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Guess the Pole 2024: Singapore


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 14 September 2024 - 21:51

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2024 standings

Five latest poles at Singapore:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2023  Sainz         90.984
2022  Leclerc      109.412 (Old layout)
2019  Leclerc       96.217
2018  Hamilton      96.015
2017  Vettel        99.491

Driver values:
Dri  val
Norr   6
Pias   6
Lecl   9
Pere  13
Vers  13
REST  18

2024 data:
                  Time    2023 PP  2022 PP  2021 PP  2024/2023  2024/2022  2024/2021
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
BAH  Vers  Lecl   89.179   89.708   90.558   88.997    99.410     98.477    100.205
SAU  Vers  Lecl   87.472   88.265   88.200   87.511    99.102     99.175     99.955
OZ   Vers  Sain   75.915   76.732   77.868   ------    98.935     97.492     ------
JPN  Vers  Pere   88.197   88.877   89.304   ------    99.235     98.760     ------
CHN  Vers  Pere   93.660   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
MIA  Vers  Lecl   87.241   86.841   88.796   ------   100.461     98.249     ------
EMI  Vers  Pias   74.746   ------   87.999   74.411    ------     84.940    100.450
MON  Lecl  Pias   70.270   71.365   71.376   70.346    98.466     98.450     99.892
CAN  Russ  Vers   72.000   85.858   81.399   ------    83.859     88.453     ------
ESP  Norr  Vers   71.383   72.272   78.750   76.741    98.770     90.645     93.018
AUT  Vers  Norr   64.314   64.391   64.984   63.720    99.880     98.969    100.932
GB   Russ  Hami   85.819   86.720  100.983   86.134    98.961     84.984     99.634
HUN  Norr  Pias   75.227   76.609   77.377   75.419    98.196     97.221     99.745
BEL  Lecl  Pere  113.754  106.988  104.297  119.765   106.324    109.067     94.981
NED  Norr  Vers   69.673   70.567   70.342   68.885    98.733     99.049    101.144
ITA  Norr  Pias   79.327   80.294   80.161   79.651    98.796     98.960     99.593
AZE  Lecl  Pias  101.365  100.203  101.359  101.218   101.160    100.006    100.145
SIN                    0   90.984  109.412   ------                          ------
USA                    0   94.723   94.356   92.910                                
MEX                    0   77.166   77.775   75.875                                
BRA                    0   70.727   71.674   68.372                                
LVE                    0   92.726   ------   ------               ------     ------
QAT                    0   83.778   ------   80.827               ------           
ABU                    0   83.445   83.824   82.109                                
My guess for Singapore is 90.209 s by Lando Norris.

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#2 rodlamas

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Posted 15 September 2024 - 09:10

Lando 89.988



#3 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 17 September 2024 - 21:48

90.111 - Lecl



#4 Anderis

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Posted 18 September 2024 - 11:33

89.650 Leclerc



#5 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 18 September 2024 - 17:00

90.542 Leclerc

#6 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 19 September 2024 - 07:17

LECLERC - 90.222



#7 mark f1

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Posted 19 September 2024 - 10:16

Norris 90.256



#8 scheivlak

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Posted 19 September 2024 - 20:26

Leclerc 90.467



#9 GTA

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Posted 19 September 2024 - 21:58

90.557 CL



#10 LB

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Posted 19 September 2024 - 23:15

Piastri 89.545



#11 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 20 September 2024 - 01:05

89.999 Norris



#12 tourister46a

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Posted 20 September 2024 - 01:28

90.131 Leclerc



#13 Benchulo

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Posted 20 September 2024 - 02:36

90.100 Leclerc

#14 M2000-5

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Posted 20 September 2024 - 07:45

90.135 Leclerc



#15 Bleu

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Posted 20 September 2024 - 08:10

90,529 Leclerc



#16 milestone 11

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Posted 20 September 2024 - 08:32

90.130 Leclerc

#17 milestone 11

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Posted 21 September 2024 - 14:47

Piastri 89.545

Inspired prediction LB. :up: