The standings after Las Vegas:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Costaz 2025 34 2) Brawn BGP 001 2002 35 3) Bleu 1957 81 4) ANF 1956 67 5) LB 1947 23 = scheivlak 1947 41 7) mark f1 1904 52 8) Benchulo 1901 47 9) GTA 1899 58 10) KWSN-DSM 1879 44 11) Anderis 1874 65 12) LolaB8060 1863 26 13) sladealonso 1855 70 14) DutchQuicksilver 1853 36 = Makarias 1853 33 = polesetter1 1853 71 17) SpaceHorseParty 1825 44 18) M2000-5 1809 34Round scores all over the place this time.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bear INF,8 700,0 18 Cola INF,8 500,0 18 Hülk 509,7 200,0 18 Magn 295,9 60,0 17 Pias 155,0 100,0 18 Norr 150,2 103,3 18 Sain 106,8 73,7 15 Lecl 106,6 85,1 14 Russ 105,4 75,9 14 Hami 90,9 77,8 3 Laws 81,8 8,7 15 Vers 74,3 60,4 1 Tsun 71,8 40,3 5 Ocon 71,0 34,8 3 Gasl 69,1 36,4 4 Pere 57,1 44,5 2 Albo 45,3 21,1 2 Stro 43,9 19,0 1 Alon 42,8 25,7 1 Ricc 12,1 6,5 0Oscar Piastri becomes a 100% surprise! George Russell beats his expectation value!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Russell Hamilton Sainz Leclerc Verstappen polesetter1 265 polesetter1 247 polesetter1 318 * Potential 341 M2000-5 600 * Potential 252 * Potential 243 * Potential 285 Benchulo 341 LolaB8060 590 ANF 244 ANF 243 Bleu 265 Bleu 331 SpaceHorseParty 550 * Forecast 220 SpaceHorseParty 240 GTA 260 * Forecast 317 Makarias 535 Anderis 213 mark f1 230 * Forecast 256 GTA 315 Anderis 525 Bleu 207 M2000-5 222 * Current 235 ANF 292 DutchQuicksilver525 * Current 202 Costaz 221 Anderis 231 * Current 291 GTA 510 mark f1 200 Bleu 215 Benchulo 229 sladealonso 290 LB 506 sladealonso 200 sladealonso 215 scheivlak 228 scheivlak 289 sladealonso 502 KWSN-DSM 190 Anderis 213 sladealonso 225 Brawn BGP 001 283 mark f1 494 SpaceHorseParty 190 DutchQuicksilver212 mark f1 220 LB 279 scheivlak 466 Benchulo 183 * Forecast 211 LB 218 Anderis 274 ANF 458 DutchQuicksilver183 Makarias 210 Brawn BGP 001 215 mark f1 270 Costaz 454 LB 182 GTA 207 LolaB8060 215 Costaz 265 KWSN-DSM 450 scheivlak 182 Benchulo 200 Makarias 212 KWSN-DSM 250 Brawn BGP 001 449 M2000-5 180 Brawn BGP 001 200 DutchQuicksilver207 DutchQuicksilver246 polesetter1 427 Makarias 179 KWSN-DSM 200 M2000-5 201 Makarias 246 Bleu 415 LolaB8060 172 * Current 193 KWSN-DSM 200 polesetter1 245 * Potential 413 Brawn BGP 001 167 LolaB8060 188 Costaz 191 SpaceHorseParty 243 * Forecast 396 GTA 158 LB 180 SpaceHorseParty 190 M2000-5 232 * Current 363 Costaz 156 scheivlak 180 ANF 135 LolaB8060 225 Benchulo 336Russell added eleven guesses to his beaten list with the win, Hamilton, Sainz and Leclerc all added a few to theirs as well.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Norris Piastri Hülkenberg Tsunoda Perez * Potential 362 * Potential 299 * Potential 82 * Potential 79 LolaB8060 307 * Forecast 340 * Forecast 272 * Forecast 35 polesetter1 71 Costaz 300 * Current 312 * Current 249 * Current 32 sladealonso 65 DutchQuicksilver280 Costaz 301 Costaz 248 KWSN-DSM 15 Benchulo 59 mark f1 280 Brawn BGP 001 263 ANF 239 Benchulo 13 Brawn BGP 001 56 KWSN-DSM 275 ANF 241 Brawn BGP 001 185 Brawn BGP 001 11 M2000-5 55 sladealonso 275 LB 220 LB 174 Anderis 10 ANF 50 M2000-5 273 Makarias 211 scheivlak 174 Bleu 10 Makarias 42 Anderis 265 LolaB8060 210 Benchulo 172 LB 8 KWSN-DSM 40 Makarias 265 Benchulo 209 LolaB8060 170 scheivlak 8 LolaB8060 40 Brawn BGP 001 254 GTA 205 polesetter1 163 sladealonso 6 LB 36 SpaceHorseParty 250 DutchQuicksilver201 SpaceHorseParty 160 DutchQuicksilver 5 scheivlak 36 scheivlak 245 scheivlak 200 KWSN-DSM 150 GTA 5 GTA 33 LB 235 Bleu 195 mark f1 150 mark f1 5 * Forecast 32 Bleu 218 polesetter1 191 Bleu 148 SpaceHorseParty 5 SpaceHorseParty 30 GTA 212 mark f1 190 DutchQuicksilver138 Costaz 4 * Current 29 polesetter1 200 SpaceHorseParty 190 M2000-5 138 ANF 3 DutchQuicksilver 28 * Potential 187 M2000-5 188 Makarias 136 Makarias 3 Bleu 27 * Forecast 149 KWSN-DSM 185 GTA 131 LolaB8060 1 Costaz 27 * Current 137 Anderis 180 Anderis 115 M2000-5 1 mark f1 20 ANF 102 sladealonso 160 sladealonso 100 polesetter1 0 Anderis 12 Benchulo 86Not many more points will be scored from these five as the first three are 100% surprises already, and Perez stinks.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Costaz 2092,8 -4,0 Bleu 2086,5 -2,5 Brawn BGP 001 2070,8 -20,2 ANF 2040,5 15,2 GTA 2020,2 -8,5 LB 2008,8 -20,5 scheivlak 2008,8 -20,5 mark f1 1980,7 -10,7 polesetter1 1964,5 17,4 Anderis 1960,5 1,3 Benchulo 1951,2 -8,7 KWSN-DSM 1949,3 -21,3 sladealonso 1934,3 -8,7 DutchQuicksilver 1929,7 -10,7 Makarias 1927,5 -8,0 LolaB8060 1924,8 -20,5 SpaceHorseParty 1898,5 -8,3 M2000-5 1887,3 -8,9Brawny loses ground in the forecast. A preview for the two last races should be posted, methinks.
