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Guess the Pole 2024: Las Vegas


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 03 November 2024 - 12:26

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2024 standings

Five latest poles at Las Vegas:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2023  Leclerc       92.726

Driver values:
Dri  val
Norr   6
Vers   6
Lecl  13
Pias  13
Russ  13
Sain  13
REST  18

2024 data:
                  Time    2023 PP  2022 PP  2021 PP  2024/2023  2024/2022  2024/2021
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
BAH  Vers  Lecl   89.179   89.708   90.558   88.997    99.410     98.477    100.205
SAU  Vers  Lecl   87.472   88.265   88.200   87.511    99.102     99.175     99.955
OZ   Vers  Sain   75.915   76.732   77.868   ------    98.935     97.492     ------
JPN  Vers  Pere   88.197   88.877   89.304   ------    99.235     98.760     ------
CHN  Vers  Pere   93.660   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
MIA  Vers  Lecl   87.241   86.841   88.796   ------   100.461     98.249     ------
EMI  Vers  Pias   74.746   ------   87.999   74.411    ------     84.940    100.450
MON  Lecl  Pias   70.270   71.365   71.376   70.346    98.466     98.450     99.892
CAN  Russ  Vers   72.000   85.858   81.399   ------    83.859     88.453     ------
ESP  Norr  Vers   71.383   72.272   78.750   76.741    98.770     90.645     93.018
AUT  Vers  Norr   64.314   64.391   64.984   63.720    99.880     98.969    100.932
GB   Russ  Hami   85.819   86.720  100.983   86.134    98.961     84.984     99.634
HUN  Norr  Pias   75.227   76.609   77.377   75.419    98.196     97.221     99.745
BEL  Lecl  Pere  113.754  106.988  104.297  119.765   106.324    109.067     94.981
NED  Norr  Vers   69.673   70.567   70.342   68.885    98.733     99.049    101.144
ITA  Norr  Pias   79.327   80.294   80.161   79.651    98.796     98.960     99.593
AZE  Lecl  Pias  101.365  100.203  101.359  101.218   101.160    100.006    100.145
SIN  Norr  Vers   89.525   90.984  109.412   ------    98.396     81.824     ------
USA  Norr  Vers   92.330   94.723   94.356   92.910    97.474     97.853     99.376
MEX  Sain  Vers   75.946   77.166   77.775   75.875    98.419     97.648    100.094
BRA  Norr  Russ   83.405   70.727   71.674   68.372   117.925    116.367    121.987
LVE                    0   92.726   ------   ------               ------     ------
QAT                    0   83.778   ------   80.827               ------           
ABU                    0   83.445   83.824   82.109                                
My guess for Las Vegas is 91.355 s by Lando Norris.

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#2 rodlamas

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Posted 05 November 2024 - 12:17

Lando Norris 90.889



#3 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 05 November 2024 - 15:23

You guys go much, much faster than last year - We agree no changes to track right?



#4 tourister46a

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Posted 13 November 2024 - 15:01

91.444 Norris


Edited by tourister46a, 21 November 2024 - 23:22.


#5 GTA

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Posted 15 November 2024 - 00:34

92.000 OP



#6 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 15 November 2024 - 09:44

91.711 - Verstappen



#7 rodlamas

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Posted 17 November 2024 - 12:12

You guys go much, much faster than last year - We agree no changes to track right?


2nd year of the track, expect big leap in performance.

#8 Anderis

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Posted 18 November 2024 - 14:11

91.200 Norris



#9 mark f1

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Posted 19 November 2024 - 11:08

Norris 91.420



#10 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 20 November 2024 - 17:58

91.450 Norris

#11 scheivlak

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Posted 20 November 2024 - 18:53

Norris 92.230



#12 Benchulo

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Posted 21 November 2024 - 08:42

90.733 Leclerc

#13 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 21 November 2024 - 10:17

90.998 Sainz



#14 Bleu

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Posted 21 November 2024 - 19:48

91,799 Leclerc



#15 M2000-5

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Posted 21 November 2024 - 20:37

91.823 Norris



#16 milestone 11

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Posted 21 November 2024 - 21:33

Cripes! I almost missed this by 24 hours.

91.356 Norris

#17 alekracing

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Posted 22 November 2024 - 00:27

90.639 Leclerc

#18 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 22 November 2024 - 01:51

90.218 Norris



#19 Makarias

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Posted 22 November 2024 - 03:09

92.000 OP

FFS, stop making this a riddle game for me! Olivier Panis? Just write the damn driver out, I hate having to think!



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#20 LB

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Posted 22 November 2024 - 03:16

90.234Norris



#21 Makarias

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Posted 22 November 2024 - 03:43

Sorry mate, too late...



#22 LB

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Posted 22 November 2024 - 05:16

OK fine I'm out then.  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:


Edited by LB, 22 November 2024 - 05:17.


#23 LB

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Posted 22 November 2024 - 05:30

OK fine I'm out then.  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:  :down:

Just for the record since he took this public I explained to Mak in a private message that I had no idea that FP1 was this early only finding out when thumbing through the mag and immediately went on here and threw some guesses up in all the games before seeing anything that was going on therefore I was technically 40 mins late but hadn't seen a thing .I've been doing guesses at this time all season got caught out by a stupid saturday race.  



#24 Makarias

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Posted 22 November 2024 - 13:19

Sorry to hear that you are out, but I don't feel like upsetting the rest of the player base either, so I announced it here for clarity. Hope you're back next year, if nothing else!



#25 GTA

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Posted 22 November 2024 - 14:24

FFS, stop making this a riddle game for me! Olivier Panis? Just write the damn driver out, I hate having to think!

 

Sorry my bad . Oscar Piastri  :drunk:



#26 LB

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Posted 23 November 2024 - 07:34

Typical... complete bs