The standings after USA:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Costaz 1863 90 2) Brawn BGP 001 1824 72 3) LB 1768 72 4) ANF 1750 60 5) scheivlak 1748 72 6) Bleu 1718 72 7) KWSN-DSM 1714 70 = LolaB8060 1714 47 9) Benchulo 1711 68 10) mark f1 1709 72 11) SpaceHorseParty 1704 56 12) Makarias 1703 64 13) GTA 1702 72 14) DutchQuicksilver 1697 64 15) polesetter1 1674 63 16) Anderis 1662 72 17) M2000-5 1661 50 18) sladealonso 1627 72Costaz pulls away a little more.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bear INF,8 700,0 18 Cola INF,8 500,0 18 Hülk 414,2 162,5 18 Magn 147,9 30,0 14 Pias 146,3 94,4 16 Norr 133,8 92,1 17 Lecl 93,0 74,3 7 Sain 88,6 61,1 3 Russ 80,8 58,3 0 Hami 76,3 65,3 0 Vers 65,5 53,2 0 Pere 56,6 44,2 2 Tsun 52,0 29,2 2 Albo 45,3 21,1 2 Stro 43,9 19,0 1 Alon 42,8 25,7 1 Laws 40,9 4,3 15 Gasl 23,0 12,1 0 Ocon 15,4 7,6 0 Ricc 12,1 6,5 0Liam Lawson joins the list and beats a pile of zero point guesses.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Leclerc Sainz Verstappen Norris Piastri * Potential 379 * Potential 320 M2000-5 600 * Potential 403 * Potential 360 Benchulo 341 polesetter1 318 LolaB8060 590 * Forecast 351 * Forecast 297 Bleu 331 Bleu 265 SpaceHorseParty 550 Costaz 301 Costaz 248 * Forecast 321 GTA 260 Makarias 535 * Current 278 ANF 239 GTA 315 * Forecast 246 Anderis 525 Brawn BGP 001 263 * Current 235 ANF 292 Anderis 231 DutchQuicksilver525 ANF 241 Brawn BGP 001 185 sladealonso 290 Benchulo 229 GTA 510 LB 220 LB 174 scheivlak 289 scheivlak 228 LB 506 Makarias 211 scheivlak 174 Brawn BGP 001 283 sladealonso 225 sladealonso 502 LolaB8060 210 Benchulo 172 LB 279 mark f1 220 mark f1 494 Benchulo 209 LolaB8060 170 Anderis 274 LB 218 scheivlak 466 GTA 205 polesetter1 163 mark f1 270 Brawn BGP 001 215 ANF 458 DutchQuicksilver201 SpaceHorseParty 160 Costaz 265 LolaB8060 215 Costaz 454 scheivlak 200 KWSN-DSM 150 * Current 254 Makarias 212 KWSN-DSM 450 Bleu 195 mark f1 150 KWSN-DSM 250 DutchQuicksilver207 Brawn BGP 001 449 polesetter1 191 Bleu 148 DutchQuicksilver246 M2000-5 201 * Potential 445 mark f1 190 DutchQuicksilver138 Makarias 246 KWSN-DSM 200 polesetter1 427 SpaceHorseParty 190 M2000-5 138 polesetter1 245 * Current 195 Bleu 415 M2000-5 188 Makarias 136 SpaceHorseParty 243 Costaz 191 * Forecast 404 KWSN-DSM 185 GTA 131 M2000-5 232 SpaceHorseParty 190 Benchulo 336 Anderis 180 Anderis 115 LolaB8060 225 ANF 135 * Current 320 sladealonso 160 sladealonso 100Norris now a win away from a 100% surprise; Piastri is a P3 away from it.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Russell Perez Hülkenberg Lawson Bottas * Potential 280 LolaB8060 307 * Potential 151 * Potential 127 * Potential 125 polesetter1 265 Costaz 300 * Forecast 33 ANF 45 SpaceHorseParty 30 ANF 244 DutchQuicksilver280 * Current 26 Benchulo 38 Brawn BGP 001 20 Anderis 213 mark f1 280 KWSN-DSM 15 KWSN-DSM 5 KWSN-DSM 20 Bleu 207 KWSN-DSM 275 Benchulo 13 * Forecast 3 Costaz 18 mark f1 200 sladealonso 275 Brawn BGP 001 11 * Current 2 GTA 17 sladealonso 200 M2000-5 273 Anderis 10 Anderis 0 Anderis 16 * Forecast 196 Anderis 265 Bleu 10 Bleu 0 LB 14 KWSN-DSM 190 Makarias 265 LB 8 Brawn BGP 001 0 scheivlak 14 SpaceHorseParty 190 * Potential 261 scheivlak 8 Costaz 0 DutchQuicksilver 13 Benchulo 183 Brawn BGP 001 254 sladealonso 6 DutchQuicksilver 0 M2000-5 13 DutchQuicksilver183 SpaceHorseParty 250 DutchQuicksilver 5 GTA 0 polesetter1 13 LB 182 scheivlak 245 GTA 5 LB 0 Makarias 11 scheivlak 182 LB 235 mark f1 5 LolaB8060 0 mark f1 10 M2000-5 180 Bleu 218 SpaceHorseParty 5 M2000-5 0 sladealonso 10 Makarias 179 GTA 212 Costaz 4 Makarias 0 Benchulo 8 LolaB8060 172 polesetter1 200 ANF 3 mark f1 0 Bleu 8 Brawn BGP 001 167 * Forecast 172 Makarias 3 polesetter1 0 LolaB8060 6 GTA 158 * Current 136 LolaB8060 1 scheivlak 0 ANF 3 Costaz 156 ANF 102 M2000-5 1 sladealonso 0 * Current 0 * Current 155 Benchulo 86 polesetter1 0 SpaceHorseParty 0 * Forecast 0The two big guesses will be hard for Lawson to beat. Bottas fills in for the guessless Colapinto and might be listed here for the last time in his F1 career.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Costaz 2087,4 -17,2 Brawn BGP 001 2078,8 -11,2 Bleu 2075,9 2,6 LB 2017,3 -13,7 scheivlak 2017,3 -13,7 GTA 2016,3 3,9 ANF 1990,2 -19,5 mark f1 1984,2 -23,8 polesetter1 1955,6 -12,4 Anderis 1952,2 -20,8 KWSN-DSM 1950,4 -11,6 Makarias 1942,9 -19,1 DutchQuicksilver 1935,9 -21,1 SpaceHorseParty 1935,8 -24,5 LolaB8060 1933,3 -13,7 sladealonso 1932,7 -24,3 Benchulo 1930,7 8,4 M2000-5 1887,8 -24,2This looks like a proper three way battle!
