderis 1097 99 9) sladealonso 1095 91 10) Costaz 1094 90 = DutchQuicksilver 1094 90 = GTA 1094 90 13) Makarias 1092 89 14) ANF 1091 88 = LolaB8060 1091 90 16) M2000-5 1089 89 17) Benchulo 1086 95 18) polesetter1 1074 89Wow, I don't even have to pretend that this round is interesting because it actually is! More weird results please!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bear INF,8 600,0 18 Hülk 191,2 75,0 16 Magn 123,3 25,0 9 Norr 70,3 48,3 0 Pias 62,3 40,2 0 Sain 55,9 38,6 0 Russ 54,2 39,1 0 Lecl 49,1 39,2 0 Tsun 44,6 25,0 1 Pere 43,7 34,1 2 Vers 43,2 35,1 0 Hami 34,4 29,4 0 Stro 31,1 13,5 1 Alon 28,0 16,9 0 Gasl 17,3 9,1 0 Ricc 10,4 5,6 0 Ocon 9,3 4,5 0 Albo 7,5 3,5 0Nico Hülkenberg and Kevin Magnussen become the first regular drivers to beat their expectations this season!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Russell Piastri Sainz Hamilton Verstappen * Potential 429 * Potential 425 * Potential 448 * Potential 398 M2000-5 600 polesetter1 265 Costaz 248 polesetter1 318 polesetter1 247 LolaB8060 590 ANF 244 ANF 239 * Forecast 268 ANF 243 SpaceHorseParty 550 * Forecast 227 * Forecast 218 Bleu 265 SpaceHorseParty 240 * Potential 536 Anderis 213 Brawn BGP 001 185 GTA 260 mark f1 230 Makarias 535 Bleu 207 LB 174 Anderis 231 M2000-5 222 Anderis 525 mark f1 200 scheivlak 174 Benchulo 229 Costaz 221 DutchQuicksilver525 sladealonso 200 Benchulo 172 scheivlak 228 Bleu 215 GTA 510 KWSN-DSM 190 LolaB8060 170 sladealonso 225 sladealonso 215 LB 506 SpaceHorseParty 190 polesetter1 163 mark f1 220 Anderis 213 sladealonso 502 Benchulo 183 SpaceHorseParty 160 LB 218 DutchQuicksilver212 mark f1 494 DutchQuicksilver183 KWSN-DSM 150 Brawn BGP 001 215 Makarias 210 scheivlak 466 LB 182 mark f1 150 LolaB8060 215 GTA 207 * Forecast 460 scheivlak 182 Bleu 148 Makarias 212 Benchulo 200 ANF 458 M2000-5 180 DutchQuicksilver138 DutchQuicksilver207 Brawn BGP 001 200 Costaz 454 Makarias 179 M2000-5 138 M2000-5 201 KWSN-DSM 200 KWSN-DSM 450 LolaB8060 172 Makarias 136 KWSN-DSM 200 LolaB8060 188 Brawn BGP 001 449 Brawn BGP 001 167 GTA 131 Costaz 191 LB 180 polesetter1 427 GTA 158 Anderis 115 SpaceHorseParty 190 scheivlak 180 Bleu 415 Costaz 156 sladealonso 100 ANF 135 * Forecast 159 Benchulo 336 * Current 104 * Current 100 * Current 123 * Current 73 * Current 211Russell's forecast was 144 points after Emilia-Romagna, and at this rate he might have a shot at a 100% surprise! If Max wins out the rest of the season I'll have made a very good guess on him.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Hülkenberg Perez Magnussen Ricciardo Gasly * Potential 337 * Potential 430 * Potential 330 * Potential 331 * Potential 331 * Forecast 26 LolaB8060 307 KWSN-DSM 19 ANF 107 mark f1 65 KWSN-DSM 15 Costaz 300 * Forecast 11 polesetter1 104 scheivlak 52 Benchulo 13 DutchQuicksilver280 Anderis 6 Benchulo 94 KWSN-DSM 50 * Current 12 mark f1 280 LB 6 Costaz 81 LolaB8060 45 Brawn BGP 001 11 KWSN-DSM 275 scheivlak 6 GTA 60 ANF 43 Anderis 10 sladealonso 275 Benchulo 5 sladealonso 60 LB 42 Bleu 10 M2000-5 273 Bleu 5 DutchQuicksilver 59 DutchQuicksilver 41 LB 8 Anderis 265 Brawn BGP 001 5 M2000-5 59 GTA 40 scheivlak 8 Makarias 265 mark f1 5 LB 57 Bleu 38 sladealonso 6 Brawn BGP 001 254 SpaceHorseParty 5 scheivlak 57 Brawn BGP 001 33 DutchQuicksilver 5 SpaceHorseParty 250 * Current 5 SpaceHorseParty 50 Benchulo 29 GTA 5 scheivlak 245 ANF 3 Bleu 47 sladealonso 28 mark f1 5 LB 235 Costaz 2 Brawn BGP 001 47 M2000-5 27 SpaceHorseParty 5 * Forecast 229 LolaB8060 2 Makarias 44 Anderis 25 Costaz 4 Bleu 218 DutchQuicksilver 1 KWSN-DSM 40 Costaz 23 ANF 3 GTA 212 GTA 1 mark f1 35 Makarias 21 Makarias 3 polesetter1 200 Makarias 1 LolaB8060 25 polesetter1 15 LolaB8060 1 * Current 105 sladealonso 1 * Forecast 13 * Forecast 13 M2000-5 1 ANF 102 M2000-5 0 Anderis 12 SpaceHorseParty 8 polesetter1 0 Benchulo 86 polesetter1 0 * Current 6 * Current 6Hülkenberg is now only four points away from a 100% surprise.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Brawn BGP 001 2160,0 -0,8 LB 2133,2 -20,4 scheivlak 2133,2 -6,6 Costaz 2119,6 29,2 Bleu 2103,1 0,9 GTA 2078,5 -39,9 mark f1 2070,2 -13,6 Anderis 2050,1 -0,3 polesetter1 2044,8 50,8 LolaB8060 2044,5 -27,3 KWSN-DSM 2040,0 9,0 Makarias 2037,5 -29,3 sladealonso 2031,5 -20,1 ANF 2026,0 64,0 DutchQuicksilver 2019,2 -26,6 SpaceHorseParty 2018,1 -24,7 M2000-5 1989,5 -30,5 Benchulo 1885,4 -23,2Big gains for big time Russell believers polesetter1 and ANF.
