The standings after the Netherlands:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Brawn BGP 001 1500 101 2) LB 1497 101 3) Costaz 1490 101 4) LolaB8060 1483 97 = scheivlak 1483 87 6) SpaceHorseParty 1463 70 7) Bleu 1461 70 8) Benchulo 1458 88 = KWSN-DSM 1458 64 10) Makarias 1454 86 11) mark f1 1452 65 12) DutchQuicksilver 1448 76 13) GTA 1445 80 14) ANF 1443 83 15) polesetter1 1434 74 16) M2000-5 1430 64 17) Anderis 1404 64 18) sladealonso 1370 64Losing plenty of points each round is trendy now. Pay attention, you high scoring nerds!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bear INF,8 600,0 18 Hülk 318,6 125,0 18 Magn 123,3 25,0 9 Pias 104,0 67,1 11 Norr 103,0 70,9 14 Sain 72,3 49,8 1 Hami 66,9 57,3 0 Lecl 64,4 51,5 0 Russ 59,5 42,9 0 Vers 55,1 44,8 0 Pere 52,1 40,6 2 Tsun 52,0 29,2 2 Stro 43,9 19,0 1 Alon 34,3 20,7 0 Gasl 23,0 12,1 0 Ocon 15,4 7,6 0 Albo 15,1 7,0 1 Ricc 12,1 6,5 0Norris and Piastri beat their expectations! It's all chillax from now on for these youngsters.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Norris Verstappen Leclerc Piastri Sainz * Potential 439 M2000-5 600 * Potential 401 * Potential 392 * Potential 384 * Forecast 342 LolaB8060 590 Benchulo 341 * Forecast 267 polesetter1 318 Costaz 301 SpaceHorseParty 550 Bleu 331 Costaz 248 Bleu 265 Brawn BGP 001 263 Makarias 535 GTA 315 ANF 239 GTA 260 ANF 241 Anderis 525 ANF 292 Brawn BGP 001 185 * Forecast 254 LB 220 DutchQuicksilver525 sladealonso 290 LB 174 Anderis 231 * Current 214 GTA 510 scheivlak 289 scheivlak 174 Benchulo 229 Makarias 211 LB 506 Brawn BGP 001 283 Benchulo 172 scheivlak 228 LolaB8060 210 sladealonso 502 * Forecast 282 LolaB8060 170 sladealonso 225 Benchulo 209 * Potential 494 LB 279 * Current 167 mark f1 220 GTA 205 mark f1 494 Anderis 274 polesetter1 163 LB 218 DutchQuicksilver201 scheivlak 466 mark f1 270 SpaceHorseParty 160 Brawn BGP 001 215 scheivlak 200 ANF 458 Costaz 265 KWSN-DSM 150 LolaB8060 215 Bleu 195 Costaz 454 KWSN-DSM 250 mark f1 150 Makarias 212 polesetter1 191 KWSN-DSM 450 DutchQuicksilver246 Bleu 148 DutchQuicksilver207 mark f1 190 Brawn BGP 001 449 Makarias 246 DutchQuicksilver138 M2000-5 201 SpaceHorseParty 190 * Forecast 430 polesetter1 245 M2000-5 138 KWSN-DSM 200 M2000-5 188 polesetter1 427 SpaceHorseParty 243 Makarias 136 Costaz 191 KWSN-DSM 185 Bleu 415 M2000-5 232 GTA 131 SpaceHorseParty 190 Anderis 180 Benchulo 336 LolaB8060 225 Anderis 115 * Current 159 sladealonso 160 * Current 269 * Current 176 sladealonso 100 ANF 135Costaz feeling good about McLaren.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Perez Russell Hamilton Gasly Alonso * Potential 350 * Potential 339 * Potential 367 * Potential 233 * Potential 274 LolaB8060 307 polesetter1 265 polesetter1 247 mark f1 65 Benchulo 236 Costaz 300 ANF 244 ANF 243 scheivlak 52 Makarias 185 DutchQuicksilver280 Anderis 213 SpaceHorseParty 240 KWSN-DSM 50 Anderis 175 mark f1 280 Bleu 207 mark f1 230 LolaB8060 45 Bleu 170 KWSN-DSM 275 mark f1 200 * Forecast 227 ANF 43 sladealonso 170 sladealonso 275 sladealonso 200 M2000-5 222 LB 42 DutchQuicksilver156 M2000-5 273 KWSN-DSM 190 Costaz 221 DutchQuicksilver 41 Brawn BGP 001 153 Anderis 265 SpaceHorseParty 190 Bleu 215 GTA 40 KWSN-DSM 150 Makarias 265 Benchulo 183 sladealonso 215 Bleu 38 SpaceHorseParty 150 Brawn BGP 001 254 DutchQuicksilver183 Anderis 213 Brawn BGP 001 33 LB 142 SpaceHorseParty 250 * Forecast 182 DutchQuicksilver212 Benchulo 29 scheivlak 142 scheivlak 245 LB 182 Makarias 210 sladealonso 28 GTA 135 LB 235 scheivlak 182 GTA 207 M2000-5 27 polesetter1 132 Bleu 218 M2000-5 180 Benchulo 200 Anderis 25 M2000-5 123 GTA 212 Makarias 179 Brawn BGP 001 200 Costaz 23 LolaB8060 105 * Forecast 200 LolaB8060 172 KWSN-DSM 200 Makarias 21 mark f1 100 polesetter1 200 Brawn BGP 001 167 LolaB8060 188 polesetter1 15 ANF 95 * Current 125 GTA 158 LB 180 * Forecast 13 * Forecast 78 ANF 102 Costaz 156 scheivlak 180 SpaceHorseParty 8 Costaz 49 Benchulo 86 * Current 114 * Current 142 * Current 8 * Current 49Gasly and Alonso are on the brink of beating guesses; not heaps of them though.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Costaz 2159,8 0,2 Brawn BGP 001 2138,4 -0,5 Bleu 2088,6 -4,7 LB 2086,2 -5,8 scheivlak 2078,8 -3,2 GTA 2061,6 -1,8 mark f1 2055,2 -11,9 polesetter1 2038,0 -17,7 ANF 2019,0 -12,0 Makarias 2017,2 -8,8 SpaceHorseParty 2013,4 -20,5 KWSN-DSM 2009,6 -12,1 Anderis 2009,0 -9,1 DutchQuicksilver 2006,0 -7,0 LolaB8060 2002,2 -8,8 sladealonso 1990,2 -5,9 M2000-5 1981,2 -8,8 Benchulo 1902,8 -3,3Not much happening here.
